| Literature DB >> 26731098 |
Deborah Bittencourt Mothé Fraga1,2,3, Luciano Vasconcellos Pacheco1, Lairton Souza Borja1, Pétala Gardênia da Silva Estrela Tuy4, Leila Andrade Bastos1, Manuela da Silva Solcà1, Leila Denise Alves Ferreira Amorim4, Patrícia Sampaio Tavares Veras1,3.
Abstract
Visceral Leishmaniasis (VL) has spread to many urban centers worldwide. Dogs are considered the main reservoir of VL, because canine cases often precede the occurrence of human cases. Detection and euthanasia of serologically positive dogs is one of the primary VL control measures utilized in some countries, including Brazil. Using accurate diagnostic tests can minimize one undesirable consequence of this measure, culling false-positive dogs, and reduce the maintenance of false-negative dogs in endemic areas. In December 2011, the Brazilian Ministry of Health replaced the ELISA (EIE CVL) screening method and Indirect Immunofluorescence Test (IFI CVL) confirmatory method with a new protocol using the rapid DPP CVL screening test and EIE CVL confirmatory test. A study of diagnostic accuracy of these two protocols was done by comparing their performance using serum samples collected from a random sample of 780 dogs in an endemic area of VL. All samples were evaluated by culture and real time PCR; 766 out of the 780 dogs were tested using the previous protocol (IFI CVL + EIE CVL) and all 780 were tested using the current protocol (DPP CVL + EIE CVL). Performances of both diagnostic protocols were evaluated using a latent class variable as the gold standard. The current protocol had a higher specificity (0.98 vs. 0.95) and PPV (0.83 vs. 0.70) than the previous protocol, although sensitivity of these two protocols was similar (0.73). When tested using sera from asymptomatic animals, the current protocol had a much higher PPV (0.63 vs. 0.40) than the previous protocol (although the sensitivity of either protocol was the same, 0.71). Considering a range of theoretical CVL prevalences, the projected PPVs were higher for the current protocol than for the previous protocol for each theoretical prevalence value. The findings presented herein show that the current protocol performed better than previous protocol primarily by reducing false-positive results.Entities:
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Year: 2016 PMID: 26731098 PMCID: PMC4701173 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004333
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS Negl Trop Dis ISSN: 1935-2727
Fig 1Percent of positive results of five CVL diagnostic tests performed on canine sera samples from an endemic area of Camaçari.
Prevalence of latent classes and conditional probabilities according to the LCA model for CVL diagnoses.
| Latent classes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Technique | Frequency Positive n = 780 (%) | Positive n = 110 (14.1%) | Negative n = 670 (85.9%) |
| Conditional probabilities (%) | |||
| 36.0 | 85.9 | 26.6 | |
| 24.9 | 79.2 | 15.8 | |
| 22.4 | 96.2 | 10.1 | |
| 16.9 | 84.1 | 5.6 | |
| 13.1 | 88.1 | 0.0 | |
Performance of diagnostic tests considering the latent class variable as the gold standard.
| Diagnostic tests | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.86 (0.78–0.92) | 0.94 (0.92–0.97) | 0.71 (0.63–0.79) | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | |
| 0.79 (0.70–0.86) | 0.84 (0.81–0.87) | 0.45 (0.38–0.52) | 0.96 (0.94–0.98) | |
| 0.86 (0.78–0.92) | 0.73 (0.69–0.77) | 0.37 (0.31–0.43) | 0.97 (0.95–0.98) | |
| 0.97(0.92–0.99) | 0.90 (0.87–0.92) | 0.61 (0.54–0.68) | 1.00(0.99–1.00) | |
| 0.90 (0.83–0.95) | 1.00 (0.99–1.00) | 1.00 (0.96–1.00) | 0.98 (0.97–0.99) |
Performance of current and previous protocols for CVL diagnosis, considering the latent class variable as the gold standard.
| Diagnostic tests | Sensitivity | Specificity | PPV | NPV | Accuracy | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.71 (0.42–0.92) | 0.96 (0.93–0.98) | 0.40 (0.21–0.61) | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | 0.95 | ||
| 0.74 (0.64–0.82) | 0.94 (0.90–0.96) | 0.79 (0.69–0.87) | 0.92 (0.88–0.95) | 0.89 | ||
| 0.73 (0.64–0.81) | 0.95 (0.93–0.96) | 0.70 (0.61–0.78) | 0.96 (0.94–0.97) | 0.92 | ||
| 0.71 (0.42–0.92) | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 0.63 (0.35–0.85) | 0.99 (0.97–1.00) | 0.97 | ||
| 0.73 (0.63–0.82) | 0.97 (0.94–0.98) | 0.88 (0.78–0.94) | 0.92 (0.89–0.95) | 0.91 | ||
| 0.73 (0.63–0.81) | 0.98 (0.96–0.99) | 0.83 (0.74–0.90) | 0.96 (0.94–0.97) | 0.94 | ||
*The specificity of previous and current protocol was statically different, based on McNemar test (p = 0.0078).
Estimates of PPV and NPV of current and previous protocols for CVL diagnosis, considering the latent class variable as the gold standard, by theoretical values of CVL prevalence.
| Previous protocol | Current protocol | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prevalence (%) | PPV | NPV | PPV | NPV |
| 0.13 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 1.00 | |
| 0.43 | 0.99 | 0.62 | 0.99 | |
| 0.61 | 0.97 | 0.77 | 0.97 | |
| 0.71 | 0.95 | 0.84 | 0.95 | |
| 0.78 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.94 | |
| 0.86 | 0.89 | 0.93 | 0.89 | |
| 0.93 | 0.78 | 0.97 | 0.78 | |
| 0.98 | 0.47 | 0.99 | 0.47 | |