| Literature DB >> 26565633 |
Monica Garcia-Simon1, Jose M Morales2, Vicente Modesto-Alapont3, Vannina Gonzalez-Marrachelli4, Rosa Vento-Rehues1, Angela Jorda-Miñana1, Jose Blanquer-Olivas1, Daniel Monleon4.
Abstract
Early diagnosis and patient stratification may improve sepsis outcome by a timely start of the proper specific treatment. We aimed to identify metabolomic biomarkers of sepsis in urine by (1)H-NMR spectroscopy to assess the severity and to predict outcomes. Urine samples were collected from 64 patients with severe sepsis or septic shock in the ICU for a (1)H NMR spectra acquisition. A supervised analysis was performed on the processed spectra, and a predictive model for prognosis (30-days mortality/survival) of sepsis was constructed using partial least-squares discriminant analysis (PLS-DA). In addition, we compared the prediction power of metabolomics data respect the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. Supervised multivariate analysis afforded a good predictive model to distinguish the patient groups and detect specific metabolic patterns. Negative prognosis patients presented higher values of ethanol, glucose and hippurate, and on the contrary, lower levels of methionine, glutamine, arginine and phenylalanine. These metabolites could be part of a composite biopattern of the human metabolic response to sepsis shock and its mortality in ICU patients. The internal cross-validation showed robustness of the metabolic predictive model obtained and a better predictive ability in comparison with SOFA values. Our results indicate that NMR metabolic profiling might be helpful for determining the metabolomic phenotype of worst-prognosis septic patients in an early stage. A predictive model for the evolution of septic patients using these metabolites was able to classify cases with more sensitivity and specificity than the well-established organ dysfunction score SOFA.Entities:
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Year: 2015 PMID: 26565633 PMCID: PMC4643898 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0140993
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Demographic and clinical characteristics of the subjects enrolled in the study.
| Items | All | Survivor | Non- survivor |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (n = 60) | (n = 48) | (n = 12) | ||
| Male sex, n (%); [IC] | 39 (65%); [53.6–77.8] | 32 (66.7%) | 7 (58.3%) | ns |
| Age, years, median (IQR); [IC] | 60 (47–73); [55.3–62.8] | 60 (24–80) | 65 (37–79) | ns |
| Severe sepsis, n (%); [IC] | 30 (50%); [38–63.5] | 27 (56.2%) | 3 (25%) | ns |
| Septic shock, n (%); [IC] | 30 (50%); [36.5–62] | 21 (43.8%) | 9 (75%) | ns |
| Days in the ICU, median (IQR); [IC] | 7 (4–11); [5–9] | 6.5 (4.7–11) | 7 (3–22.5) | ns |
| 30-day mortality, n (%); [IC] | 12 (20%); [9.2–29.6] | |||
| APACHE II, mean ± SD; [IC] | 19.6 ± 6.0; [18.1–21.1] | 19 ± 6 | 21 ± 5 | ns |
| SOFA-0h, median (IQR) | 8 (6.8–8.6) | 7 (5–10) | 11 (7–13.5) | < 0.05 |
| SOFA-24h, median (IQR) | 5 (3–8) | 5 (3–7) | 8 (4.75–9.75) | < 0.05 |
| SOFA-72h, median (IQR) | 3 (2–6) | 3.5 (2–5) | 6.5 (2–10.25) | < 0.05 |
| Origin of sepsis, n (%); [IC]: | ||||
| Abdominal | 7 (11.7%); [2.4–18] | 6 (12.5%) | 1 (8.3%) | ns |
| Pulmonar | 38 (63.3%); [52–76.4] | 31 (64.6%) | 7 (58.3%) | ns |
| Urinary | 8 (13.3%); [4.5–22.3] | 7 (14.6%) | 1 (8.3%) | ns |
| CNS | 4 (6.7%); [1.7–14.6] | 4 (8.3%) | 0 | ns |
| Bacteremia, n (%); [IC] | 22 (36.7%); [23.6–48] | 14 (29.2%) | 8 (66.7%) | <0.05 |
| Analytic results: | ||||
| Hemoglobin (g/dl), mean ± SD; [IC] | 11.1 ± 1.7; [10.6–11.5] | 11.1 ± 1.8 | 9.8 ± 1.8 | <0.05 |
| Leukocytes (x109/l), mean ± SD; [IC] | 14.8 ± 10.7; [10.3–17.5] | 15.92 ± 11.8 | 10.2 ± 9.6 | ns |
| Platelets (x109/l, mean ± SD; [IC] | 193 ± 94; [169–230] | 207 ± 105 | 135 ± 94 | <0.05 |
| Glucose (mg/dl), median (IQR); [IC] | 140 (107–175); [127–151] | 139 (107–168) | 134 (109–212) | ns |
| Bilirubin (mg/dl), median (IQR); [IC] | 0.9 (0.5–1.4); [0.6–1.1] | 1.2 ± 1.3 | 1.13 ± 5.1 | ns |
| PCR (mg/l), mean ± SD; [IC] | 172 ± 46; [134–182] | 174 ± 87 | 162 ± 76 | ns |
| PCT (ng/ml), median (IQR); [IC] | 3.9 (0.6–20); [1.4–9.8] | 2.5 (0.5–16.9) | 5.7 (0.8–44.8) | ns |
| Lactate (mmol/l), median (IQR); [IC] | 2.6 (1.7–3.6); [2.3–3.1] | 2.6 (2.0–3.5) | 2.75 (1.6–7.8) | ns |
| Creatinine (mg/dl), median (IQR); [IC] | 1.6 (0.9–2.5); [1.2–2] | 1.5 (0.9–2.2) | 1.3 (0.8–2.6) | ns |
| Urea (mg/dl), mean ± SD; [IC] | 74 ± 46, [61.9–91.3] | 70 ± 4 | 89 ± 55 | ns |
ICU intensive care unit, APACHE II Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, SOFA Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, PCT procalcitonin, PCR reactive C protein, CNS central nervous system, SD standard deviation, IQR interquartile range, IC confidence interval 95%;
*p values, survivor vs non-survivor; ns, no significant value (p ≥ 0.05).
Fig 1PLS-DA score plot for discrimination between survivor (open squares) and non-survivor patients (black circles).
(A) PLS-DA score plot constructed with Urine-0h samples obtained at the admission to the ICU. (B) PLS-DA score plot constructed with Urine-24h samples obtained at 24h after admission to the ICU. (C) Loading plot of the PLS-DA score plot constructed with Urine-0h samples.
Fig 2Box plots showing representative metabolite changes between survivor and non-survivor patients.
(A) Box plots from Urine-0h (B) Box plots from Urine-24h samples. Boxes denote interquartile ranges, lines denote medians, and whiskers denote 10th and 90th percentiles. Levels are expressed as area of the metabolite of interest divided with respect total aliphatic spectral area.*p < 0.05; **p < 0.01;***p < 0.001.
Fig 3ROC curves constructed with the logistic regression model and frequency table for discrimination between survivor and non-survivor patients in predicting 30-days mortality.
(A) ROC curve based on the metabolomics scores evolution values (AUC 0.85; p<0.05, 95% CI 0.68–1). (B) ROC curve based on the SOFA evolution values (AUC 0.78; p<0.05, 95% CI 0.6–0.9). (C) Comparison of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), accuracy (ACC) and area under (AUC) the ROC curve of SOFA and metabolomic predictive models. The numbers in parenthesis represent the confidence interval in 95%.