| Literature DB >> 26445235 |
Jayden MacRae1, Tom Love2, Michael G Baker3, Anthony Dowell4, Matthew Carnachan5, Maria Stubbe4, Lynn McBain4.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: We designed and validated a rule-based expert system to identify influenza like illness (ILI) from routinely recorded general practice clinical narrative to aid a larger retrospective research study into the impact of the 2009 influenza pandemic in New Zealand.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2015 PMID: 26445235 PMCID: PMC4596422 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-015-0201-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Med Inform Decis Mak ISSN: 1472-6947 Impact factor: 2.796
Fig. 1Clinical ILI algorithm schematic
Fig. 2Software ILI algorithm schematic
Lexical sets
| Lexical set | Description | Expressions |
|---|---|---|
| Adult Flu Definitive Negative Expressions | Expressions which relate specifically to other respiratory conditions in adults that are not ILI or that specifically negate ILI. | 9 |
| Adult Negative Flu Expressions | Expressions which relate to signs or symptoms that when negated decrease likelihood of ILI. | 9 |
| Adult Positive Flu Expressions | Expressions which relate specifically to signs or symptoms where present increase the likelihood of ILI. | 9 |
| Child Flu Definitive Negatives | Expressions which related specifically to other respiratory conditions in children that are not ILI or expressions which are specific negation of ILI itself. | 10 |
| Child Negative Flu Expressions | Expressions which relate to signs or symptoms in children that when negated decrease the likelihood of ILI. | 25 |
| Child Positive Flu Expressions | Expressions which related to signs or symptoms in children that would increase the likelihood of ILI if present. | 30 |
| Definitive Negatives | Expressions that relate to procedures associated with influenza, particularly prophylaxis but do not indicate ILI is currently present. | 10 |
| Negative Pyrexia Expressions | Expression that when either negated, or when present suggest a temperature that is not elevated. | 16 |
| Negative Respiratory Expressions | Expressions that relate to signs or symptoms that when negated decrease likelihood of respiratory disease. | 28 |
| Negative Symptom Expressions | Expressions that when present suggest an elevated temperature. | 10 |
| Positive Pyrexia Expressions | Expressions that related to signs or symptoms that may be associated with respiratory disease but not necessarily ILI. | 11 |
| Positive Respiratory Expressions | Expressions that related to signs or symptoms that when present, increase the likelihood that ILI is present. | 36 |
| Positive Symptom Expressions | Expressions which related to signs or symptoms that when present increase the likelihood of ILI. | 10 |
| ILI Prophylactic Expressions | Expressions that relate to influenza and contribute to workload in general practice but where there is no active disease process present in an individual. These expressions include those that related to the seeking of prophylactic measures for influenza. | 10 |
Examples of terms used within lexical sets
| Expression type | Example terms |
|---|---|
| Flu | influenza, cold, muscle aches, cough, fever, URTI |
| Child Flu | influenza, cold, muscle aches, cough, fever, URTI |
| Flu Definitive Negatives | tonsillitis, asthma, ear check |
| Child Flu Definitive Negatives | otitis media, tonsillitis, asthma, ear check, pneumonia |
| Pyrexia | pyrexia, fever, hot, temperature 38-41 |
| Respiratory | influenza, flu, ILI, H1N1, URTI, cough, runny nose, cold, phlegm, chesty, sore throat |
| Symptoms | cough, sore throat, red throat, myalgia |
| ILI Prophylactic | tamiflu, osiltamivir, flu vaccine |
Fig. 3Software ILI algorithm applied to an example clinical narrative
Fig. 4Algorithm sensitivity and specificity by training round
Software algorithm performance versus gold standard in test and tenth-round training set
| Gold standard | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Test | Training (round 10) | ||||
| Has ILI | True | False | True | False | |
| Algorithm | True | 101 | 14 | 75 | 9 |
| False | 11 | 775 | 10 | 529 | |
Software algorithm measures of performance in test and tenth-round training set
| Measure | Training (round 10) | Test | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated value | 95 % Confidence intervals | |||
| Lower limit | Upper limit | |||
| Incidence | 0.136 | 0.124 | 0.103 | 0.148 |
| Sensitivity | 0.882 | 0.902 | 0.831 | 0.950 |
| Specificity | 0.983 | 0.982 | 0.970 | 0.990 |
| Positive Predictive Value | 0.893 | 0.878 | 0.804 | 0.930 |
| F-measure | 0.888 | 0.890 | 0.817 | 0.940 |