| Literature DB >> 25559826 |
Hrvoje Gašparović1, Stjepan Ivanković, Jana Ljubas Maček, Filip Matovinović, Mislav Nedić, Lucija Svetina, Maja Čikes, Boško Skorić, Željko Baričević, Višnja Ivančan, Bojan Biočina, Davor Miličić.
Abstract
Aim. To identify predictors of 3-month mortality after heart transplantation in a Croatian academic center. Methods. A retrospective review of institutional database identified 117 heart transplantations from January 2008 to July 2014. Two children <14 years were excluded from the study. The remaining 115 patients were dichotomized into survivors and non-survivors adjudicated at 3-months postoperatively, and their demographic, clinical, and longitudinal hemodynamic data were analyzed. Results. 3-month survival after heart transplantation was 86%. Non-survivors were older (59±8 vs 50±14 years, P=0.009), more likely to have previous cardiac surgery (44% vs 19%; odds ratio [OR] 3.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.08-9.90; P=0.029), lower body mass index (BMI) (25±4 vs 28±2 kg/m(2), P=0.001), and be diabetics (44% vs 23%; OR 2.57, 95% CI 0.86-7.66; P=0.083). Creatinine clearance was marginally superior among survivors (59=19 vs 48 ± 20 mL/min, P=0.059). Donor age and sex did not affect outcomes. Non-survivors were more likely to have had ischemic cardiomyopathy (69% vs 32%, P=0.010). Postoperative utilization of epinephrine as a second line inotropic agent was a strong predictor of mortality (63% vs 7%; OR 21.91; 95% CI 6.15-78.06; P<0.001). Serum lactate concentrations were consistently higher among non-survivors, with the difference being most pronounced 2 hours after cardiopulmonary bypass (9.8±3.5 vs 5.2±3.2 mmol/L, P<0.001). The donor hearts exhibited inferior early hemodynamics in non-survivors (cardiac index 3.0±1.0 vs 4.0±1.1 L/min/m(2), P=0.001), stroke volume (49±24 vs 59±19 mL, P=0.063), and left and right ventricular stroke work indices (18±8 vs 30±11 g/beat/m(2), P<0.001 and 5±3 vs 7±4 g/beat/m(2), P=0.060, respectively). Non-survivors were more likely to require postoperative re-sternotomy (50% vs 12%; OR 7.25, 95% CI 2.29-22.92; P<0.001), renal replacement therapy (RRT) (69% vs 9%; OR 22.00, 95% CI 6.24-77.54; P<0.001), and mechanical circulatory assistance (MCS) (44% vs 5%; OR 14.62, 95% CI 3.84-55.62; P<0.001). Binary logistic regression revealed recipient age (P=0.024), serum lactates 2 hours after CPB (P=0.007), and epinephrine use on postoperative day 1 (P=0.007) to be independently associated with 3-month mortality. Conclusion. Pretransplant predictors of adverse outcome after heart transplantation were recipient age, lower BMI, ischemic cardiomyopathy, reoperation and diabetes. Postoperative predictors of mortality were inferior donor heart hemodynamics, epinephrine use, and serum lactate concentrations. Non-survivors were more likely to require re-sternotomy, MCS, and RRT.Entities:
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Year: 2014 PMID: 25559826 PMCID: PMC4295070 DOI: 10.3325/cmj.2014.55.553
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Croat Med J ISSN: 0353-9504 Impact factor: 1.351
Patient demographic and clinical data*
| 3-month outcome | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preoperative descriptors | non-survivors, n (%) | survivors, n (%) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | |
| Male recipients | 14 (88) | 72 (73) | 2.63 (0.56-12.32) | 0.207 |
| Male donors | 11 (69) | 69 (70) | 0.957 (0.306-2.993) | 0.939 |
| Hyperlipidemia | 4 (25) | 31 (31) | 0.73 (0.22-2.45) | 0.611 |
| Hypertension | 7 (44) | 34 (34) | 1.49 (0.51-4.34) | 0.466 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 7 (44) | 23 (23) | 2.57 (0.86-7.66) | 0.083 |
| Smoking history | 3 (19) | 10 (10) | 2.05 (0.50-8.46) | 0.311 |
| Atrial fibrillation | 8 (50) | 30 (30) | 2.30 (0.79-6.70) | 0.120 |
| Reoperation | 7 (44) | 19 (19) | 3.28 (1.08-9.90) | 0.029 |
| Preoperative inotropic support (any) | 6 (38) | 36 (36) | 1.05 (0.35-3.13) | 0.930 |
| Preoperative epinephrine | 3 (19) | 7 (7) | 3.03 (0.70-13.22) | 0.124 |
| Preoperative MCS | 5 (31) | 17 (17) | 2.19 (0.67-7.13) | 0.184 |
*Abbreviations: CI – confidence intervals; MCS – mechanical circulatory assistance.
Continuous descriptors of patient cohorts*
| 3-month outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| non-survivors, mean (SD) | survivors, mean (SD) | ||
| Recipient age (years) | 59 (8) | 50 (14) | 0.009 |
| Donor age (years) | 38 (13) | 38 (12) | 0.916 |
| Body mass index (kg/m2) | 25 (4) | 28 (2) | 0.001 |
| Creatinine clearance (mL/min) | 48 (20) | 59 (19) | 0.059 |
| NT-proBNP | 7559 (4380) | 8009 (6738) | 0.701 |
| Preoperative lactate (mmol/L) | 2.8 (1.4) | 2.6 (2.4) | 0.167 |
| PVR | 242 (122) | 247 (137) | 0.890 |
| Ischemic time | 193 (58) | 178 (61) | 0.355 |
| CPB duration (min) | 194 (70) | 170 (72) | 0.145 |
| Mechanical ventilation (hrs) | 266 (177) | 46 (52) | <0.001 |
*Abbreviations: SD – standard deviation; NT-proBNP – N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide; PVR – pulmonary vascular resistance; CPB – cardiopulmonary bypass.
Primary cardiac pathology antedating heart transplantation*
| 3-month outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| non-survivors, n (%) | survivors, n (%) | ||
| Dilatative CMP | 5 (31) | 57 (58) | 0.061 |
| Ischemic CMP | 11 (69) | 32 (32) | 0.010 |
| Valvular CMP | 0 (0) | 2 (2) | 1.0 |
| Restrictive CMP | 0 (0) | 2 (2) | 1.0 |
| Hypertrophic obstructive CMP | 0 (0) | 2 (2) | 1.0 |
| Grown-up congenital disease | 0 (0) | 2 (2) | 1.0 |
| ARVD | 0 (0) | 2 (2) | 1.0 |
*Abbreviations: CMP – cardiomyopathy; ARVD – arrhythmogenic right ventricular dysplasia.
Figure 1Box and whisker plots showing the serum lactate concentrations in survivors and non-survivors over the early postoperative period. Boxes represent the 25th and 75th percentiles, and horizontal lines within the boxes are the median values. The whiskers illustrate the minimum and maximum values.
Postprocedural patient characteristics*
| 3-month outcome | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| non-survivors, n (%) | survivors, n (%) | Odds ratio (95% CI) | ||
| Any inotrope T1 | 15 (94) | 91 (92) | 1.32 (0.15-11.31) | 0.800 |
| Epinephrine T1 | 6 (38) | 11 (11) | 4.80 (1.46-15.79) | 0.006 |
| Any inotrope T2 | 16 (100) | 84 (85) | 1.19 (1.09-1.30)† | 0.095 |
| Epinephrine T2 | 10 (63) | 7 (7) | 21.91 (6.15-78.06) | <0.001 |
| Any inotrope T3 | 11 (85) | 62 (63) | 3.28 (0.69-15.63) | 0.118 |
| Epinephrine T3 | 7 (54) | 19 (19) | 4.91 (1.48-16.30) | 0.005 |
| Postoperative MCS | 7 (44) | 5 (5) | 14.62 (3.84-55.62) | <0.001 |
| RRT | 11 (69) | 9 (9) | 22.00 (6.24-77.54) | <0.001 |
| CVI | 2 (13) | 4 (4) | 3.39 (0.57-20.28) | 0.158 |
| Re-sternotomy | 8 (50) | 12 (12) | 7.25 (2.29-22.92) | <0.001 |
*Abbreviations: CI – confidence intervals; T1 – 2 hours post CPB; T2 – postoperative day 1; T3 – postoperative day 7; MCS – mechanical circulatory support; RRT – renal replacement therapy; CVI – cerebrovascular incident.
†Relative risk.
Longitudinal analysis of hemodynamic descriptors*
| 3-month outcome | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| non-survivors, mean (SD) | survivors, mean (SD) | ||
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 1.9 (0.6) | 2.0 (0.7) | 0.698 |
| Stroke volume (mL) | 51 (18) | 48 (19) | 0.495 |
| LVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 17 (7) | 20 (9) | 0.322 |
| RVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 6 (3) | 6 (3) | 0.723 |
| PVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 242 (122) | 247 (137) | 0.814 |
| SVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 1287 (470) | 1384 (484) | 0.479 |
| CVP (mm Hg) | 19 (7) | 16 (6) | 0.190 |
| PCWP (mm Hg) | 26 (8) | 23 (8) | 0.254 |
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 3.0 (1.0) | 4.0 (1.1) | 0.001 |
| Stroke volume (mL) | 49 (24) | 59 (19) | 0.063 |
| LVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 18 (8) | 30 (11) | <0.001 |
| RVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 5 (3) | 7 (4) | 0.060 |
| PVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 148 (56) | 125 (51) | 0.162 |
| SVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 840 (278) | 723 (257) | 0.058 |
| CVP (mm Hg) | 16 (6) | 15 (5) | 0.543 |
| PCWP (mm Hg) | 17 (5) | 17 (5) | 0.625 |
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 3.3 (0.9) | 3.8 (0.8) | 0.075 |
| Stroke volume (mL) | 57 (23) | 65 (18) | 0.132 |
| LVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 25 (9) | 33 (10) | 0.007 |
| RVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 5 (2) | 5 (2) | 0.702 |
| PVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 112 (44) | 104 (52) | 0.461 |
| SVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 779 (213) | 830 (299) | 0.794 |
| CVP (mm Hg) | 15 (4) | 15 (4) | 0.762 |
| PCWP (mm Hg) | 16 (3) | 16 (4) | 0.606 |
| Cardiac index (L/min/m2) | 3.9 (0.8) | 3.4 (0.7) | 0.069 |
| Stroke volume (mL) | 62 (18) | 63 (19) | 0.848 |
| LVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 33 (13) | 37 (19) | 0.353 |
| RVSWI (g/beat/m2) | 7 (3) | 5 (2) | 0.085 |
| PVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 121 (34) | 119 (44) | 0.558 |
| SVR (dyn · s · cm−5) | 849 (275) | 990 (279) | 0.100 |
| CVP (mm Hg) | 13 (4) | 14 (5) | 0.439 |
| PCWP (mm Hg) | 15 (4) | 15 (4) | 0.948 |
*Abbreviations: SD – standard deviation; LVSWI – left ventricular stroke work index; RVSWI – right ventricular stroke work index; POD – postoperative day; PVR – pulmonary vascular resistance; SVR – systemic vascular resistance; CVP – central venous pressure; PCWP – pulmonary capillary wedge pressure; CPB – cardiopulmonary bypass.
Figure 2Box and whisker plots depicting the thermodilution-derived cardiac index in survivors and non-survivors over the early postoperative period. Boxes represent the 25th and 75th percentiles, and horizontal lines within the boxes are the median values. The whiskers illustrate the minimum and maximum values.