Literature DB >> 25516185

Epidemiological and viral genomic sequence analysis of the 2014 ebola outbreak reveals clustered transmission.

Samuel V Scarpino1, Atila Iamarino2, Chad Wells3, Dan Yamin3, Martial Ndeffo-Mbah3, Natasha S Wenzel4, Spencer J Fox5, Tolbert Nyenswah6, Frederick L Altice7, Alison P Galvani8, Lauren Ancel Meyers9, Jeffrey P Townsend10.   

Abstract

Using Ebolavirus genomic and epidemiological data, we conducted the first joint analysis in which both data types were used to fit dynamic transmission models for an ongoing outbreak. Our results indicate that transmission is clustered, highlighting a potential bias in medical demand forecasts, and provide the first empirical estimate of underreporting.
© The Author 2014. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: journals.permissions@oup.com.

Entities:  

Keywords:  Ebola; West Africa; clustering; epidemiology; genome sequencing

Mesh：

Year:  2014        PMID： 25516185      PMCID： PMC4375398          DOI： 10.1093/cid/ciu1131

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Clin Infect Dis        ISSN： 1058-4838            Impact factor:   9.079


  19 in total

1.  Estimating the Reproduction Number of Ebola Virus (EBOV) During the 2014 Outbreak in West Africa.

Authors:  Christian L Althaus
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2014-09-02

2.  Infectious Diseases. Ebola vaccine trials raise ethical issues.

Authors:  Jon Cohen; Kai Kupferschmidt
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3.  Estimating the future number of cases in the Ebola epidemic--Liberia and Sierra Leone, 2014-2015.

Authors:  Martin I Meltzer; Charisma Y Atkins; Scott Santibanez; Barbara Knust; Brett W Petersen; Elizabeth D Ervin; Stuart T Nichol; Inger K Damon; Michael L Washington
Journal:  MMWR Suppl       Date:  2014-09-26

4.  Ebola outbreak is a public health emergency of international concern, WHO warns.

Authors:  Nigel Hawkes
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  2014-08-08

5.  The reemergence of Ebola hemorrhagic fever, Democratic Republic of the Congo, 1995. Commission de Lutte contre les Epidémies à Kikwit.

Authors:  A S Khan; F K Tshioko; D L Heymann; B Le Guenno; P Nabeth; B Kerstiëns; Y Fleerackers; P H Kilmarx; G R Rodier; O Nkuku; P E Rollin; A Sanchez; S R Zaki; R Swanepoel; O Tomori; S T Nichol; C J Peters; J J Muyembe-Tamfum; T G Ksiazek
Journal:  J Infect Dis       Date:  1999-02       Impact factor: 5.226

6.  Models of epidemics: when contact repetition and clustering should be included.

Authors:  Timo Smieszek; Lena Fiebig; Roland W Scholz
Journal:  Theor Biol Med Model       Date:  2009-06-29       Impact factor: 2.432

7.  A likelihood-based method for real-time estimation of the serial interval and reproductive number of an epidemic.

Authors:  L Forsberg White; M Pagano
Journal:  Stat Med       Date:  2008-07-20       Impact factor: 2.373

8.  Ebola hemorrhagic fever transmission and risk factors of contacts, Uganda.

Authors:  Paolo Francesconi; Zabulon Yoti; Silvia Declich; Paul Awil Onek; Massimo Fabiani; Joseph Olango; Roberta Andraghetti; Pierre E Rollin; Cyprian Opira; Donato Greco; Stefania Salmaso
Journal:  Emerg Infect Dis       Date:  2003-11       Impact factor: 6.883

9.  Bayesian reconstruction of disease outbreaks by combining epidemiologic and genomic data.

Authors:  Thibaut Jombart; Anne Cori; Xavier Didelot; Simon Cauchemez; Christophe Fraser; Neil Ferguson
Journal:  PLoS Comput Biol       Date:  2014-01-23       Impact factor: 4.475

10.  Ebola virus disease in West Africa--the first 9 months of the epidemic and forward projections.

Authors:  Bruce Aylward; Philippe Barboza; Luke Bawo; Eric Bertherat; Pepe Bilivogui; Isobel Blake; Rick Brennan; Sylvie Briand; Jethro Magwati Chakauya; Kennedy Chitala; Roland M Conteh; Anne Cori; Alice Croisier; Jean-Marie Dangou; Boubacar Diallo; Christl A Donnelly; Christopher Dye; Tim Eckmanns; Neil M Ferguson; Pierre Formenty; Caroline Fuhrer; Keiji Fukuda; Tini Garske; Alex Gasasira; Stephen Gbanyan; Peter Graaff; Emmanuel Heleze; Amara Jambai; Thibaut Jombart; Francis Kasolo; Albert Mbule Kadiobo; Sakoba Keita; Daniel Kertesz; Moussa Koné; Chris Lane; Jered Markoff; Moses Massaquoi; Harriet Mills; John Mike Mulba; Emmanuel Musa; Joel Myhre; Abdusalam Nasidi; Eric Nilles; Pierre Nouvellet; Deo Nshimirimana; Isabelle Nuttall; Tolbert Nyenswah; Olushayo Olu; Scott Pendergast; William Perea; Jonathan Polonsky; Steven Riley; Olivier Ronveaux; Keita Sakoba; Ravi Santhana Gopala Krishnan; Mikiko Senga; Faisal Shuaib; Maria D Van Kerkhove; Rui Vaz; Niluka Wijekoon Kannangarage; Zabulon Yoti
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2014-09-22       Impact factor: 91.245
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  31 in total

1.  Impact of bed capacity on spatiotemporal shifts in Ebola transmission.

Authors:  Jeffrey P Townsend; Laura A Skrip; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2015-10-30       Impact factor: 11.205

2.  The RAPIDD Ebola forecasting challenge: Model description and synthetic data generation.

Authors:  Marco Ajelli; Qian Zhang; Kaiyuan Sun; Stefano Merler; Laura Fumanelli; Gerardo Chowell; Lone Simonsen; Cecile Viboud; Alessandro Vespignani
Journal:  Epidemics       Date:  2017-09-20       Impact factor: 4.396

3.  Complex dynamics of synergistic coinfections on realistically clustered networks.

Authors:  Laurent Hébert-Dufresne; Benjamin M Althouse
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2015-07-20       Impact factor: 11.205

4.  Assessing the direct effects of the ebola outbreak on life expectancy in liberia, sierra leone and Guinea.

Authors:  Stephane Helleringer; Andrew Noymer
Journal:  PLoS Curr       Date:  2015-02-19

5.  Ebola vaccination in the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Authors:  Chad R Wells; Abhishek Pandey; Alyssa S Parpia; Meagan C Fitzpatrick; Lauren A Meyers; Burton H Singer; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2019-04-29       Impact factor: 11.205

6.  Characterizing risk of Ebola transmission based on frequency and type of case-contact exposures.

Authors:  Laura A Skrip; Mosoka P Fallah; Stephen G Gaffney; Rami Yaari; Dan Yamin; Amit Huppert; Luke Bawo; Tolbert Nyenswah; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2017-05-26       Impact factor: 6.237

7.  Retrospective Analysis of the 2014-2015 Ebola Epidemic in Liberia.

Authors:  Katherine E Atkins; Abhishek Pandey; Natasha S Wenzel; Laura Skrip; Dan Yamin; Tolbert G Nyenswah; Mosoka Fallah; Luke Bawo; Jan Medlock; Frederick L Altice; Jeffrey Townsend; Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  Am J Trop Med Hyg       Date:  2016-02-29       Impact factor: 2.345

8.  Neutral Theory and the Somatic Evolution of Cancer.

Authors:  Vincent L Cannataro; Jeffrey P Townsend
Journal:  Mol Biol Evol       Date:  2018-06-01       Impact factor: 16.240

9.  Adequacy of SEIR models when epidemics have spatial structure: Ebola in Sierra Leone.

Authors:  Wayne M Getz; Richard Salter; Whitney Mgbara
Journal:  Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci       Date:  2019-06-24       Impact factor: 6.237

10.  Harnessing case isolation and ring vaccination to control Ebola.

Authors:  Chad Wells; Dan Yamin; Martial L Ndeffo-Mbah; Natasha Wenzel; Stephen G Gaffney; Jeffrey P Townsend; Lauren Ancel Meyers; Mosoka Fallah; Tolbert G Nyenswah; Frederick L Altice; Katherine E Atkins; Alison P Galvani
Journal:  PLoS Negl Trop Dis       Date:  2015-05-29
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