Margaret Hellard1, David A Rolls, Rachel Sacks-Davis, Garry Robins, Philippa Pattison, Peter Higgs, Campbell Aitken, Emma McBryde. 1. Center for Population Health, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Infectious Diseases Unit, The Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Center for Research Excellence in Injecting Drug Use, Burnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Abstract
UNLABELLED: With the development of new highly efficacious direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments for hepatitis C virus (HCV), the concept of treatment as prevention is gaining credence. To date, the majority of mathematical models assume perfect mixing, with injectors having equal contact with all other injectors. This article explores how using a networks-based approach to treat people who inject drugs (PWID) with DAAs affects HCV prevalence. Using observational data, we parameterized an exponential random graph model containing 524 nodes. We simulated transmission of HCV through this network using a discrete time, stochastic transmission model. The effect of five treatment strategies on the prevalence of HCV was investigated; two of these strategies were (1) treat randomly selected nodes and (2) "treat your friends," where an individual is chosen at random for treatment and all their infected neighbors are treated. As treatment coverage increases, HCV prevalence at 10 years reduces for both the high- and low-efficacy treatment. Within each set of parameters, the treat your friends strategy performed better than the random strategy being most marked for higher-efficacy treatment. For example, over 10 years of treating 25 per 1,000 PWID, the prevalence drops from 50% to 40% for the random strategy and to 33% for the treat your friends strategy (6.5% difference; 95% confidence interval: 5.1-8.1). CONCLUSION: Treat your friends is a feasible means of utilizing network strategies to improve treatment efficiency. In an era of highly efficacious and highly tolerable treatment, such an approach will benefit not just the individual, but also the community more broadly by reducing the prevalence of HCV among PWID.
UNLABELLED: With the development of new highly efficacious direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments for hepatitis C virus (HCV), the concept of treatment as prevention is gaining credence. To date, the majority of mathematical models assume perfect mixing, with injectors having equal contact with all other injectors. This article explores how using a networks-based approach to treat people who inject drugs (PWID) with DAAs affects HCV prevalence. Using observational data, we parameterized an exponential random graph model containing 524 nodes. We simulated transmission of HCV through this network using a discrete time, stochastic transmission model. The effect of five treatment strategies on the prevalence of HCV was investigated; two of these strategies were (1) treat randomly selected nodes and (2) "treat your friends," where an individual is chosen at random for treatment and all their infected neighbors are treated. As treatment coverage increases, HCV prevalence at 10 years reduces for both the high- and low-efficacy treatment. Within each set of parameters, the treat your friends strategy performed better than the random strategy being most marked for higher-efficacy treatment. For example, over 10 years of treating 25 per 1,000 PWID, the prevalence drops from 50% to 40% for the random strategy and to 33% for the treat your friends strategy (6.5% difference; 95% confidence interval: 5.1-8.1). CONCLUSION: Treat your friends is a feasible means of utilizing network strategies to improve treatment efficiency. In an era of highly efficacious and highly tolerable treatment, such an approach will benefit not just the individual, but also the community more broadly by reducing the prevalence of HCV among PWID.
Authors: B Jacka; B C Bray; T L Applegate; B D L Marshall; V D Lima; K Hayashi; K DeBeck; J Raghwani; P R Harrigan; M Krajden; J S G Montaner; J Grebely Journal: J Viral Hepat Date: 2017-09-04 Impact factor: 3.728
Authors: Brendan Jacka; Tanya Applegate; Art F Poon; Jayna Raghwani; P Richard Harrigan; Kora DeBeck; M-J Milloy; Mel Krajden; Andrea Olmstead; Jeffrey B Joy; Brandon D L Marshall; Kanna Hayashi; Oliver G Pybus; Viviane Dias Lima; Gkikas Magiorkinis; Julio Montaner; Francois Lamoury; Gregory J Dore; Evan Wood; Jason Grebely Journal: J Hepatol Date: 2016-02-26 Impact factor: 25.083
Authors: Ali Mirzazadeh; Jennifer L Evans; Judith A Hahn; Jennifer Jain; Alya Briceno; Stephen Shiboski; Paula J Lum; Christopher Bentsen; Geoff Davis; Kathy Shriver; Melanie Dimapasoc; Mars Stone; Michael P Busch; Kimberly Page Journal: AIDS Behav Date: 2018-04
Authors: Jason Grebely; Geert Robaeys; Philip Bruggmann; Alessio Aghemo; Markus Backmund; Julie Bruneau; Jude Byrne; Olav Dalgard; Jordan J Feld; Margaret Hellard; Matthew Hickman; Achim Kautz; Alain Litwin; Andrew R Lloyd; Stefan Mauss; Maria Prins; Tracy Swan; Martin Schaefer; Lynn E Taylor; Gregory J Dore Journal: Int J Drug Policy Date: 2015-07-17