Literature DB >> 24469822

Exposure to ambient black carbon derived from a unique inventory and high-resolution model.

Rong Wang1, Shu Tao, Yves Balkanski, Philippe Ciais, Olivier Boucher, Junfeng Liu, Shilong Piao, Huizhong Shen, Maria Raffaella Vuolo, Myrto Valari, Han Chen, Yuanchen Chen, Anne Cozic, Ye Huang, Bengang Li, Wei Li, Guofeng Shen, Bin Wang, Yanyan Zhang.   

Abstract

Black carbon (BC) is increasingly recognized as a significant air pollutant with harmful effects on human health, either in its own right or as a carrier of other chemicals. The adverse impact is of particular concern in those developing regions with high emissions and a growing population density. The results of recent studies indicate that BC emissions could be underestimated by a factor of 2-3 and this is particularly true for the hot-spot Asian region. Here we present a unique inventory at 10-km resolution based on a recently published global fuel consumption data product and updated emission factor measurements. The unique inventory is coupled to an Asia-nested (∼50 km) atmospheric model and used to calculate the global population exposure to BC with fully quantified uncertainty. Evaluating the modeled surface BC concentrations against observations reveals great improvement. The bias is reduced from -88% to -35% in Asia when the unique inventory and higher-resolution model replace a previous inventory combined with a coarse-resolution model. The bias can be further reduced to -12% by downscaling to 10 km using emission as a proxy. Our estimated global population-weighted BC exposure concentration constrained by observations is 2.14 μg⋅m(-3); 130% higher than that obtained using less detailed inventories and low-resolution models.

Entities:  

Keywords:  air pollution; climate change; emission inventory; model resolution

Mesh:

Substances:

Year:  2014        PMID: 24469822      PMCID: PMC3932916          DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1318763111

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A        ISSN: 0027-8424            Impact factor:   11.205


  12 in total

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