Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes: a prospective study in two cohorts of US women.

BACKGROUND: It is well established that aerobic physical activity can lower the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but whether muscle-strengthening activities are beneficial for the prevention of T2D is unclear. This study examined the association of muscle-strengthening activities with the risk of T2D in women. METHODS AND
FINDINGS: We prospectively followed up 99,316 middle-aged and older women for 8 years from the Nurses' Health Study ([NHS] aged 53-81 years, 2000-2008) and Nurses' Health Study II ([NHSII] aged 36-55 years, 2001-2009), who were free of diabetes, cancer, and cardiovascular diseases at baseline. Participants reported weekly time spent on resistance exercise, lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (yoga, stretching, toning), and aerobic moderate and vigorous physical activity (MVPA) at baseline and in 2004/2005. Cox regression with adjustment for major determinants for T2D was carried out to examine the influence of these types of activities on T2D risk. During 705,869 person years of follow-up, 3,491 incident T2D cases were documented. In multivariable adjusted models including aerobic MVPA, the pooled relative risk (RR) for T2D for women performing 1-29, 30-59, 60-150, and >150 min/week of total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities was 0.83, 0.93, 0.75, and 0.60 compared to women reporting no muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities (p<0.001 for trend). Furthermore, resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises were each independently associated with lower risk of T2D in pooled analyses. Women who engaged in at least 150 min/week of aerobic MVPA and at least 60 min/week of muscle-strengthening activities had substantial risk reduction compared with inactive women (pooled RR = 0.33 [95% CI 0.29-0.38]). Limitations to the study include that muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity and other types of physical activity were assessed by a self-administered questionnaire and that the study population consisted of registered nurses with mostly European ancestry.
CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests that engagement in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities (resistance exercise, yoga, stretching, toning) is associated with a lower risk of T2D. Engagement in both aerobic MVPA and muscle-strengthening type activity is associated with a substantial reduction in the risk of T2D in middle-aged and older women.

Introduction

The benefit of aerobic physical activity for preventing type 2 diabetes (T2D) is well established. Regular engagement in aerobic activities such as jogging, running, and brisk walking is associated with substantially lower risk of T2D [1],[2]. In the management and treatment of T2D, the importance of muscle-strengthening activity alone or in combination with aerobic exercise has received increasing attention [3]–[8]. While the cumulative evidence from randomized controlled trials show that glycemic control can be improved by muscle-strengthening activity among individuals with T2D [9], the evidence on the role of muscle-strengthening activity in T2D prevention is more limited. In a recent epidemiological study, we found that weight training was associated with a reduced risk of T2D independent of aerobic physical activity in men [10]. However, no such data are available among women.

Lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises such as yoga are popular physical activities among women. These types of activities may also be valuable for increasing and maintaining muscle strength and endurance [11],[12]; however, their role in T2D prevention is unknown. Furthermore, whether adding muscle-strengthening type activities to aerobic moderate and vigorous physical activity (MVPA), as endorsed in the current public health guidelines for physical activity among adults [13]–[15], provides additional benefit for T2D prevention is unclear.

The objective of this study was to examine the associations of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities with the risk of T2D in two cohorts of US women followed prospectively in the Nurses' Health Study (NHS) and Nurses' Health Study II (NHSII). We also examined the independent and joint association of adherence to the current public health guidelines for participation in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and aerobic MVPA with T2D risk.

Methods

Ethics Statement

The Human Research Committee of Brigham and Women's Hospital (Boston, Massachusetts) and the institutional review board Harvard School of Public Health (Boston, Massachusetts) approved the study. Completion of the self-administered questionnaire was considered to imply informed consent.

Study Population

The NHS and NHSII are two ongoing prospective cohort studies of female registered nurses. The NHS included 121,700 nurses aged 30 to 55 years at baseline in 1976 and the NHSII included 116,677 nurses aged 24 to 44 years at baseline in 1989. Questionnaires were sent to the participants every two years to update their information on disease status and major lifestyles, such as weight, smoking history, and physical activity. In the current analysis, we used the year 2000 for NHS and 2001 for NHS II as the baseline, because the information on muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities were first enquired in these years. We excluded women who reported a history of diabetes, cancer, myocardial infarction, angina, coronary artery bypass graft, other heart conditions, stroke, or pulmonary embolism on the baseline questionnaire (1976 or 1989) through 2000 or 2001 Furthermore, we excluded women who did not return information on physical activity and other important covariates for this analysis. This left us with study populations of 51,642 participants from NHS (aged 53–81 years at baseline in 2000) and 47,674 from NHSII (aged 36–55 at baseline in 2001) with information on T2D and relevant exposures and covariates.

Assessment of Physical Activities

In 2000/2001 and 2004/2005 each participant reported her average weekly amount of resistance exercise, lower intensity exercise (yoga, stretching, toning), and aerobic physical activities. There were ten response categories ranging from none to >11 hours/week activities for these physical activities. Participants were also asked about their usual walking pace (easy <3.2 km/h, normal 3.2–4.6 km/h, brisk 4.7–6.5 km/h, very brisk >6.5 km/h). Aerobic physical activities included brisk walking (for exercise or to work), jogging, running, bicycling, tennis, swimming, other aerobic exercise (aerobic, dance, ski or stair machine, etc.), daily number of flights of stairs climbed, and other vigorous activities. We considered these aerobic activities of at least moderate intensity (≥3 metabolic equivalent of tasks [METs]) because these activities are usually performed repetitively and produce dynamic contractions of large muscle groups for an extended period of time [14]. To represent the public health recommendation to undertake muscle-strengthening type activity, we calculated the total time spent on muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity (sum of resistance exercise and lower intensity exercise like yoga, stretching, and toning). Examples of muscle-strengthening activity include resistance exercise with free weights, weight machines, exercises against own weight, yoga, and outdoor work [14]. It is currently recommended that adults should engage in at least 150 min/week of aerobic activity of at least moderate intensity and do muscle-strengthening activity two or more days/week [13]–[15]. For each type of activity (aerobic- and muscle-strengthening activity), we grouped participants into five categories: none, 1–29 min/week, 30–59 min/week, 60–50 min/week, and more than 150 min/week. We have previously documented the validity of the physical activity questionnaire in a sub-sample of the NHSII participants. The Pearson correlation between MVPA as reported in diaries and that reported on the questionnaires was 0.62 [16]. We did not evaluate the validity for resistance exercise or lower intensity conditioning exercise; however, in a sample of men with fairly similar age-range from Health Professional Follow-up Study (HPFS) using a similar question for weight training, the de-attenuated correlation was 0.79 with the average of four weekly diaries across different seasons and that reported in the 1992 questionnaire [17].

Assessment of Type 2 Diabetes

Women who reported a diagnosis of diabetes in the biennial follow-up questionnaires were sent a supplementary questionnaire to confirm the diagnosis, obtaining information on symptoms, treatment, and diagnostic tests. We used the American Diabetes Association criteria [18] to confirm self-reported diagnosis of T2D: (1) one or more classic symptoms (excessive thirst, polyuria, weight loss, hunger) plus fasting plasma glucose concentrations of at least 7.0 mmol/l or random plasma glucose concentrations of at least 11.1 mmol/l; (2) at least two elevated plasma glucose concentrations on different occasions (fasting concentrations of at least 7.0 mmol/l, random plasma glucose concentrations of at least 11.1 mmol/l, and/or concentrations of at least 11.1 mmol/l after ≥2 h shown by oral glucose tolerance testing) in the absence of symptoms; or (3) treatment with hypoglycemic medication (insulin or oral hypoglycemic agent). In a validation study in a subgroup of NHS participants, 98% (61 of 62) of self-reported T2D cases were confirmed by means of medical record review in a validation study in a sub-group of NHS participants [19]. In another sub-study that assessed the prevalence of undiagnosed T2D in NHS, fasting plasma glucose and plasma fructosamine were measured in a random sample of participants (n = 200) who did not report a previous diagnosis of T2D [20]. One (0.5%) of the women had an elevated fasting plasma glucose or plasma fructosamine level in the diabetic range.

Assessment of Covariates

We obtained family history of T2D based on questionnaires completed in 1982, 1988, and 1992 among women from the NHS and in 1989, 1997, and 2001 among women from the NHSII. A history of hypertension and high cholesterol were obtained biennially from 1976 through 2006 in the NHS and from 1989 through 2007 in the NHS II. Smoking status, body mass index (BMI), menopausal status, oral contraceptive use (NHSII only), and uses of post menopausal hormone therapy use were assessed at baseline and biennially during follow-up. Dietary factors were assessed in 1998 and 2002 for NHS participants and in 1999 and 2003 for NHSII participants using a 131-item validated food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) [21]. From these questionnaires we calculated cumulative average daily intake of trans fat (percent of total energy), total energy (cal/d), polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber (g/d), whole grains (g/d), glycemic load, alcohol (g/d), and coffee (cups/d). We also calculated a dietary index composed of polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, trans fat (inverted), cereal fiber, whole grains, and glycemic load (inverted) by standardizing and summarizing the respective continuously scaled dietary variables [22]. Race was determined by asking participants to indicate their major ancestry. Participants who identified themselves as Southern European, Scandinavian, and other Caucasian were assigned as white, and participants who identified themselves as Black, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, and other ancestry were assigned as non-white.

Statistical Analysis

We calculated person-time at risk from the return of the 2000 (NHS) or 2001 (NHSII) questionnaire until June 30th 2008 (NHS) or June 30th 2009 (NHSII), death or loss to follow-up, whichever occurred first. Relative risks (RRs) of T2D by categories of total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities, resistance exercise, lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise, and aerobic MVPA were estimated using time dependent Cox proportional-hazard regression. We stratified the analyses jointly by age (in months) at start of follow-up and the year of questionnaire return to control for calendar time and age and any possible two-way interactions between these two time scales. To best represent long-term exposure to activity we updated activity (e.g., muscle-strengthening activity) during follow-up by calculating the cumulative average. In multivariable analysis we additionally adjusted for race (white, non-white) and the biennially (or every four years) updated variables: alcohol intake (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), smoking (never, past, or current), post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), family history of diabetes (yes, no), total calorie intake, saturated fat to polyunsaturated fat ratio, trans fat, cereal fiber, whole grains, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles). We also assessed the extent to which the association of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities with T2D risk was explained by adiposity by additionally adjusting for BMI (continuous [updated biennially]) and history of hypertension and raised cholesterol (yes, no [updated biennially]). Test for trend (Wald test) was examined by including the median activity time value in each category of activity (e.g., resistance exercise) and treated this as a continuous variable in the model. To explore the possibility of heterogeneous estimates of association by the level of BMI, a stratified analysis by categories of BMI were carried out (<25, 25 to <30, ≥30 kg/m2). We also examined whether the association differed by age (<65 and ≥65 years), family history of T2D, diet quality score, race (white/non-white), and aerobic MVPA (quintiles). Estimates of association from each cohort were pooled using a fixed effect model (weighted by the inverse of the variance). The two NHS cohorts are homogeneous across various study characteristics. There was no indication that the proportional hazards assumption was violated based on the assessment of interaction between follow-up time and muscle-strengthening or aerobic activities. The linearity of the relationship between type of activity (e.g., total muscle-strengthening activity) and T2D risk was evaluated by using restricted cubic spline regression with three or four knots, depending on the number of observations with non zero values of activity [23]. The knots were placed with equally spaced quantiles between them and the analyses were restricted to observations below activity time close to the 99th percentile. The estimates from these models were plotted and linearity was examined graphically and by comparing models with the cubic spline terms and models including only the linear term using the likelihood ratio test.

We then analyzed the independent and joint association of adherence to the current recommendations [13]–[15] of aerobic MVPA (≥150 min/week) and resistance exercise (at least two times/week, which we approximated to be ≥60 min/week)) with the risk of T2D.

Three types of sensitivity analyses were carried out. Firstly, we performed an analysis restricted to individuals reporting no aerobic MVPA when analyzing muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity to limit the possibility of residual confounding by other aerobic activity. Secondly, we carried out an analysis using a 2-year lag between exposure and T2D incidence to limit the possibility that subclinical T2D could influence participation in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities. Thirdly, we repeated the analyses using the simple updated activity time (the recent time spent on activity) instead of the cumulative average.

All analyses were conducted in SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Inc.).

Results

We documented 2,158 and 1,333 new cases of T2D during 345,752 and 360,117 person years of follow-up in the NHS and NHSII, respectively. Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics of the study populations by levels of total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities per week. Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities at baseline were inversely associated with BMI, intake of transfat, and positively associated with aerobic MVPA, intake of alcohol, cereal fiber, whole grains, total energy intake, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, and glycemic load in both cohorts of women. Furthermore, women who reported >150 min/week of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities were less likely to smoke and to have a family history of T2D compared to women reporting no muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities. A total of 19% and 33% of women reported any resistance exercise at baseline in the NHS and NHSII, respectively. In addition 28% and 35% of women reported any lower intensity muscle conditioning exercise (yoga, stretching, toning) at baseline in the NHS and NHSII, respectively. Resistance exercise, lower intensity conditioning exercise, and aerobic MVPA were modestly correlated (Spearman's r: NHS r = 0.17–0.31, NHSII r = 0.31–0.42).

Table 1

Age-adjusted baseline characteristics of 51,642 participating women from the Nurses' Health Study and 47,674 women from the Nurses' Health Study II by minutes of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity per week.

Characteristics	Minutes Per Week of Muscle-Strengthening and Conditioning Activity
	None	1–29	30–59	60–150	>150
Nurses' Health Study
n	32,908	5,138	4,766	6,036	2,794
Age (years)	65.1(7.0)	65.0(7.1)	65.1(7.0)	64.8(6.8)	64.4(6.7)
BMI (kg/m2)	26.8(5.2)	26.1(4.8)	25.9(4.8)	25.3(4.5)	24.8(4.3)
Aerobic MVPAa (h/week)	1.8(2.8)	1.9(2.7)	2.6(3.1)	3.3(3.4)	4.6(4.2)
Alcohol intake (grams/day)	5.1(9.4)	5.3(9.0)	5.7(9.3)	6.1(9.1)	6.5(9.8)
Coffee intake (cups/day)	1.3(1.4)	1.2(1.4)	1.3(1.4)	1.2(1.3)	1.2(1.3)
P∶S ratio	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.2)	0.7(0.2)	0.7(0.3)
Transfat (% of total energy)	1.7(0.6)	1.6(0.6)	1.5(0.5)	1.4(0.5)	1.3(0.5)
Cereal fiber (grams/day)	6.5(3.7)	6.9(3.8)	7.2(3.7)	7.4(4.2)	7.5(4.0)
Whole grains (grams/day)	26.4(19.7)	29.0(20.0)	30.8(21.2)	32.1(21.7)	33.6(22.3)
Glycemic load	124(46)	127(45)	129(45)	129(45)	130(47)
Total energy intake (kcal/day)	1687(545)	1724(536)	1762(547)	1750(535)	1773(549)
Current smoking, %	11	7	8	6	5
Race, % white	98	97	98	97	98
Family history of diabetes, %	26	27	26	25	25
Post menopausal hormone use, %	50	52	52	57	56
History of hypertension, %	45	41	42	39	39
History of high cholesterol, %	58	58	57	55	54
Nurses' Health Study II
n	24,978	6,719	4,512	7,060	4,405
Age (years)	46.2(4.7)	46.0(4.7)	46.3(4.7)	46.0(4.7)	46.0(4.6)
BMI (kg/m2)	27.5(6.5)	26.1(5.6)	25.8(5.5)	25.0(4.9)	24.5(4.7)
Aerobic MVPAa (h/week)	1.6(2.7)	2.1(2.7)	3.0(3.2)	3.9(3.6)	6.2(5.6)
Alcohol intake (grams/day)	3.6(7.3)	4.2(7.4)	4.3(7.2)	4.9(7.5)	5.3(8.4)
Coffee intake (cups/day)	1.1(1.4)	1.1(1.4)	1.1(1.4)	1.1(1.4)	1.1(1.3)
P∶S ratio	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.2)	0.6(0.3)
Transfat (% of total energy)	2.1(0.7)	1.9(0.7)	1.8(0.7)	1.7(0.7)	1.6(0.7)
Cereal fiber (grams/day)	6.4(3.5)	6.9(3.8)	7.2(3.8)	7.3(3.9)	7.3(3.9)
Whole grains (grams/day)	26.6(19.2)	30.2(20.9)	31.5(20.8)	32.4(21.9)	33.9(22.3)
Glycemic load	126(49)	128(48)	132(49)	129(48)	130(48)
Total energy intake (kcal/day)	1795(551)	1826(545)	1868(556)	1828(538)	1849(553)
Current smoking, %	9	7	8	6	8
Race, % white	97	96	97	97	97
Family history of diabetes, %	36	35	34	34	34
Menopausal status, %	31	30	31	31	32
Post menopausal hormone use among post menopausal women, %	44	44	45	46	46
Oral contraceptive use, %	87	86	88	88	88
History of hypertension, %	19	18	17	16	15
History of high cholesterol, %	14	11	12	10	9

Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity is defined as resistance exercise and lower intensity conditioning exercise (yoga, stretching, toning). Values are means (standard deviation [SD]) or percentages and are standardized to the age distribution of the study population.

a Aerobic MVPA consists of brisk walking, jogging, running, bicycling, tennis, swimming, other aerobic exercise, other vigorous exercise, and stair climbing.

P∶S ratio, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio.

Participation in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities was associated with a decreased risk of T2D in multivariable-adjusted analysis, with and without adjustment for aerobic MVPA, in both cohorts of women (Table 2). The pooled RR for T2D for women performing 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, and >150 min/week of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities was 0.83, 0.93, 0.75, and 0.60 compared with women reporting no muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities (p<0.001 for trend). When analyzed separately, both resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise were inversely associated with T2D risk in age-adjusted and multivariable-adjusted analyses in both cohorts. However, when additionally adjusting for aerobic MVPA and mutually adjusting for resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise, the association was attenuated for lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise in the NHSII, although it was significantly associated with T2D risk in pooled analyses (0.91 [95% CI 0.86–0.96] per 60 min/week of lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise). On the basis of the multivariable-adjusted restricted cubic spline regression models, we observed that the associations of individual types of activity with T2D risk were linear or had a slightly steeper gradient at less time spent on activity in each cohort of women (Figures 1–6), though the statistical tests for linearity provided no or weak evidence for a nonlinear association (p>0.05 for non-linear associations except for resistance exercise in NHSII [p = 0.02]). When we restricted the analyses to women reporting no aerobic activity, engagement in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity was associated with lower risk of T2D in both cohorts of women (0.85 [95% CI 0.77–0.95] per 60 min/week in the pooled analysis) (Table 3). When we additionally adjusted for BMI, the association of muscle-strengthening and/or conditioning activities with T2D risk persisted (Table 2, model 3). Further adjustment for history of hypertension and raised cholesterol did not materially affect the results in either cohort of women (pooled RR's across categories of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity were 0.86, 0.94, 0.79, and 0.63 [p<0.001 for trend]) (Table 4). Using a 2-year lag between exposure and T2D incidence for muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity did not materially change the results (Table S1). Repeating the analyses using the simple updated activity time instead of the cumulative average provided similar results (Table S2).

Table 2

Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study (2000–2008) and Nurses' Health Study II (2001–2009).

Characteristics	Minutes/Week of Activity
	None	1–29	30–59	60–150	>150	p-trend	RR per 60 min/week
Nurses' Health Study
Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	95	225
Cases/person-years	1,350/187,879	290/47,094	233/39,127	219/48,249	66/23,402
Age adjusted	1.00	0.84 (0.74–0.95)	0.80 (0.70–0.92)	0.61 (0.53–0.70)	0.38 (0.29–0.48)	<0.001	0.81 (0.77–0.85)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.86 (0.76–0.98)	0.87 (0.76–1.00)	0.70 (0.60–0.80)	0.46 (0.36–0.60)	<0.001	0.85 (0.81–0.89)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.90 (0.79–1.02)	0.97 (0.83–1.11)	0.81 (0.70–0.94)	0.58 (0.45–0.75)	<0.001	0.90 (0.86–0.94)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.94 (0.82–1.07)	1.03 (0.89–1.18)	0.89 (0.77–1.03)	0.63 (0.49–0.81)	<0.001	0.90 (0.85–0.96)
Resistance exercise
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	87	300
Cases/person years	1,758/254,051	168/34,255	116/22,473	97/27,837	19/7,136
Age adjusted	1.00	0.69 (0.58–0.80)	0.71 (0.58–0.85)	0.48 (0.39–0.59)	0.36 (0.23–0.57)	<0.001	0.76 (0.70–0.82)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.74 (0.63–0.87)	0.80 (0.66–0.97)	0.58 (0.47–0.71)	0.47 (0.30–0.73)	<0.001	0.82 (0.76–0.89)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.82 (0.70–0.97)	0.97 (0.80–1.18)	0.74 (0.59–0.91)	0.68 (0.43–1.07)	0.008	0.92 (0.86–0.99)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.89 (0.75–1.05)	1.04 (0.85–1.26)	0.77 (0.62–0.95)	0.68 (0.43–1.08)	0.02	0.94 (0.87–1.01)
Lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	81	300
Cases/person years	1,524/219,870	258/45,395	236/42,925	121/31,269	19/6,291
Age adjusted	1.00	0.80 (0.70–0.91)	0.77 (0.67–0.89)	0.55 (0.46–0.66)	0.43 (0.27–0.68)	<0.001	0.79 (0.73–0.84)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.82 (0.72–0.94)	0.85 (0.74–0.98)	0.62 (0.52–0.75)	0.49 (0.31–0.77)	<0.001	0.83 (0.78–0.90)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.88 (0.76–1.00)	1.00 (0.86–1.15)	0.76 (0.63–0.92)	0.62 (0.39–0.98)	0.004	0.91 (0.85–0.97)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.89 (0.78–1.03)	1.05 (0.91–1.21)	0.82 (0.67–0.99)	0.65 (0.41–1.02)	0.02	0.93 (0.87–0.99)
Nurses' Health Study II
Total muscle-strengthening activities
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	95	226
Cases/person years	785/158,750	202/61,213	145/43,124	137/61,454	64/35,577
Age adjusted	1.00	0.65 (0.55–0.75)	0.64 (0.54–0.77)	0.44 (0.36–0.52)	0.36 (0.27–0.46)	<0.001	0.79 (0.75–0.84)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.69 (0.59–0.81)	0.72 (0.60–0.86)	0.51 (0.42–0.61)	0.43 (0.33–0.57)	<0.001	0.84 (0.79–0.89)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.75 (0.64–0.88)	0.86 (0.72–1.04)	0.67 (0.55–0.81)	0.62 (0.48–0.82)	<0.001	0.92 (0.88–0.97)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.85 (0.72–0.99)	0.95 (0.79–1.15)	0.79 (0.65–0.96)	0.75 (0.58–0.99)	0.02	0.96 (0.91–1.01)
Resistance exercise
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	98	300
Cases/person years	998/213,288	129/53,072	78/30,571	105/49,300	23/13,887
Age adjusted	1.00	0.51 (0.43–0.61)	0.50 (0.40–0.63)	0.46 (0.37–0.56)	0.36 (0.24–0.54)	<0.001	0.75 (0.69–0.81)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.58 (0.48–0.69)	0.59 (0.46–0.74)	0.55 (0.45–0.67)	0.44 (0.29–0.67)	<0.001	0.81 (0.75–0.88)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.68 (0.56–0.83)	0.77 (0.60–0.98)	0.77 (0.62–0.96)	0.70 (0.45–1.07)	0.03	0.94 (0.87–1.01)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.76 (0.63–0.93)	0.85 (0.66–1.08)	0.87 (0.70–1.09)	0.78 (0.51–1.21)	0.21	0.96 (0.90–1.03)
Lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises
Median time (minutes/week)	0	12	39	75	300
Cases/person years	908/206,956	199/64,454	141/53,843	74/29,640	11/5,225
Age adjusted	1.00	0.67 (0.57–0.78)	0.58 (0.49–0.69)	0.53 (0.42–0.68)	0.43 (0.24–0.78)	<0.001	0.70 (0.63–0.78)
Multivariable adjusted model 1a	1.00	0.72 (0.61–0.84)	0.65 (0.55–0.78)	0.61 (0.48–0.77)	0.48 (0.26–0.86)	<0.001	0.76 (0.69–0.85)
Multivariable adjusted model 2b	1.00	0.86 (0.73–1.01)	0.89 (0.74–1.08)	0.89 (0.69–1.14)	0.72 (0.39–1.31)	0.15	0.91 (0.83–1.01)
Multivariable adjusted model 3c	1.00	0.91 (0.77–1.07)	0.97 (0.80–1.17)	0.99 (0.77–1.27)	0.79 (0.43–1.45)	0.49	0.95 (0.87–1.04)
Pooled results d
Multivariable adjusted model 2
Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities	1.00	0.83 (0.75–0.92)	0.93 (0.83–1.04)	0.75 (0.67–0.85)	0.60 (0.50–0.72)	<0.001	0.91 (0.88–0.94)
Resistance exercise	1.00	0.76 (0.67–0.86)	0.89 (0.76–1.03)	0.75 (0.64–0.87)	0.69 (0.50–0.94)	<0.001	0.93 (0.88–0.98)
Lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises	1.00	0.87 (0.78–0.96)	0.96 (0.85–1.07)	0.80 (0.69–0.94)	0.65 (0.45–0.94)	0.002	0.91 (0.86–0.96)
Multivariable adjusted model 3
Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities	1.00	0.90 (0.81–1.00)	1.00 (0.89–1.12)	0.86 (0.77–0.96)	0.86 (0.75–0.98)	<0.001	0.94 (0.91–0.97)
Resistance exercise	1.00	0.83 (0.73–0.94)	0.96 (0.82–1.11)	0.82 (0.70–0.95)	0.74 (0.54–1.01)	0.01	0.95 (0.90–1.00)
Lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises	1.00	0.90 (0.81–1.00)	1.02 (0.91–1.14)	0.88 (0.75–1.02)	0.70 (0.48–1.00)	0.03	0.94 (0.89–0.99)

Data are relative risks (95% CI).

a Adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post).

b Additionally adjusted for aerobic physical activity (categorized similar to muscle-strengthening activities), and resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises were mutually adjusted.

c Additionally adjusted for BMI (continuous).

d Combined using fixed effect pooling.

Figure 1

Dose-response relationship between total muscle-strengthening activity (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.82 for non-linear response.

Figure 6

Dose-response relationship between resistance exercise (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study II.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (never, past, current), menopausal status (pre, post), and aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week), and resistance exercise (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.53 for non-linear response.

Table 3

Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes restricted to women who did not engage in aerobic activity.

Study	n	Person-Years	Cases	RR per 60 Min/Week
Nurses' Health Study I	17,429	93,616	859	0.85 (0.77–0.95)
Nurses' Health Study II	11,535	67,877	466	0.78 (0.64–0.95)
Pooled results a	—	—	—	0.84 (0.76–0.92)

Data are relative risks (95% CI). Multivariable model included age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post).

a Combined using fixed effect pooling of estimates from multivariable adjusted models.

Table 4

Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study and Nurses' Health Study II with additional adjustment for history of hypertension and raised cholesterol.

Study	Minutes/Week of Muscle-Strengthening Activity
	None	1–29	30–59	60–150	>150	p-trend
Nurses' Health Study
Cases/person years	1,350/187,879	290/47,094	233/39,127	219/48,249	66/23,402
Multivariable adjusted modela	1.00	0.91 (0.80–1.04)	0.98 (0.85–1.13)	0.84 (0.72–0.97)	0.60 (0.46–0.77)	<0.001
Nurses' Health Study II
Cases/person years	785/158,750	202/61,213	145/43,124	137/61,454	64/35,577
Multivariable adjusted modela	1.00	0.79 (0.67–0.93)	0.91 (0.76–1.09)	0.71 (0.58–0.86)	0.63 (0.48–0.84)	<0.001
Pooled results b	1.00	0.86 (0.78–0.95)	0.94 (0.84–1.06)	0.79 (0.70–0.88)	0.63 (0.52–0.75)	<0.001

Data are relative risks (95% CI).

a Adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), aerobic physical activity (categorized similar to muscle-strengthening activities), history of hypertension and raised cholesterol.

b Combined using fixed effect pooling.

Dose-response relationship between total muscle-strengthening activity (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study II.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (never, past, current), menopausal status (pre, post), and aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.02 for non-linear response.

Dose-response relationship between resistance exercise (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week), and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.24 for non-linear response.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (never, past, current), menopausal status (pre, post), and aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week), and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.22 for non-linear response.

Dose-response relationship between lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study.

Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restricted cubic spline regression (3 knots) truncated at 7 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), aerobic physical activity (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week), and resistance exercise (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p = 0.80 for non-linear response.

The stratified analyses by BMI indicated that engagement in muscle-strengthening activity was associated with lower T2D risk among overweight (BMI 25 to <30 kg/m2) and obese (≥30 kg/m2) women, but no association was observed among normal weight women (BMI<25 kg/m2) (Table 5). There was no evidence that the association of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity with T2D risk was different across age (<65, ≥65 years, NHS only), family history of T2D, diet quality score, race (white, non-white), and aerobic MVPA (quintiles) in either cohort of women (p>0.05 for multiplicative interaction) (Table S3).

Table 5

Total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes stratified by body mass index (<25, 25–<30, ≥30 kg/m2).

BMI Category	Cases/PY	Minutes per Week of Muscle-Strengthening and Conditioning Activity			p for Trend	RR per 60 min/day
		None	>0–59 min	≥60 min
Nurses' Health Study
<25.0 kg/m2	316/162,304	1.00	0.90 (0.68–1.18)	1.00 (0.74–1.35)	0.87	0.97 (0.89–1.07)
25.0–29.9 kg/m2	725/118,072	1.00	0.92 (0.77–1.10)	0.71 (0.57–0.90)	0.005	0.89 (0.82–0.97)
≥30.0 kg/m2	1,118/65,456	1.00	1.08 (0.93–1.25)	0.86 (0.70–1.04)	0.11	0.94 (0.88–1.01)
Nurses' Health Study II
<25.0 kg/m2	78/174,933	1.00	1.04 (0.59–1.82)	0.99 (0.54–1.87)	0.97	1.00 (0.87–1.14)
25.0–29.9 kg/m2	212/101,634	1.00	1.19 (0.86–1.63)	0.79 (0.53–1.19)	0.14	0.96 (0.87–1.06)
≥30.0 kg/m2	1,043/83,551	1.00	0.84 (0.72–0.98)	0.85 (0.70–1.04)	0.16	0.98 (0.92–1.04)
Pooled
<25.0 kg/m2	—	1.00	0.92 (0.72–1.18)	1.00 (0.76–1.31)	0.90	0.98 (0.91–1.06)
25.0–29.9 kg/m2	—	1.00	0.98 (0.84–1.15)	0.73 (0.60–0.90)	0.002	0.92 (0.86–0.98)
≥30.0 kg/m2	—	1.00	0.96 (0.86–1.06)	0.85 (0.74–0.98)	0.03	0.96 (0.92–1.01)

Data are relative risks (95% CI). Adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), and aerobic physical activity (none, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week).

PY, person years.

Aerobic MVPA was inversely associated with T2D risk in the multivariable model after adjustment for resistance exercise, lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise, and BMI in both cohorts (p<0.001 for trend) (Table 6). Spline regression revealed that the association of aerobic MVPA with the risk T2D was non-linear in both cohorts, with the steepest gradient at lower levels of activity (p<0.01) (Figures S1 and S2).

Table 6

Aerobic moderate-and-vigorous physical activity and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study (2000–2008) and Nurses' Health Study II (2001–2009).

Characteristics	Minutes/week of aerobic moderate-and-vigorous physical activity
	None	1–29	30–59	60–150	>150	p Trend
Nurses' Health Study
Median time (minutes/week)	0	13	41	79	300
Cases/person years	859/93,616	245/32,151	238/35,047	379/64,802	437/120,136
Multivariable adjusted model 1	1.00	0.84 (0.73–0.97)	0.76 (0.66–0.88)	0.68 (0.60–0.77)	0.48 (0.42–0.54)	<0.001
Multivariable adjusted model 2	1.00	0.94 (0.81–1.09)	0.88 (0.76–1.02)	0.85 (0.74–0.96)	0.66 (0.58–0.75)	<0.001
Nurses' Health Study II
Median time (minutes/week)
Cases/person years	466/67,881	182/36,430	162/39,723	259/77,606	264/138,478
Multivariable adjusted model 1	1.00	0.80 (0.67–0.95)	0.68 (0.57–0.82)	0.63 (0.54–0.74)	0.42 (0.36–0.50)	<0.001
Multivariable adjusted model 2	1.00	0.94 (0.79–1.13)	0.83 (0.69–1.00)	0.86 (0.73–1.01)	0.70 (0.59–0.83)	<0.001
Pooled results *
Multivariable adjusted model 1	1.00	0.83 (0.74–0.92)	0.73 (0.65–0.82)	0.66 (0.60–0.73)	0.46 (0.41–0.50)	<0.001
Multivariable adjusted model 2	1.00	0.94 (0.84–1.05)	0.86 (0.77–0.97)	0.85 (0.77–0.94)	0.67 (0.61–0.75)	<0.001

Data are relative risks (95% CI). Model 1 was adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), resistance exercise (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week) and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for BMI (continues). Aerobic MVPA consists of brisk walking, jogging, running, bicycling, tennis, swimming, other aerobic exercise, other vigorous exercise, and stair climbing.

Combined using fixed effect pooling of estimates from multivariable adjusted models.

Achievement of recommendations [13]–[15] for muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities (none/no/yes) and aerobic MVPA (none/no/yes) was each independently associated with lower T2D risk in multivariable adjusted analysis: the pooled RR was 0.46 (95% CI 0.41–0.50) for aerobic MVPA and 0.72 (95% CI 0.65–0.79) for muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities compared with women reporting no activity (Figure 7). Furthermore, compared with women reporting no activity, engagement in a level of activity that is less than the recommended, of either muscle-strengthening type or aerobic MVPA, was associated with a lower T2D risk (pooled RR = 0.72 (95% CI 0.66–0.78) for aerobic MVPA and pooled RR = 0.87 (95% CI 0.80–0.95) for muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities). In the joint association analysis, women who adhered to the recommendations for both aerobic MVPA and resistance exercise had the lowest risk of T2D risk in the multivariable model, with a pooled RR of 0.33 (95% CI 0.29–0.38) compared with women who were inactive (Table 7).

Figure 7

Muscle-strengthening and aerobic activity according to recommendations [13]–[15] and type 2 diabetes risk.

Women in the category “Insufficient” engage in some activity but less than recommended. Data are pooled estimates (fixed effect) of RR's with 95% CI from multivariable cox regression models adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post). Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and aerobic MVPA were mutually adjusted.

Table 7

Joint association of total muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and aerobic MVPA according to recommendations [13]–[15] and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study (2000–2008) and Nurses' Health Study II (2001–2009).

Characteristics	None(No Aerobic MVPA and No Muscle-Strengthening Activity)	Neither Recommendation(Engage in Some Activity but Less Than Recommended)	Recommendation for Muscle-Strengthening Activities only(≥60 min/week)	Recommendation for Aerobic MVPA only(≥150 min/week)	Recommendation for Both Muscle-Strengthening Activities and Aerobic MVPA
Nurses' Health Study
Cases/person years	672/69,052	851/120,358	193/35,507	305/76,975	137/43,861
Age adjusted	1.00	0.70 (0.63–0.78)	0.54 (0.46–0.63)	0.39 (0.34–0.45)	0.30 (0.25–0.36)
Multivariable adjusted model	1.00	0.73 (0.66–0.81)	0.60 (0.51–0.70)	0.45 (0.39–0.51)	0.37 (0.31–0.45)
Nurses' Health Study II
Cases/person years	383/52,285	570/132,689	116/36,578	156/70,641	108/67,924
Age adjusted	1.00	0.57 (0.50–0.65)	0.41 (0.33–0.50)	0.30 (0.25–0.37)	0.22 (0.18–0.27)
Multivariable adjusted model	1.00	0.63 (0.55–0.72)	0.46 (0.38–0.57)	0.37 (0.31–0.45)	0.29 (0.23–0.36)
Pooled results a	1.00	0.69 (0.64–0.75)	0.54 (0.48–0.62)	0.42 (0.38–0.47)	0.33 (0.29–0.38)

Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities were defined as engaging in at least two times/week (we approximated this to be equivalent to ≥60 min/week). Aerobic MVP was defined as ≥150 min/week of at least moderate intensity. Data are relative risks (95% CI). Multivariable model included age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post).

a Combined using fixed effect pooling of estimates from multivariable adjusted models.

Discussion

In this prospective study of nearly 100,000 women from the NHS I and II, regular participation in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities, such as resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercise, was associated with a reduced risk of T2D, fairly consistent with a dose-response relationship independent of aerobic MVPA and other major determinants for T2D including BMI. The findings from our study also suggest that incorporating muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities with aerobic activity according to the current recommendation for physical activity [13]–[15] provides substantial benefit for T2D prevention in women.

We are not aware of any prior work reporting associations of muscle-strengthening or conditioning activities with T2D risk in women. Our findings extends those from our previous study among men from the Health Professional Follow-up Study (HPFS) [10]. Our results are also supported by a recent cross-sectional study among Australian adults reporting that regular strength training was associated with lower prevalence of impaired glucose metabolism independent of MVPA [24]. Furthermore, our results are consistent with a meta-analysis of findings from randomized controlled trials showing that resistance training can improve glycemic control in the absence of aerobic activity among individuals with T2D [9]. In addition, a recent study showed that a single session of aerobic or resistance exercise yielded similar effects on 24 hours post-exercise glycemic control in insulin-resistant individuals with and without T2D [25]. Thus, the cumulative evidence from observational and experimental studies supports that muscle-strengthening activities can serve as an alternative to aerobic exercise for T2D prevention and glycemic control.

Engagement in lower intensity muscle conditioning exercise such as yoga for T2D prevention has to our knowledge not previously been studied. However, a number of randomized clinical trials of mixed quality on participation in yoga intervention for management of T2D have been carried out. The majority of these studies suggest that yoga can improve glycemic control among individuals with T2D [26]–[29]. The three largest trials were completed recently and were of moderate size (n = 59–123) [26],[28],[29]. Two of these studies found modest improvement in glycemic control after a yoga intervention for three or six months compared with standard care [28],[29]. A study among 59 individuals with T2D found no significant benefits of yoga intervention for 12 weeks on glycemic control compared with a waiting list control group [26]. However, an adherence rate of only 50% was reported in the yoga intervention group. We obtained information on lower-intensity muscle conditioning (yoga, stretching, toning) from a single question and we were not able to separate, e.g., yoga exercise from toning and stretching. Yoga practice and toning exercise are likely to vary in intensity and type between individuals, and more detailed information on these types of activities would have been useful. A previous study has reported energy expenditure during yoga sessions to being of low intensity equivalent to slow walking [30].

Two large randomized trials among individuals with T2D also suggest that the combination of aerobic exercise and resistance training results in greatest improvement in glycemic control compared with either type of activity alone [3],[4]. Our results from the current study and our previous report in men also support the recommendation to include muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities beyond participation in aerobic MVPA [10]. We did not see indications that the association of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities with T2D risk was modified by time spent on aerobic MVPA, which suggest that it may be beneficial to add muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity even at higher levels of aerobic MVPA for T2D prevention.

Resistance exercise may decrease the risk of T2D through several mechanisms. Because aging is associated with increasing loss of lean body mass, one important role may be the effect of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity on skeletal muscle mass maintenance [31]. However, there are possibly also effects of these exercise types extrinsic to muscle mass growth. Other effects reported for resistance exercise include increases in glycolytic capacity and up-regulation of proteins in the insulin-signaling cascade [32]. These local adaptations are likely to result in increases in insulin action and enhancement of the capacity for glucose utilization. Randomized trials have also shown that resistance exercise alone can improve blood pressure, lipid levels, and reduce adiposity [33]. We found that adiposity indicated by BMI only partly explained the association of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities with T2D risk, suggesting that participation in these types of activities can lower T2D risk without changing body weight. However, BMI is unable to distinguish fat mass from fat-free mass, and engagement in muscle-strengthening activity is likely to increase fat-free mass while decreasing fat mass. We also observed greater risk reduction with participation in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity among overweight and obese women and no apparent effect among normal weight women. This may suggest that these types of activities have less effect in terms of T2D prevention among women who already maintain a healthy weight.

A limitation of the present study includes that the study population consisted of registered nurses with mostly European ancestry. It is therefore unknown if our results can be generalized to other populations of women. Physical activity was assessed by a self-administered questionnaire and is therefore prone to misclassification. While our validation study among a random sample of n = 147 NHSII participants described a moderate to strong (r = 0.62) relationship between total physical activity as reported in the questionnaire and that reported in four one-week diaries, we did not obtain specific validation data on muscle-strengthening activities, and the validity of the self-reported time spent on these activities remains uncertain in our cohorts. We do not expect differential misclassification of these activities by subsequent incident T2D and the estimated associations of activity with T2D are therefore likely to be underestimated. Because we updated physical activity during follow-up, the expected genuine individual variation in physical activity over time is better accounted for, which would avoid further dilution bias of estimated associations. Furthermore, residual and unknown confounding cannot be fully excluded, as the present study is observational. As we observed risk reduction with muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity among women reporting no aerobic activity, this reassures us that the associations we observed are not likely to be explained by residual confounding by aerobic MVPA. The strengths of the study include the large sample size, updated information on activity and other covariates, and that we were able to control for a wide range of confounding factors. Furthermore, the results were robust to excluding T2D cases during the first two years of follow-up and using only the baseline information on muscle-strengthening activity.

In summary, this large prospective study of US women suggests that engagement in muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities can lower the risk of T2D independent of aerobic MVPA. Following the recommendations for both muscle-strengthening activities and aerobic MVPA was associated with a substantial reduction in the risk of T2D. Engagement in levels lower than currently recommended of aerobic physical activity and muscle-strengthening and conditioning activity were also significantly associated with lower T2D risk. Collectively, our study supports the inclusion of muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities in preventive measures against T2D, consistent with the current guidelines for physical activity among adults.

Dose-response relationship between aerobic physical activity (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study. Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restriced cubic spline regression (4 knots) truncated at 12.5 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), resistance exercise (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week) and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p<0.001 for non-linear response.

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Dose-response relationship between aerobic physical activity (hours/week) and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study II. Dotted lines are 95% CI for the trend obtained from restriced cubic spline regression (4 knots) truncated at 12.5 hours/week (≈99th percentile). Estimates were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (never, past, current), menopausal status (pre, post), resistance exercise (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week) and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises (0, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). p<0.001 for non-linear response.

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Total muscle-strengthening activities and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study and Nurses' Health Study II using a 2-year lag between exposure and incidence of T2D. Data are relative risks (95% CI). *adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), aerobic physical activity (categorized similar to muscle-strengthening activities). ** Combined using fixed effect pooling.

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Muscle-strengthening and conditioning activities and risk of type 2 diabetes in women from the Nurses' Health Study (2000–2008) and Nurses' Health Study II (2001–2009) based on the simple updated activity level (recent activity level). All analyses were adjusted for age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), aerobic physical activity (categorized similar to muscle-strengthening activities). Estimates of associations for resistance exercise and lower intensity muscular conditioning exercises were mutually adjusted for each other. *Combined using fixed effect pooling.

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Muscle-strengthening activities and risk of type 2 diabetes stratified by age (<65, ≥65 years, NHS only), family history of T2D, diet quality, race (white, non-white), and aerobic physical activity (quintiles). Data are relative risks (95% CI). Multivariable model included age (months), smoking (never, past, or current), alcohol consumption (0, 1–5, >5 g/d), coffee intake (0, <1, 1–3, 3–5, >5 cups/day), race (white, non-white), family history of diabetes, post menopausal hormone use (never, past, current), intake of total energy, trans fat, polyunsaturated fat to saturated fat ratio, cereal fiber, wholegrain, and glycemic load (all dietary factors in quintiles), oral contraceptive use (only NHSII: never, past, current), menopausal status (only NHSII: pre, post), aerobic physical activity (none, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week). *Only adjusted for age and aerobic physical activity (none, 1–29, 30–59, 60–150, >150 min/week) due to the low number of cases in some groups.

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