| Literature DB >> 24156650 |
Lorraine B Ware, Tatsuki Koyama, Zhiguo Zhao, David R Janz, Nancy Wickersham, Gordon R Bernard, Addison K May, Carolyn S Calfee, Michael A Matthay.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Despite recent modifications, the clinical definition of the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) remains non-specific, leading to under-diagnosis and under-treatment. This study was designed to test the hypothesis that a biomarker panel would be useful for biologic confirmation of the clinical diagnosis of ARDS in patients at risk of developing ARDS due to severe sepsis.Entities:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 24156650 PMCID: PMC4056313 DOI: 10.1186/cc13080
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Crit Care ISSN: 1364-8535 Impact factor: 9.097
Demographic and clinical characteristics of 100 severe sepsis patients with ARDS (cases) and 100 severe sepsis patients without ARDS (controls)
| Age | 56 (51, 65) | 59 (51, 65) | 0.97 |
| Male | 52 (52%) | 52 (52%) | 1.0 |
| Caucasian | 89 (89%) | 79 (79%) | 0.10 |
| Current smoker | 35 (35%) | 40 (40%) | 0.56 |
| APACHE II | 28 (24, 32) | 28 (24, 32) | 1.0 |
| Source of ICU admit | | | |
| Emergency room | 27 (27%) | 37 (37%) | 0.027 |
| Hospital floor | 40 (40%) | 21 (21%) | |
| Other hospital | 23 (23%) | 22 (22%) | |
| Operating room | 9 (9%) | 17 (17%) | |
| Other | 1 (1%) | 3 (3%) | |
| Day of ALI onset | | | |
| ICU day 1 | 91 (91%) | NA | |
| ICU day 2 | 9 (9%) | | |
| Mechanical ventilationa | 83 (83%) | 58 (58%) | <0.001 |
| Any ventilatory supportb | 89 (89%) | 59 (59%) | <0.001 |
| Non-pulmonary organ failure at enrollment | 92 (92%) | 91 (91%) | 1.0 |
| Vasopressors at enrollment | 44 (44%) | 43 (43%) | 0.50 |
| ICU stay (days) | 9 (5, 13) | 5 (3, 11) | 0.003 |
| Ventilator-free days | 18 (2, 24) | 25 (7, 28) | <0.001 |
| Hospital mortality | 29 (29%) | 27 (27%) | 0.87 |
Data as median (1st and 3rd quartiles) or Number (%) as indicated. NA = not applicable. aMechanical ventilation on any study day; bmechanical ventilation or noninvasive ventilation on any study day. ALI, acute lung injury; APACHE II, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome.
Comparison of plasma biomarker levels between 100 severe sepsis patients with ARDS (cases) and 100 severe sepsis patients without ARDS (controls)
| SP-D (ng/ml) | 200 | 86 (46 to 159) | 43 (28 to 77) | <0.001 |
| RAGE (pg/ml) | 200 | 1,844 (1,060 to 3,737) | 1,232 (766 to 2147) | <0.001 |
| IL-8 (pg/ml) | 200 | 27.2 (14.2 to 119.5) | 16.8 (9.3 to 45.6) | 0.006 |
| CC16 (ng/ml) | 200 | 9.2 (5.0 to 15.8) | 13.1 (6.3 to 27.8) | 0.013 |
| IL-6 (pg/ml) | 200 | 283 (92 to 803) | 142 (57 to 550) | 0.023 |
| PCPIII (ug/ml) | 200 | 11.5 (6.9 to 18.7) | 11.5 (6.7 to 34.2) | 0.25 |
| BNP (pg/ml) | 200 | 404 (264 to 748) | 412 (212 to 712) | 0.38 |
| MMP-9 (ng/ml) | 195 | 151 (67 to 300) | 163 (81 to 337) | 0.39 |
| MMP-1 (ng/ml) | 195 | 28 (15 to 51) | 31 (17 to 56) | 0.44 |
| Ang2 (ng/ml) | 200 | 13 (7 to 21) | 12 (7 to 20) | 0.67 |
| MMP-3 (ng/ml) | 195 | 22 (15 to 35) | 22 (14 to43) | 0.78 |
Data as median (interquartile range). ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; SP-D, surfactant protein D; RAGE, receptor for advanced glycation endproducts; IL-8, interleukin 8; CC16, club cell protein-16; IL-6, interleukin 6; PCPIII, procollagen peptide III; BNP, brain natriuretic peptide; MMP-9, matrix metalloprotease 9; MMP-1, matrix metalloprotease 1; Ang2, angiopoietin 2; MMP-3, matrix metalloprotease 3.
Comparison of models for diagnosis of ARDS using single biomarkers to a combined model utilizing the top five performing biomarkers
| Single marker models | | | |
| SPD | 0.69 (0.6, 0.76) | 0.71 (0.63, 0.79) | 0.72 (0.62, 0.81) |
| RAGE | 0.64 (0.56, 0.72) | 0.68 (0.6, 0.75) | 0.67 (0.57, 0.76) |
| IL8 | 0.61 (0.54, 0.69) | 0.63 (0.55, 0.7) | 0.64 (0.55, 0.73) |
| CC16 | 0.60 (0.52, 0.68) | 0.60 (0.52, 0.68) | 0.64 (0.55, 0.74) |
| IL6 | 0.59 (0.52, 0.67) | 0.61 (0.53, 0.69) | 0.63 (0.53, 0.72) |
| Multivariable model (includes SPD, RAGE, IL-8, CC16, IL6) | 0.75 (0.7, 0.84) | 0.78 (0.74, 0.87) | 0.82 (0.77, 0.9) |
aAll AUCs are bootstrap bias-corrected; all 95% CI are bootstrap CIs. AUC, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; SP-D, surfactant protein D; RAGE, receptor for advanced glycation endproducts; IL-8, interleukin 8; CC16, club cell protein-16; IL-6, interleukin 6.
Figure 1Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis of the plasma biomarker panels for differentiating ARDS (cases) from controls. Predicted probability of ARDS for each subject was computed from a logistic regression model that includes the top five biomarkers (SP-D, RAGE, IL-8, CC-16 and IL-6). Specificity and sensitivity were computed at each possible cutoff of the predicted probability. Three ROC analyses are shown. The solid line shows the ROC analysis for all 200 patients in the study (100 cases, 100 controls). The AUC is 0.75 (95% CI: 0.7 to 0.84). The dashed line shows the ROC analysis using only the 91 cases who had ARDS at the time of the blood draw for biomarker measurement as well as their matched controls. The AUC for this model is 0.78 (95% CI: 0.74 to 0.87). The dotted line shows the ROC analysis using only the 66 patients who had the most severe ARDS (ARDS on all study days) and their matched controls. The AUC for this model is 0.82 (95% CI: 0.77 to 0.90). ROC, receiver operator characteristic curve; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; SP-D, surfactant protein D; RAGE, receptor for advanced glycation endproducts; IL-8, interleukin 8; CC16, club cell protein-16; IL-6, interleukin 6; AUC, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve; CI, confidence interval.
Figure 2The multivariable logistic regression model was used to create a prediction model nomogram for the probability of ARDS. A value in each biomarker predictor variable corresponds to a point scale at the top. The sum of the individual predictor variable points corresponds to the total points and the probability of ARDS shown at the bottom. For each predictor variable, the shown values are approximately 1st, 5th, 25th, 50th, 75th, 95th, and 99th percentiles. ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome.