Mammographic density and risk of breast cancer.

The radiographic appearance of the breast on mammography varies among women, and reflects variations in breast tissue composition and the different X-ray attenuation characteristics of these tissues. Fat is radiologically lucent and appears dark on a mammogram. Connective and epithelial tissues are radiologically dense and appear light. These variations in appearance are commonly described as the percentage of the breast image that is radiologically dense, or as percent mammographic density (PMD). There is now extensive evidence that PMD is a risk factor for breast cancer, with a 4- to 6-fold gradient in risk between women with 75% or more PMD compared with those with 10% or less. However, the accuracy of risk prediction in individual women is modest. The extent of PMD is associated inversely with greater age, parity, and weight, and is reduced by the menopause and by tamoxifen. PMD is positively associated with greater height, a family history of breast cancer, and is increased by combined hormone therapy. The relative risk associated with density is substantially larger than the relative risk of breast cancer associated with a family history of the disease or any of the menstrual and reproductive risk factors. It is estimated that the risks of breast cancer attributable to density of 50% or more may be 16% for all breast cancers. Although combined hormone therapy and tamoxifen respectively increase a decrease both PMD and breast cancer risk, there is as yet insufficient evidence to use PMD as a surrogate marker for breast cancer.