| Literature DB >> 23471638 |
U T Kadam1, M Blagojevic, J Belcher.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: One hypothesis has posited whether abnormal lipid metabolism might be a causal factor in the pathogenesis of osteoarthritis (OA). Routine statin use in clinical practice provides the basis for a natural experiment in testing this hypothesis.Entities:
Mesh:
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Year: 2013 PMID: 23471638 PMCID: PMC3682050 DOI: 10.1007/s11606-013-2382-8
Source DB: PubMed Journal: J Gen Intern Med ISSN: 0884-8734 Impact factor: 5.128
Figure 1.Statin dose increments over the 10-year follow-up period.
Characteristics of Statin Users and Non-Users Aged 40 Years and Over in the Cohort Population
| Statin users n = 4,976 | Non-statin users n = 11,633* | |
|---|---|---|
| Daily dose (SD) mg | 14.6 (15.5) | n/a |
| Age (SD) years | 65 (9.6) | 70 (13.1) |
| Men: Women | 2,925:2,051 | 5,402:6,231 |
| Deprivation (SD) | 26 (19.2) | 27 (19.3) |
| BMI kg/m2 (SD) | 26 (5.1) | 27 (5.1) |
| Cholesterol mmol/l (SD) | 5.0 (0.9) | 5.2 (1.2) |
| Hypertension† (%) | 222 (4.5) | 1,256 (11.3) |
| Atrial fibrillation† (%) | 514 (10.3) | 1,735 (15.7) |
| Angina† (%) | 1,726 (34.7) | 2,038 (18.4) |
| Myocardial infarction† (%) | 1,410 (28.3) | 1,166 (10.5) |
| Heart failure† (%) | 265 (5.3) | 2,096 (18.9) |
| Other cardiovascular diagnosis† (%) | 839 (16.9) | 2,786 (25.2) |
| Antidepressants (%) | 1,154 (23.2) | 2,172 (19.6) |
| Non-opioids (%) | 1,313 (26.4) | 2,488 (22.5) |
| Non-steroidals (%) | 2,923 (58.7) | 5,305 (47.9) |
| Opioids (%) | 2,292 (46.1) | 4,346 (39.2) |
Percentage figures (%) represent the statin users in 10-year follow-up and non-users in the entire 12-year time period
*includes 556 statin users less than 2 years
†Exclusive diagnostic categories
Figure 2.Cumulative Kaplan-Meier plots for statin dose quartile groups and osteoarthritis (OA) outcome over 10-year follow-up.
Statin Dose Quartile Groups and Osteoarthritis (OA) Outcome Over 10-year Follow-Up
| Factors | Subgroups | OA | Estimates | Rate ratio# (95 % CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | β | SE | |||
| Sociodemographic | Older age | 1,068 | 6,808 | 0.021 | 0.003 | 1.02 (1.01, 1.03) |
| Female | 898 | 7,181 | 0.495 | 0.050 | 1.64 (1.5, 1.8) | |
| Higher deprivation** | 1,170 | 7,085 | −0.001 | 0.001 | 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) | |
| Higher body mass index†† | 580 | 2,255 | 0.039 | 0.004 | 1.04 (1.0, 1.1) | |
| Clinical status† | Hypertension | 155 | 1,323 | n/a | 1.0 | |
| Atrial fibrillation | 314 | 1,940 | 0.040 | 0.139 | 1.04 (0.8, 1.4) | |
| Angina | 646 | 3,122 | 0.189 | 0.128 | 1.21 (0.94, 1.6) | |
| Myocardial infarction | 360 | 2,206 | 0.107 | 0.137 | 1.11 (0.9, 1.5) | |
| Heart failure | 202 | 2,168 | −0 · 077 | 0.169 | 0.93 (0.7, 1.3) | |
| Other CVD | 583 | 3,050 | 0 · 085 | 0.134 | 1.09 (0.8, 1.4) | |
| Longer disease duration††† | 678 | 3,999 | −0.007 | 0.008 | 0.99 (0.98, 1.0) | |
| Higher cholesterol level†† | 265 | 894 | −0.091 | 0.027 | 0.91 (0.9,1.0) | |
| Specific drug co-therapies‡ | 1,438 | 8,050 | 0.085 | 0.049 | 1 . 09 (0.98, 1.2) | |
| Statin dose | None‡‡ | 1,383 | 9,779 | n/a | 1.0 | |
| Quartile 1 (0.01–4.6 mg/day) | 226 | 883 | 0.934 | 0.061 | 2.55 (2.3, 2.9) | |
| Quartile 2 (4.7–9.9 mg/day) | 274 | 881 | 0.266 | 0.70 | 1.31 (1.1, 1.5) | |
| Quartile 3 (10.0–18.4 mg/day) | 251 | 1,094 | −0.204 | 0.076 | 0.82 (0.7, 0.95) | |
| Quartile 4 (18.5 mg/day or more) | 126 | 1,172 | −0.889 | 0.100 | 0.41 (0.3, 0.5) | |
#Cox regression rate ratio adjusted for all co-variates
**Based on IMD, which is the Index of Multiple Deprivation, a census based area-level measure
†Patients with exclusive diagnostic categories in their clinical records for a 2-year time window (1995–1996)
‡Specific drug co-therapies relate to users of opioids, non-opioids, non-steroidal anti-inflammatories or anti-depressants in 2-year time windows over the total 12 year period of observation
††Values refer to the first available recorded date in an individual’s clinical record and the (SD) summaries on available non-missing data
††includes 556 statin users less than 2 years
†††Time between age at first diagnosis and the date of diagnosis in the cohort sampling window
Change in Statin Dose and Osteoarthritis (OA) Outcome: Discrete Time Series Designs
| Change in statin dose† | Within 2-year analyses†† | Adjusted odds ratio** (95 % CI) | ‘Temporal’ 4-year analyses††† | Adjusted odds ratio** (95 % CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SE | β | SE | |||
| None | ref | ref | 1.0 | ref | ref | 1.0 |
| Group 1 (Smallest) | 0.067 | 0.083 | 1.07 (0.9, 1.3) | 0.531 | 0.058 | 1.7 (1.5, 1.9) |
| Group 2 | 0.154 | 0.087 | 1.17 (0.9, 1.4) | −0.022 | 0.099 | 0.98 (0.8, 1.2) |
| Group 3 | −0.046 | 0.106 | 0.95 (0.8, 1.2) | −0.056 | 0.082 | 0.95 (0.8, 1.1) |
| Group 4 (Largest) | −0.270 | 0.121 | 0.82 (0.7, 0.99) | −0.516 | 0.111 | 0.60 (0.5, 0.7) |
†Increasing dose change, as measured by mean dose in a 2-year time-block to subsequent 2-year time periods in the following 10 years
**Adjusted for all covariates: age, gender, deprivation, BMI, cholesterol level, specific drug co-therapies (opioids, non-opioids, non-steroidal anti-inflammatories or antidepressants), and duration and diagnostic cardiovascular disease; specific drug co-therapies relate to users of opioids, non-opioids, non-steroidal anti-inflammatories or antidepressants in 2-year time windows over the total 12-year period of observation
††Analyses applies to change in statin dose and OA event within the same 2-year time period, with estimates averaged for the five 2-year time windows in the 10-year follow-up
†††Analyses applies to change in statin dose estimated from the prior 2-year time period, with OA event in the subsequent 2-year follow-up (therefore again, five time windows, starting with 1995–1996 as the first window)
Statin Dose and OA Outcome over 10 year Follow up by CVD Groups
| Disease group† | Statin daily dose* | OA outcome | Adjusted rate ratio** (95 % CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | No | |||
| Hypertension | None | 130 | 1,126 | 1 . 0 |
| Low | 15 | 96 | 0.91 (0.5, 1.8) | |
| High | 10 | 101 | 0.50 (0.3, 1.0) | |
| Atrial Fibrillation | None | 214 | 1,521 | 1.0 |
| Low | 5 | 263 | 0.99 (0.7, 1.4) | |
| High | 12 | 234 | 0.69 (0.5, 1.0) | |
| Angina | None | 304 | 2,342 | 1.0 |
| Low | 218 | 663 | 1.14 (0.9, 1.4) | |
| High | 108 | 737 | 0.49 (0.4, 0.6) | |
| Myocardial Infarction | None | 140 | 1,006 | 1.0 |
| Low | 115 | 578 | 1.36 (1.1, 1.8) | |
| High | 46 | 671 | 0.61 (0.5, 0.8) | |
| Heart failure | None | 167 | 1,929 | 1.0 |
| Low | 12 | 134 | 0.78 (0.4, 1.6) | |
| High | 20 | 99 | 0.93 (0.5, 1.7) | |
| Other CVD | None | 416 | 2,370 | 1.0 |
| Low | 95 | 338 | 1.25 (0.99, 1.6) | |
| High | 55 | 351 | 0.70 (0.5, 0.9) | |
†Exclusive ordered groups, with hypertension as ‘least severe’ and heart failure ‘most severe’ category. Patients consulted for the diagnostic category in a 2-year time window (1995–1996). The exclusiveness of severity categories is that allocation of an individual to one of these was based on the most severe category; for example, if an individual had consulted for hypertension and heart failure, they would be classified into the heart failure category
*Statin dose summarised as mean daily dose
**Adjusted Cox regression rate ratios for all covariates: age, gender, deprivation, BMI, cholesterol level, specific drug co-therapies (opioids, non-opioids, non-steroidal anti-inflammatories or antidepressants), and duration and severity of cardiovascular disease