| Literature DB >> 23418534 |
Kashif Shafique1, David S Morrison.
Abstract
In the United Kingdom, survival of prostate cancer patients has improved since the 1990s. A deprivation gap in survival (better survival for the least deprived compared with the most deprived) has been reported but it is not known if differential distribution of earlier age or lower grade disease at diagnosis might explain such patterns. We therefore investigated the impact of age and Gleason grade at diagnosis on the deprivation gap in survival of prostate cancer patients over time. Incident cases of prostate cancer (ICD-10 C61) from the West of Scotland were extracted from the Scottish Cancer Registry from 1991 to 2007. Socio-economic circumstances were measured using the Scottish Index for Multiple Deprivation 2004 (SIMD). Age and deprivation specific mortality rates were obtained from the General Registrar Office for Scotland (GRO(S)). The survival gradient across the five deprivation categories was estimated with linear regression, weighted by the variance of the relative survival estimate. We examined the data for 15,292 adults diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1991 and 2007. Despite substantial improvements in survival of prostate cancer patients, a deprivation gap persists throughout the three periods of diagnoses. The deprivation gap in five year relative survival widened from -4.76 in 1991-1996 to -10.08 in 2003-2007. On age and grade-specific analyses, a significant deprivation gap in five year survival existed between all age groups except among patients' age ≥75 and both low and high grade disease. On multivariate analyses, deprivation was significantly associated with increased excess risk of death (RER 1.48, 95% CI 1.31-1.68, p-value<0.001) independent of age, Gleason grade and period of diagnosis. The deprivation gap in survival from prostate cancer cannot be wholly explained by socio-economic differentials in early detection of disease. Further research is needed to understand whether differences in comorbidities or treatment explain inequalities in prostate cancer outcomes.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23418534 PMCID: PMC3571964 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0056184
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Baseline characteristics of prostate cancer patients registered in the West of Scotland from 1991–2007.
| Total patients | All deaths | |||
| n | % | n | % | |
|
| 15,549 | _ | 9,355 | 60.2 |
| Patients not residing in the West of Scotland | 30 | _ | 19 | 63.3 |
| Zero survival or death certificate only (DCO) | 226 | _ | _ | _ |
| Age more than 100 years at diagnosis | 1 | _ | 1 | 100.0 |
| Patients included in final analysis | 15,292 | 9,109 | 59.7 | |
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| Age <65 | 2,984 | 19.5 | 1,086 | 11.9 |
| Age 65–74 | 6,023 | 39.4 | 3,232 | 35.5 |
| Age ≥75 | 6,285 | 41.1 | 4,791 | 52.6 |
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| Gleason <7 | 4,065 | 37.2 | 1,421 | 27.1 |
| Gleason = 7 | 2,231 | 20.4 | 756 | 14.4 |
| Gleason 8–10 | 3,311 | 30.3 | 2,051 | 39.0 |
| Unknown Gleason | 1,316 | 12.1 | 1,026 | 19.5 |
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| 1 (least deprived) | 2,623 | 17.2 | 1,295 | 14.2 |
| 2 | 2,278 | 14.9 | 1,219 | 13.4 |
| 3 | 2,450 | 16.0 | 1,444 | 15.9 |
| 4 | 3,737 | 24.4 | 2,365 | 26.0 |
| 5 (most deprived) | 4,202 | 27.5 | 2,786 | 30.6 |
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| 1991–1996 | 4,369 | 28.6 | 3,855 | 42.3 |
| 1997–2002 | 5,474 | 35.8 | 3,580 | 39.3 |
| 2003–2007 | 5,449 | 35.6 | 1,674 | 18.4 |
Period of diagnosis was based on incidence date recorded in cancer registry.
Trends in relative survival (%) of prostate cancer patients by period of diagnosis in the West of Scotland: 1991 to 2007.
| Calendar period of diagnosis | Average change (%) | |||||||
| Time since diagnosis | 1991–1996 | 1997–2002 | 2003–2007 | between periods | ||||
| Survival, % | (95% CI) | Survival, % | (95% CI) | Survival, % | (95% CI) | (95% CI) | ||
| 1 year | 83.2 | (81.7, 84.5) | 90.9 | (89.9, 91.9) | 92.1 | (91.2, 93.0) | 4.5 | (−19.4,28.3) |
| 3 years | 67.4 | (65.5, 69.2) | 78.1 | (76.5, 79.6) | 83.1 | (81.6, 84.6) | 7.8 | (−13.1, 28.8) |
| 5 years | 58.2 | (56.0, 60.3) | 71.0 | (69.1, 72.8) | 78.6 | (76.4, 80.8) | 10.2 | (−8.9, 29.3) |
= Mean absolute change in relative survival between periods adjusted for deprivation.
Figure 1Deprivation gap in 5-year relative survival from prostate cancer from 1991–2007 in the West of Scotland.
Trends in the deprivation gap in relative survival of prostate cancer patients by time since diagnosis and calendar period in the West of Scotland during 1991–2007.
| Calendar period of diagnosis | Average change (%) | |||||||
| Time since diagnosis | 1991–1996 | 1997–2002 | 2003–2007 | between periods | ||||
| Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | |
| 1 year | −4.68 | (−7.17, −2.19) | −4.52 | (−6.02,−3.02) | −3.96 | (−5.7, −2.18) | 0.19 | (−0.30,0.41) |
| 3 year | −6.72 | (−13.21, −0.23) | −8.08 | (−12.65, −3.50) | −7.56 | (−10.05, −5.07) | −0.42 | (−7.31, 6.47) |
| 5 year | −4.76 | (−10.55, 1.03) | −9.08 | (−12.37, −5.78) | −10.08 | (−13.05, −7.11) | −2.65 | (−14.83, 23.65) |
= Relative Survival estimated by complete approach,
= Mean absolute change in survival in between periods adjusted for deprivation.
Deprivation gap in 5-year relative survival of prostate cancer patients by age, Gleason grade and calendar period in the West of Scotland during 1991–2007.
| Calendar period of diagnosis | ||||||
| Characteristics | 1991–1996 | 1997–2002 | 2003–2007 | |||
| Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | Deprivation gap (%) | (95% CI) | |
| Age <65 | −13.6 | (−23.24, −3.95) | −13.32 | (−16.23,−10.41) | −7.72 | (−24.49, 9.05) |
| Age 65–74 | −5.36 | (−16.28, 5.56) | −11.48 | (−13.20, 9.76) | −9.92 | (−12.11, −7.73) |
| Age ≥75 | 2.00 | (−1.65, 5.66) | −1.44 | (−12.22, 9.34) | −7.36 | (−12.32, −2.40) |
| Gleason <7 | _ | _ | −6.64 | (−11.82,−1.46) | −6.88 | (−12.95, −0.80) |
| Gleason = 7 | _ | _ | −0.4 | (−7.16, 6.36) | 3.92 | (−6.47, 14.31) |
| Gleason 8–10 | _ | _ | −10.12 | (−16.63, −3.61) | −8.76 | (−20.37,2.85) |
| Unknown Gleason | _ | _ | −1.8 | (−14.75,11.14) | −8.76 | (−13.72,−3.80) |
= Relative Survival estimated by complete approach.
Grade specific risk of excess mortality due to prostate cancer modelled using the full likelihood approach.
| Gleason <7 | Gleason = 7 | Gleason 8–10 | Unknown Gleason | |||||||||||||
| Relative Excess Risk (95% CI) | p value | Relative Excess Risk (95% CI) | p value | Relative Excess Risk (95% CI) | p value | Relative Excess Risk (95% CI) | p value | |||||||||
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| 1 (least deprived) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1.20 | (0.41, | 3.52) | 0.742 | 0.94 | (0.44, | 1.99) | 0.871 | 1.05 | (0.81, | 1.36) | 0.702 | 1.25 | (0.90, | 1.73) | 0.192 |
| 3 | 1.69 | (0.62, | 4.64) | 0.309 | 1.01 | (0.48, | 2.12) | 0.981 | 1.42 | (1.13, | 1.79) | 0.003 | 1.02 | (0.73, | 1.46) | 0.875 |
| 4 | 1.61 | (0.61, | 4.26) | 0.005 | 1.36 | (0.73, | 2.55) | 0.331 | 1.48 | (1.19, | 1.84) | <0.001 | 1.06 | (0.78, | 1.43) | 0.722 |
| 5 (most deprived) | 2.61 | (1.09, | 6.26) | 0.031 | 0.84 | (0.39, | 1.82) | 0.657 | 1.36 | (1.10, | 1.69) | 0.005 | 1.47 | (1.13, | 1.92) | 0.004 |
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| 1997–2002 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||||||||||||
| 2003–2007 | 0.19 | (0.05, | 0.74) | 0.017 | 0.39 | (0.27, | 0.68) | <0.001 | 0.78 | (0.68, | 0.90) | <0.001 | 1.87 | (1.55, | 2.40) | <0.001 |
All estimates were adjusted for age at incidence.