| Literature DB >> 23336619 |
Nguyen H Lan1, Wongsa Laohasiriwong, John F Stewart.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Breast cancer is becoming a public health problem in Vietnam. The mortality to incidence ratio of the disease was ranked second among the most common cancers in women. This study estimates the survival probability at 1, 3, and 5 years following diagnosis and determines prognostic factors for breast cancer mortality in Vietnam.Entities:
Keywords: Vietnam; breast cancer; prognostic factors; survival
Mesh:
Year: 2013 PMID: 23336619 PMCID: PMC3549066 DOI: 10.3402/gha.v6i0.18860
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Glob Health Action ISSN: 1654-9880 Impact factor: 2.640
Characteristics of breast cancer patients for groups with and without loss of follow-up
| Characteristics | Group without loss of follow-up ( | Group with loss of follow-up ( |
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnic group | |||
| Majority (Kinh) | 94.41 | 95.75 | 0.231 |
| Minority | 5.59 | 4.25 | |
| Age group | |||
| <40 | 14.24 | 13.99 | |
| 40–49 | 43.25 | 36.62 | |
| 50–59 | 26.05 | 29.72 | 0.436 |
| 60–69 | 13.71 | 13.21 | |
| ≥70 | 2.74 | 3.46 | |
| Stage at diagnosis | |||
| Stage 0 | 0.42 | 0.94 | |
| Stage I | 10.76 | 11.01 | 0.094 |
| Stage II | 61.18 | 57.08 | |
| Stage III | 19.41 | 24.21 | |
| Stage IV | 8.23 | 6.76 | |
| The primary treatment | |||
| Surgery | 78.69 | 72.96 | |
| Radiation | 0.42 | 0.94 | 0.039 |
| Chemotherapy | 10.55 | 11.32 | |
| Hormone therapy | 0.11 | 0.31 | |
| No treatment | 10.23 | 14.47 | |
Pearson chi-square.
Goodness-of-fit test assessing proportional hazards assumption
| Predictors | rho | Chi-square test | df |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnic group | −0.06846 | 1.28 | 1 | 0.2571 |
| Age group | 0.03237 | 0.29 | 1 | 0.5871 |
| Marital status | −0.02643 | 0.19 | 1 | 0.6619 |
| Education level | −0.16793 | 7.48 | 1 | 0.0062 |
| Stage at diagnosis | −0.33341 | 27.11 | 1 | 0.0000 |
| Primary treatment | 0.09538 | 2.76 | 1 | 0.0967 |
| Hormone therapy | 0.11012 | 3.12 | 1 | 0.5871 |
| Global test | 38.11 | 7 | 0.0000 |
The correlation coefficient between the residuals and time.
Degree of freedom.
Characteristics of patients with breast cancer
| Characteristics | Number of patients | Percent |
|---|---|---|
| Ethnic group | ||
| Majority group | 894 | 94.3 |
| Minority group | 54 | 5.7 |
| Age at diagnosis | ||
| Mean (SD) | 50 (9.2) | |
| Age group | ||
| <40 | 103 | 10.9 |
| 40–49 | 408 | 43.0 |
| 50–59 | 270 | 28.5 |
| 60–69 | 131 | 13.8 |
| ≥70 | 36 | 3.8 |
| Marital status | ||
| Married | 788 | 83.1 |
| Unmarried | 160 | 16.9 |
| Education level | ||
| Illiterate | 40 | 4.2 |
| Primary school | 285 | 30.1 |
| Secondary school | 264 | 27.8 |
| High school | 250 | 26.4 |
| Higher | 109 | 11.5 |
| Stage at diagnosis | ||
| Stage 0 and I | 106 | 11.2 |
| Stage II | 580 | 61.2 |
| Stage III | 184 | 19.4 |
| Stage IV | 78 | 8.2 |
| The first treatment | ||
| Surgery | 746 | 78.7 |
| Radiotherapy | 4 | 0.4 |
| Chemotherapy | 100 | 10.6 |
| Hormone therapy | 1 | 0.1 |
| No treatment | 97 | 10.2 |
| Hormone therapy | ||
| Yes | 707 | 74.6 |
| No | 241 | 25.4 |
| Total | 948 | 100 |
Fig. 1Overall survival rate at 1, 3, and 5 years following diagnosis for breast cancer.
Extended Cox model, including patient characteristics and interaction terms
| Hazard ratio |
| 95% CI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethnic group | 1.01 | 0.961 | 0.61–1.67 |
| Marital status | 2.41 | 0.093 | 0.86–6.74 |
| Primary treatment | 0.89 | 0.542 | 0.61–1.30 |
| Hormone therapy | 0.22 | 0.000 | 0.12–0.40 |
| Age group | 1.11 | 0.100 | 0.98–1.25 |
| Education level | 0.86 | 0.034 | 0.76–0.99 |
| Stage at diagnosis | 1.25 | 0.019 | 1.04–1.51 |
| Primary treatment×stage | 1.02 | 0.235 | 0.99–1.06 |
| Marital status×stage | 0.95 | 0.367 | 0.85–1.06 |
| Education level×stage | 1.03 | 0.325 | 0.98–1.08 |
| Hormone therapy×stage | 1.08 | 0.023 | 1.01–1.16 |
95% CI: 95% confidence interval for hazard ratio.
Variables continuously vary with respect to time.
Interaction terms defined as the product of primary treatment, marital status, education level, hormone therapy, and stage at diagnosis
Estimate of regression coefficient for variable education level is −0.14.
Estimate of regression coefficient for variable stage at diagnosis is 0.22.
Fig. 2The extended Cox model assessing the effect of characteristics of patients on mortality from breast cancer.
Subgroup analysis of potential prognostic factors
| Prognostic factors | Hazard ratio | p | 95% CI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marital status | |||
| Unmarried | 1 (baseline) | ||
| Married | 1.53 | 0.030 | 1.04–2.24 |
| Hormone therapy | |||
| No | 1 (baseline) | ||
| Yes | 0.24 | 0.000 | 0.13–0.44 |
| Education level | |||
| Illiterate | 1 (baseline) | ||
| Primary school | 1.00 | 0.974 | 0.83–1.20 |
| Secondary school | 0.95 | 0.571 | 0.78–1.14 |
| High school | 0.79 | 0.020 | 0.64–0.96 |
| Higher | 0.79 | 0.046 | 0.62–0.99 |
| Stage at diagnosis | |||
| Stage I | 1 (baseline) | ||
| Stage II | 1.24 | 0.060 | 0.99–1.56 |
| Stage III | 1.64 | 0.000 | 1.29–2.09 |
| Stage IV | 2.27 | 0.000 | 1.71–2.99 |
| Hormone therapy×stage | 1.07 | 0.053 | 0.99–1.14 |
95% CI: 95% confidence interval for hazard ratio.
Variables continuously vary with respect to time.
Interaction terms defined as the product of hormone therapy and stage at diagnosis.