| Literature DB >> 22681860 |
Mark S Pearce1, Jane A Salotti, Mark P Little, Kieran McHugh, Choonsik Lee, Kwang Pyo Kim, Nicola L Howe, Cecile M Ronckers, Preetha Rajaraman, Alan W Sir Craft, Louise Parker, Amy Berrington de González.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Although CT scans are very useful clinically, potential cancer risks exist from associated ionising radiation, in particular for children who are more radiosensitive than adults. We aimed to assess the excess risk of leukaemia and brain tumours after CT scans in a cohort of children and young adults.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2012 PMID: 22681860 PMCID: PMC3418594 DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(12)60815-0
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Lancet ISSN: 0140-6736 Impact factor: 79.321
Estimated radiation doses to the brain and red bone marrow from one CT scan, by scan type, sex, and age at scan, as used in this study for scans after 2001
| Brain dose (mGy) | Red bone marrow dose (mGy) | Brain dose (mGy) | Red bone marrow dose (mGy) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 years | 28 | 8 | 28 | 8 |
| 5 years | 28 | 9 | 28 | 9 |
| 10 years | 35 | 6 | 35 | 6 |
| 15 years | 43 | 4 | 44 | 6 |
| 20 years | 35 | 2 | 42 | 2 |
| 0 years | 0·4 | 4 | 0·4 | 4 |
| 5 years | 0·3 | 3 | 0·3 | 3 |
| 10 years | 0·3 | 3 | 0·3 | 3 |
| 15 years | 0·2 | 4 | 0·3 | 4 |
| 20 years | 0·2 | 4 | 0·3 | 4 |
| 0 years | 0·2 | 3 | 0·2 | 3 |
| 5 years | 0·1 | 2 | 0·1 | 2 |
| 10 years | 0·1 | 3 | 0·1 | 3 |
| 15 years | 0·0 | 3 | 0·0 | 3 |
| 20 years | 0·0 | 3 | 0·0 | 4 |
| 0 years | 0·0 | 1 | 0·0 | 1 |
| 5 years | 0·0 | 0·2 | 0·0 | 0·2 |
| 10 years | 0·0 | 0·1 | 0·0 | 0·1 |
| 15 years | 0·0 | 0·0 | 0·0 | 0·0 |
| 20 years | 0·0 | 0·0 | 0·0 | 0·0 |
Cases of leukaemia and brain tumours and person-years for patients in the assessed cohort
| Cases | Person-years | Cases | Person-years | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||||
| Male | 42 | 953 634 | 65 | 657 169 | |
| Female | 31 | 764 937 | 70 | 529 372 | |
| Unknown | 1 | 2413 | 0 | 1666 | |
| Age at first exposure, years | |||||
| 0 | 10 | 198 052 | 17 | 139 414 | |
| 1–<5 | 17 | 262 437 | 18 | 185 942 | |
| 5–<10 | 17 | 269 369 | 27 | 189 415 | |
| 10–<15 | 10 | 345 320 | 30 | 236 891 | |
| ≥15 | 20 | 645 807 | 43 | 436 545 | |
| Attained age, years | |||||
| 0–<20 | 47 | 900 383 | 65 | 537 567 | |
| 20–<30 | 23 | 689 274 | 53 | 519 313 | |
| 30–<35 | 2 | 106 376 | 12 | 106 376 | |
| ≥35 | 2 | 24 951 | 5 | 24 951 | |
| Years since first exposure | |||||
| 0–<10 | 53 | 1 266 110 | 77 | 733 337 | |
| 10–<15 | 15 | 347 786 | 45 | 347 786 | |
| 15–<20 | 6 | 101 213 | 13 | 101 213 | |
| ≥20 | 0 | 5871 | 0 | 5871 | |
| Number of CT scans | |||||
| 1 | 45 | 1 239 170 | 72 | 862 661 | |
| 2–4 | 22 | 429 324 | 50 | 291 192 | |
| ≥5 | 7 | 52 493 | 13 | 34 354 | |
| Overall | 74 | 1 720 984 | 135 | 1 188 207 | |
Person-year data in the leukaemia group do not sum to the overall number because of rounding.
Follow-up starting 2 years after first CT scan.
Follow-up starting 5 years after first CT scan.
FigureRelative risk of leukaemia and brain tumours in relation to estimated radiation doses to the red bone marrow and brain from CT scans
(A) Leukaemia and (B) brain tumours. Dotted line is the fitted linear dose-response model (excess relative risk per mGy). Bars show 95% CIs.
Excess relative risk per mGy for cancer subtypes in relation to organ-specific radiation doses received from CT scans
| All leukaemia, including myelodysplastic syndromes | 74 | 0·036 (0·005 to 0·120) | 0·0097 |
| Acute lymphoblastic leukaemia | 26 | 1·719 | 0·0053 |
| Acute myeloid leukaemia | 18 | 0·021 (–0·042 | 0·2653 |
| Myelodysplastic syndromes | 9 | 6·098 | 0·0032 |
| Leukaemia excluding myelodysplastic syndromes | 65 | 0·019 (–0·012 | 0·1436 |
| All brain | 135 | 0·023 (0·010 to 0·049) | <0·0001 |
| Glioma | 65 | 0·019 (0·003 to 0·070) | 0·0033 |
| Schwannoma and meningioma | 20 | 0·033 (0·002 to 0·439) | 0·0195 |
ERR=excess relative risk.
Iteratively reweighted least-squares algorithm failed to converge, so parameter estimates might be unreliable.
Calculated using Wald-based CI.
Excess relative risk per mGy for leukaemia and brain tumours, by various personal characteristics
| ERR per mGy | p value | ERR per mGy | p value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 0·031 | 0·6300 | 0·016 | 0·0850 |
| Female | 0·042 | 0·028 | ||
| 0–<5 | 0·048 | 0·8061 | 0 | 0·6468 |
| 5–<10 | 0·033 | 0·025 | ||
| ≥10 | 0·026 | 0·021 | ||
| 0–<5 | 0·052 | 0·3004 | 0 | 0·1976 |
| 5–<10 | 0·015 | 0·026 | ||
| ≥10 | 0·014 | 0·016 | ||
| 1 | 0·013 | 0·8013 | 0·007 | 0·1213 |
| 2–4 | 0·028 | 0·021 | ||
| ≥5 | 0·035 | 0·018 | ||
| 0–<5 | 0·030 | 0·5381 | 0·005 | 0·0003 |
| 5–<10 | 0·072 | 0·028 | ||
| 10–<15 | –0·002 | 0·037 | ||
| ≥15 | 0·049 | 0·041 | ||
| 2–<5 | 0·055 | 0·5357 | ·· | 0·2399 |
| 5–<10 | 0·021 | 0·026 | ||
| 10–<15 | 0·005 | 0·023 | ||
| ≥15 | 0·026 | 0·005 | ||
ERR=excess relative risk. ··=not applicable (follow-up started at 5 years).
Includes individual of unknown sex.
Aliased parameter, set to zero.
Time-dependent variable.