| Literature DB >> 22048814 |
Elisabeth Luporsi1, Fabrice André, Frédérique Spyratos, Pierre-Marie Martin, Jocelyne Jacquemier, Frédérique Penault-Llorca, Nicole Tubiana-Mathieu, Brigitte Sigal-Zafrani, Laurent Arnould, Anne Gompel, Caroline Egele, Bruno Poulet, Krishna B Clough, Hubert Crouet, Alain Fourquet, Jean-Pierre Lefranc, Carole Mathelin, Nicolas Rouyer, Daniel Serin, Marc Spielmann, Margaret Haugh, Marie-Pierre Chenard, Etienne Brain, Patricia de Cremoux, Jean-Pierre Bellocq.
Abstract
Clinicians can use biomarkers to guide therapeutic decisions in estrogen receptor positive (ER+) breast cancer. One such biomarker is cellular proliferation as evaluated by Ki-67. This biomarker has been extensively studied and is easily assayed by histopathologists but it is not currently accepted as a standard. This review focuses on its prognostic and predictive value, and on methodological considerations for its measurement and the cut-points used for treatment decision. Data describing study design, patients' characteristics, methods used and results were extracted from papers published between January 1990 and July 2010. In addition, the studies were assessed using the REMARK tool. Ki-67 is an independent prognostic factor for disease-free survival (HR 1.05-1.72) in multivariate analyses studies using samples from randomized clinical trials with secondary central analysis of the biomarker. The level of evidence (LOE) was judged to be I-B with the recently revised definition of Simon. However, standardization of the techniques and scoring methods are needed for the integration of this biomarker in everyday practice. Ki-67 was not found to be predictive for long-term follow-up after chemotherapy. Nevertheless, high KI-67 was found to be associated with immediate pathological complete response in the neoadjuvant setting, with an LOE of II-B. The REMARK score improved over time (with a range of 6-13/20 vs. 10-18/20, before and after 2005, respectively). KI-67 could be considered as a prognostic biomarker for therapeutic decision. It is assessed with a simple assay that could be standardized. However, international guidelines are needed for routine clinical use.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2011 PMID: 22048814 PMCID: PMC3332349 DOI: 10.1007/s10549-011-1837-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Breast Cancer Res Treat ISSN: 0167-6806 Impact factor: 4.872
Summary of definitions of LOE [98]
| LOE | Type of study | Validation |
|---|---|---|
| I-A | RCT specifically to assess the utility of the biomarker. The samples are collected and analysed in real-time | Not necessary but could be useful |
| I-B | RCT not specifically to assess the utility of the biomarker. The samples are stored during the study and analysed after the study is finished, following a protocol | One or more studies with consistent results |
| II-B | RCT not specifically to assess the utility of the biomarker. The samples are stored during the study and analysed after the study is finished, following a protocol | Only one study, or several studies with inconsistent results |
| II-C | Non-randomized retrospective study aimed to assess the utility of the biomarker using samples from patients in an observational setting (standard treatment and follow-up) | Two or more studies with consistent results |
| III-C | Non-randomized retrospective study aimed to assess the utility of the biomarker using samples from patients in an observational setting (standard treatment and follow-up) | Only one study, or several studies with inconsistent results |
| IV–V-D | No aspect of the study is prospective | Not necessary because these types of studies do not enable the clinical utility of the biomarker to be assessed |
Fig. 1Summary from the literature search
Summary of studies assessing Ki-67 in samples from randomised controlled trials
| Reference/study design | Study details | Patients/treatment | Type of specimen fixation/storage | Antibody/controls/counting/cut off/double reading (Y/N) | Results | Conclusions |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ki-67 as a prognostic factor: neoadjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||
| EORTC-NCIC-SAKK trial [ | 12 countries/May 1993–April 1996 | Any T4, any N, M0 or any T, N2/N3, M0 or inflammatory breast carcinoma/CEF; EC+ G-CSF | Pre-treatment samples from primary tumour/No details/FFPE, Bouin Holland-fixed-PE | IHC—MIB-1 (Immunotech)/(1) −ve control slide—no MIB-1 | Univariate: Results for 20% cut-off: PFS: HR (95% CI)—1.22 (0.78–1.91) | Not a statistically significant prognostic factor |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic factor: neoadjuvant hormonotherapy | ||||||
| Decensi et al. [ | Italy/Sept 1999–Aug 2001 | Early stage ER+ breast cancer, <5 cm, N0–N1, M0/Two low-doses versus standard dose Tam (4 weeks) | Core cut biopsy pre-treatment | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako) followed by high-sensitivity detection kit (EnVision Plus-HRP; Dako)/Assessor blinded to treatment group/% of +ve tumour cells in core biopsy or over at least 2,000 cells in surgical biopsy/Quantiles calculated from a data of 6,853 women (ER +ve or PgR +ve) who underwent surgery from 2004 to 2007/No | Univariate: Post-treatment Ki-67 for RFS (HR (95% CI)): 4th quartile (≥30%): 6.05 (2.07–17.65) | Ki-67 response after short-term neoadjuvant tamoxifen is a good predictor of RFS and OS |
| P024 [ | Multinational/Mar 1998–Aug 1999 | ER+, T2-4a-c, N0–2, MO breast cancers/LET-Tam | Core biopsy pre-treatment and last visit (before surgery) | Ki-67 antibody (Zymed) | Univariate: RFS (HR (95% CI)): Post-treat Ki-67 per 2.7× increase: 1.4 (1.2–1.6); | Post-treatment Ki-67 is independently associated with RFS and BCSS |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic factor: adjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||
| EORTC 10854 [ | Multinational/May 1986–March 1991 | N0, invasive breast cancer, stage I-IIIA/Surgery (all) treatment group: FDC—1 cycle | Tumour samples | IHC—MIB-1 (Immunotech; ref cited)/one reference lab/‘hot spot’ at high magnification/≥20%/ND | Univariate: OS: | Mitotic index was a better prognostic indicator in multivariate analysis than Ki-67 (or S-phase) |
| PACS01 [ | France/Jun 1977–Mar 2000 | Stage <T4a, ER +ve, N+/FEC—6 cycles versus FEC-D—3 cycles) | Tumour blocks | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako) using Ventana NeXes automat/centralised lab/visual grading system; estimated % of +ve cells/>20%/yes, assessment by 10 pathologists | Univariate: DFS: 1.7 (1.2–2.4) | Ki-67 is a candidate for predicting docetaxel efficacy in ER +ve breast cancer |
| NEAT/BR9601 [ | UK—Oct 1996–Apr 2001 | Completely excised early breast cancer (N+ and N0)/E-mod-CMF ( | Triple TMA prepared from stored tissue blocks | IHC/ND/Scoring by one experience observer, blinded to patient ID and outcome/13%/ND | Univariate: Ki-67 +ve versus Ki-67 −ve: RFS: HR = 1.12 (95% CI: 0.95–1.32) | Ki-67 is strongly prognostic but not predictive of additive benefit from EPI-CMF versus CMF |
| Mottolese et al. [ | Rome, Italy/1991–1993 | Premenopausal women: invasive breast cancer >1 cm grade 2–3, any N and HR status | Tumour samples/ND/PE | IHC polyclonal Ki-67 (DAKO)/+ve control: breast cancer with known high level | Univariate: High versus low Ki-67: DFS: RR = 1.52 (0.82–2.82); | Ki-67 not a significant prognostic factor |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic factor: adjuvant hormonotherapy | ||||||
| BIG 1–98 [ | International/Mar 1998–Mar 2000 | Early invasive breast cancer, ER +ve ± PgR +ve (N+ and N0)/Tam ( | Primary tumour samples (whole tissue sections) | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako) | Univariate: DFS: 1.8 (1.4–2.3) | Ki-67 confirmed as prognostic factor |
| IKA TAMOXIFEN [ | Netherlands/1982–1994 | Postmenopausal, T1–4N0–3M0/1st year: Tam versus no treatment | Tumour tissue | IHC MIB1 (Immunotech)/−ve control: no primary Ab/scanning for +ve cells (distinct nuclear staining) at medium and high resolution/>5%/ND | Univariate: High versus low Ki-67: DFS: log-rank | No conclusions for Ki-67 |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic factor: adjuvant chemo-hormonotherapy | ||||||
| IBCSG TRAILS VIII and IX [ | International/1988–1999 | N0 invasive tumour in premenopausal (Trial VIII) and postmenopausal (Trial IX) women/Trial VIII: Gos versus CMF versus CMF +Gos | Primary tumour samples | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako)/central laboratory—blinded to treatment and outcomes/% of definite +ve cells among 2,000 tumour cells in randomly selected high-power (×400) fields at the periphery of the tumour/≥19%/ND | Univariate: Trial VIII | Ki-67 labelling index is an independent prognostic factor but not a predictive factor |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic and predictive factor: neoadjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||
| Chang et al. [ | UK—Feb 1990–Aug 1995 | Operable (including T4) breast cancer/Mit-M ± Mi | Fine needle aspirate | MIB -1 (Dako) with biotin-anti-mouse IgG and avidin–biotin-peroxidase complex/Experience assessor blinded to patient ID and outcome/change in Ki-67 between pre-treatment and day 10 or 21 after 1st chemotherapy/Continuous/No | Univariate: Decrease in Ki-67 expression: GCR at 3 months: 2.3 (95% CI 0.9–6.0) higher ( | Change in Ki-67 expression is predictive of achieving GCR which seems to be a valid surrogate marker for survival |
| IBBGS 1999 [ | Bordeaux, France/Jan 1985–Apr 1988 | Operable tumour >3 cm/3 cycles; EViMi and 3 cycles, MTV | Core biopsy before randomisation | IHC—MIB-1 (Immunotech), ABC complex/Objective % of +ve tumour cells, semi-quantitative from 0 to 100%/>40% (75th percentile)/No | Univariate: Predictive for tumour response : 4.1 (1.4–11.5) | High Ki-67 was associated with responsiveness to chemotherapy |
| Ki-67 as a prognostic and predictive factor: neoadjuvant hormonotherapy | ||||||
| IMPACT [ | UK and Germany/Oct 1997–Oct 2002 | ER+ invasive operable, or locally advanced, no evidence of metastasis, N0/(median duration: 30 months) ( | Core cut biopsy: pre-treatment and at 2 weeks (not obligatory), excision biopsy at surgery/24–48 h fixation/FFPE | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako)/ND/% of Ki-67 +ve tumour cells scored across 1,000 cells/Ki-67 expression per 2.7-fold increase (geometric mean percentage change from baseline)/ND | Univariate: RFS: baseline Ki-67, per 2.7× increase: 1.85 (1.06–3.22) | Ki-67 level at 2 weeks is a better predictor of RFS than pre-treatment levels |
| Ki-67 as a predictive factor: neoadjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||
| Learn et al. [ | ND/Feb 1996–Aug 2000 | Invasive breast cancer, T1C-T3, N0, M0 or T1–T3, N1, M0/C-A-D | Pretreatment fine-needle aspiration or core biopsy | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako Cytomation)/ND/+ve cells among 200 tumour cells/Continuous/Yes | Univariate: No association between Ki-67 for CRR | No statistically significant association with CRR |
| Ki-67 as a predictive factor: neoadjuvant chemo-hormonotherapy | ||||||
| Bottini [ | Italy—Jan 1997–Jan 2002 | T2–4, N0–1, M0/E versus E-Tam | Incision biopsy | IHC—MIB-1 (Dako) with biotin-anti-mouse IgG and avidin–biotin-peroxidase complex/−ve control—no MIB-1; +ve control—known sample with high Ki-67 expression/% of +ve stained tumour cells (≥1,000 cells) across several representative fields iwth 10 × 10 graticule/3 categories: <10%, 11–29%, >30% | Univariate: CCR versus not: median 23.5% (range 7–90%) versus 16% (range 1–90%) | Baseline elevated Ki-67 expression is associated with greater chance of PCR. |
| Generali et al. [ | Single centre/Nov 2000–Jan 2004 | ER+, T2–4, N0–1/LET versus LET-C | Whole tumour sections taken at diagnosis | IHC—MIB-1 (Dakopatts) Biotinylated horse antimouse IgG and avidin–biotin-peroxidase complex (Vectastatin ABC kit; Vector Laboratories)/−ve control—no MIB-1; +ve control—known breast tumour with high Ki-67 expression/% +ve stained tumour cells (≥1,000 cells) across several representative fields/≥10%/yes, Rescoring of 10 slides by 2nd investigator | Univariate: Post-treatment Ki-67 –significant inverse correlation with clinical response: NR versus PR versus CR χ2 = 10.85, | No conclusion for Ki-67 |
| GPAD-GBGCS trial [ | Germany (56 centres)/Apr 1998–Jun 1999 | Operable T2–3 (≥3 cm), N0–2, M0/ddAT ± Tam | Core cut needle or incisional biopsy, and surgical sample | IHC—MIB-1 (Dianova) + automated capillary gap Dako kit, staining with AEC/ND/Semi-quantitative assessment of % of stained cells/3 categories of proliferation activity: low: 0–15%; medium: 16–30%; high: 31–100%/yes | Univariate: PCR: Ki-67 ≤ 15%: 3/42; > 15%: 14/56: 0.32 (0.09–1.15) | Ki-67 was not an independent predictive factor |
No pts Number of patients included in analysis for Ki-67/number of patients in clinical trial (%); BCSS breast cancer-specific survival; CR complete response; CRR clinical response rate; CCR complete clinical response; GCR good clinical response; MFS metastatic-free survival; OS overall survival; PR pathological response; PFS progression-free survival; RFS recurrence-free survival; A doxorubicin; ANA anastrozole; C cyclophosphamide; D docetaxel; ddAT dose dense doxorubicin and docetaxel; E epirubicin; F fuorouracil; G-CSF granulocyte colony-stimulating factor; LET letrozole; M methotrexate; Mi mitomycin C; Mit mitoxantrone; Tam tamoxifen; V vindesine; Vi vincristine; FFPE formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded; TMA tissue microarray
Comparison of the methods used in the meta-analyses published by de Azambuja et al. [27] and Stuart-Harris et al. [100]
| de Azambuja et al. [ | Stuart-Harris et al. [ | |
|---|---|---|
| Publication year | 2007 | 2008 |
| Period for literature search | Up to May 2006 | January 1995–September 2004 |
| Exclusion criteria | Non-English publications | Non-English publications |
| Number of studies identifieda | 46 | 43 |
| Included in DFS analysis | 38 | 20 |
| Included in OS analysis | 35 | 19 |
| Inclusion of studies for meta-analyses | Studies that provided an HR or data that enabled the HR to calculated | Only studies that provided an HR for either OS or DFS, in either univariate or multivariate analysis; if no 95% CI it was calculated |
aSee Fig. 2 for details of common and unique studies
Description of meta-analyses of studies of Ki-67 as a prognostic factor
| Reference | Factors studied | Outcome | Results |
|---|---|---|---|
| Analysis: number of studies (number of patients) | |||
| Search strategy described (yes/no) | |||
| Date range number of studies identified (number of patients) | |||
| de Azambuja et al. [ | Ki-67 | DFS | |
| All studies: 38 studies (10,954 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 1.88 (1.75–2.02) | ||
| Node negative: 15 studies (3,370 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 2.20 (1.88–2.58) | ||
| Node positive: 8 studies (1,430 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 1.59 (1.35–1.87) | ||
| Node negative (untreated): 6 studies (736 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 2.72 (1.97–3.75) | ||
| OS | |||
| All studies: 35 studies (9,472 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 1.89 (1.74–2.06) | ||
| Node negative: 9 studies (1,996 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 2.19 (1.76–2.72) | ||
| Node positive: 4 studies (857 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 2.33 (1.83–2.95) | ||
| Node negative/positive (untreated): 2 studies (238 patients) | Fixed effect HR: 1.79 (1.22–2.63) | ||
| Stuart-Harris et al. [ | Ki-67, mitotic index, PCNA, LI | DFS | |
| Univariate analysis: 15 studies (?) | Unadjusted HR: 2.18 (1.92–2.47) | ||
| Multivariate analysis: 14 studies (?) | Unadjusted HR: 1.84 (1.62–2.10) | ||
| OS | |||
| Univariate analysis: 12 studies (?) | Unadjusted HR: 2.09 (1.74–2.52) | ||
| Multivariate analysis: 13 studies (?) | Unadjusted HR: 1.73 (1.37–2.17) | ||
PCNA Proliferating cell nuclear antigen; LI labelling index
Fig. 2Repartition of the studies included in the meta-analyses published by de Azambuja et al. [27] and Stuart-Harris et al. [100]. The numbers of studies common to both meta-analyses are shown in the overlapping circles and those unique to either one of the meta-analyses are shown in the non-overlapping parts of the circles. DFS Disease-free survival; OS overall survival
Summary of assessment of various markers as prognostic factors for DFS in women with breast cancer
| Referencea | Marker | HR (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart-Harris et al | Ki-67 | 1.76 (1.56–1.98) |
| Rakha et al | SBR grade (3 vs. 1) | 1.6 (1.3–2.0) |
| Look et al | uPA/PAI-1 (pN0) | 2.37 (1.78–3.16) |
| Rakha et al | Node status | 1.5 (1.4–1.7) |
| Wirapati et al | ER (neg. vs. high) | 2.2 (1.6–3.0) |
| Blows et al | HER2 | 1.55 (1.23–1.96) |
SBR Scarf–Bloom–Richardson histological grading system
aNot all patients received systemic adjuvant treatment
Keywords for PubMed search
| Keywords for disease and treatment |
|---|
| (“Breast neoplasms” [all fields]) OR cancer* or carcinoma* or adenocarcinoma* or tumor* or tumour* |
| Chemotherapy, adjuvant |
| Neoadjuvant therapy/methods* |
| Breast cancer proliferation |
| Breast cancer grade |
| Breast adjuvant treatment |
| Chemotherapy response marker |
| Breast chemotherapy response marker |
| Keywords for Ki-67 |
| Ki-67 proliferation |
| Ki-67 breast cancer |
| Ki-67 immunohistochemistry |
| Ki-67 labelling index |
| MIB-1 antibody [substance name] |
| Mitosis/genetics |
| Predictive value of tests [mesh] |
| “Biological markers/analysis” [mesh] |
| Tumour markers, biological/analysis |
| Immunohistochemistry |
| Ki-67 tissue micro array |
| Ki-67 core biopsy |
| Proliferation index |
| Breast proliferation index |
| Ki-67 |
| Keywords for type of study |
| Randomized controlled trial |
| Controlled clinical trial |
| Clinical trial |
| Meta-analysis |
| Practice guideline |
| Prognosis |
| Multivariate analysis |
| Evidence-based medicine |
Data items extracted for each study
| Data item |
|---|
| General information about study and samples: |
| Study name (and bibliographic reference) |
| Study design |
| Treatment |
| Country and period |
| Outcomes |
| Number of patients in trial/number of samples in study (%) |
| Duration of follow-up |
| Tumour characteristics |
| Ki-67 as prognostic factor, predictive factor or both |
| Information about the treatment received |
| Neoadjuvant (details) |
| Adjuvant (details) |
| Both neoadjuvant and adjuvant (details) |
| Information about specimen treatment |
| Type of tissue |
| Pre-analytical conditions (fixation delay, fixation time) (yes/no) |
| Methods of preservation and storage |
| Information about Ki-67 assay |
| Materials and methods for Ki-67 assay |
| Quality control procedures |
| Scoring system used |
| Cut-off value |
| Double reading (yes/no) |
| Results |
| Univariate analyses |
| Multivariate analyses |
| Conclusion |
| REMARK score |
| Score using REMARK tool [ |