| Literature DB >> 21998748 |
Sveinung Wergeland Sørbye1, Marc Arbyn, Silje Fismen, Tore Jarl Gutteberg, Elin Synnøve Mortensen.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: In Norway, women with negative or low-grade cervical biopsies (normal/CIN1) are followed up after six months in order to decide on further follow-up or recall for screening at three-year intervals. A high specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of the triage test is important to avoid unnecessary diagnostic and therapeutic procedures whereas a low risk of high-grade disease among triage negative women assures safety.Entities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21998748 PMCID: PMC3188582 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0026022
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Figure 1Flow chart showing the two study populations.
Total number of women with negative cervical biopsy and later histologically confirmed CIN2+ by cytological result of post-colposcopy cytology.
| Follow-up cytology | Number of women | Number of women with CIN2+ | PPV | 95% CI |
| NIML | 304 | 17 | 5.6 | 3.0, 8.2 |
| ASC-US | 73 | 19 | 26.0 | 16.0, 36.1 |
| LSIL | 66 | 27 | 40.9 | 29.0, 52.8 |
| ASC-H | 44 | 33 | 75.0 | 62.2, 87.8 |
| HSIL | 33 | 28 | 84.4 | 72.6, 97.1 |
| Total | 520 | 124 | 23.8 | 20.1, 27.5 |
PPV = Positive predictive value for CIN2+.
NIML = Negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy.
Outcome for the 328 women in the cytology only group if triaged with post colposcopy cytology when cut-off is ASC-US+.
| Cytological findings | Outcome | % | 95% CI | |||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | Sensitivity | 84.6 | 76.6, 92.6 | |
| ASC-US+ | 66 | 59 | 125 | Specificity | 76.4 | 71.1, 81.7 |
| NILM | 12 | 191 | 203 | PPV | 52.8 | 44.0, 61.6 |
| Total | 78 | 250 | 328 | NPV | 94.1 | 90.8, 97.4 |
Prevalence CIN2+ 23.8% (95% CI: 19.2–28.4).
Chi square = 91.3, p<0.001.
NILM = Negative for intraepithelial lesion or malignancy.
Outcome for the 328 women in the cytology only group if triaged with post-colposcopy cytology when cut-off is ASC-H+.
| Cytological findings | Outcome | % | 95% CI | |||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | Sensitivity | 53.8 | 42.8, 64.9 | |
| ASC-H+ | 42 | 9 | 51 | Specificity | 96.4 | 94.1, 98.7 |
| <ASC-H | 36 | 241 | 277 | PPV | 82.4 | 71.9, 92.8 |
| Total | 78 | 250 | 328 | NPV | 87.0 | 83.0, 91.0 |
Chi square = 114.3, p<0.001.
Outcome for the 192 women in the HPV group if triaged by post-colposcopy HPV mRNA only.
| HPV mRNA result | Outcome | % | 95% CI | |||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | Sensitivity | 89.1 | 80.1, 98.1 | |
| Positive | 41 | 11 | 52 | Specificity | 92.5 | 88.2, 96.7 |
| Negative | 5 | 135 | 140 | PPV | 78.8 | 67.7, 89.9 |
| Total | 46 | 146 | 192 | NPV | 96.4 | 93.3, 99.5 |
Prevalence CIN2+ 24.0% (95% CI: 17.9–30.0).
Chi square = 117.9, p<0.001.
Outcome for the 192 women in the HPV group if triaged by post-colposcopy HPV mRNA combined with cytology when cut-off is ASC-US+.
| Combination result | Outcome | % | 95% CI | |||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | Sensitivity | 97.8 | 93.6, 100.0 | |
| Positive | 45 | 54 | 99 | Specificity | 63.0 | 55.2, 70.4 |
| Negative | 1 | 92 | 93 | PPV | 45.5 | 35.6, 55.3 |
| Total | 46 | 146 | 192 | NPV | 98.9 | 96.8, 100.0 |
Chi square = 50.7, p<0.001.
Outcome for the 192 women in the HPV group if triaged with post-colposcopy HPV mRNA combined with cytology when cut-off is ASC-H+.
| Combination result | Outcome | % | 95% CI | |||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | Sensitivity | 93.5 | 86.3, 100.0 | |
| Positive | 43 | 16 | 59 | Specificity | 89.0 | 84.0, 94.1 |
| Negative | 3 | 130 | 133 | PPV | 72.9 | 61.5, 84.2 |
| Total | 46 | 146 | 192 | NPV | 97.7 | 95.2, 100.0 |
Chi square = 111.9, p<0.001.
Figure 2The detection rate of CIN2+ in follow-up of women with negative cervical biopsy by HPV mRNA positive/negative versus cytology abnormal/normal.
Diagnosis of the first cervical biopsy compared to the most severe histological diagnosis.
| Diagnosis of first biopsy | Most severe histological diagnosis | |||||
| Normal | CIN1 | CIN2 | CIN3 | CxCa | Total | |
| Normal | 212 | 6 | 27 | 40 | 4 | 289 |
| CIN1 | - | 178 | 25 | 25 | 3 | 231 |
| Total | 212 | 184 | 52 | 65 | 7 | 520 |
Of the women with normal biopsy 24.6% (95% CI: 19.6–29.5) had CIN2+ in follow-up.
Of the women with CIN1 biopsy 22.9% (95% CI: 17.5–28.4) had CIN2+ in follow-up.
Outcome for the 97 women under 40 years and the 95 women above 40 years in the HPV group if triaged with post-colposcopy HPV mRNA only.
| HPV mRNA result | Age<40 years | Age>40 years | ||||
| CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | CIN2+ | <CIN2 | Total | |
| Positive | 24 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 22 |
| Negative | 3 | 64 | 67 | 2 | 71 | 73 |
| Total | 27 | 70 | 97 | 19 | 76 | 95 |
Chi square = 58.8, p<0.001.
Chi square = 58.7, p<0.001.