Literature DB >> 21903802

Visualizing uncertainty about the future.

David Spiegelhalter1, Mike Pearson, Ian Short.   

Abstract

We are all faced with uncertainty about the future, but we can get the measure of some uncertainties in terms of probabilities. Probabilities are notoriously difficult to communicate effectively to lay audiences, and in this review we examine current practice for communicating uncertainties visually, using examples drawn from sport, weather, climate, health, economics, and politics. Despite the burgeoning interest in infographics, there is limited experimental evidence on how different types of visualizations are processed and understood, although the effectiveness of some graphics clearly depends on the relative numeracy of an audience. Fortunately, it is increasingly easy to present data in the form of interactive visualizations and in multiple types of representation that can be adjusted to user needs and capabilities. Nonetheless, communicating deeper uncertainties resulting from incomplete or disputed knowledge--or from essential indeterminacy about the future--remains a challenge.

Entities:  

Mesh:

Year:  2011        PMID: 21903802     DOI: 10.1126/science.1191181

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Science        ISSN: 0036-8075            Impact factor:   47.728


  97 in total

Review 1.  Communicating genetic risk information for common disorders in the era of genomic medicine.

Authors:  Denise M Lautenbach; Kurt D Christensen; Jeffrey A Sparks; Robert C Green
Journal:  Annu Rev Genomics Hum Genet       Date:  2013       Impact factor: 8.929

Review 2.  Navigating cognition biases in the search of sustainability.

Authors:  John-Oliver Engler; David J Abson; Henrik von Wehrden
Journal:  Ambio       Date:  2018-09-14       Impact factor: 5.129

Review 3.  Risk as an attribute in discrete choice experiments: a systematic review of the literature.

Authors:  Mark Harrison; Dan Rigby; Caroline Vass; Terry Flynn; Jordan Louviere; Katherine Payne
Journal:  Patient       Date:  2014       Impact factor: 3.883

4.  Educating patients and providers through comprehensive pharmacogenetic test reports.

Authors:  Susanne B Haga
Journal:  Pharmacogenomics       Date:  2017-07-07       Impact factor: 2.533

5.  Climate negotiations under scientific uncertainty.

Authors:  Scott Barrett; Astrid Dannenberg
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2012-10-08       Impact factor: 11.205

Review 6.  Pharmaceutical Benefit-Risk Communication Tools: A Review of the Literature.

Authors:  Dominic Way; Hortense Blazsin; Ragnar Löfstedt; Frederic Bouder
Journal:  Drug Saf       Date:  2017-01       Impact factor: 5.606

7.  A statistical framework for quantification and visualisation of positional uncertainty in deep brain stimulation electrodes.

Authors:  Tushar M Athawale; Kara A Johnson; Christopher R Butson; Chris R Johnson
Journal:  Comput Methods Biomech Biomed Eng Imaging Vis       Date:  2018-10-09

8.  Benefits and harms of aspirin to reduce colorectal cancer risk: a cross-sectional study of methods to communicate risk in primary care.

Authors:  Peter Nguyen; Jennifer McIntosh; Adrian Bickerstaffe; Sanjaya Maddumarachchi; Kara-Lynne Cummings; Jon D Emery
Journal:  Br J Gen Pract       Date:  2019-11-28       Impact factor: 5.386

9.  Communicating Uncertain Science to the Public: How Amount and Source of Uncertainty Impact Fatalism, Backlash, and Overload.

Authors:  Jakob D Jensen; Manusheela Pokharel; Courtney L Scherr; Andy J King; Natasha Brown; Christina Jones
Journal:  Risk Anal       Date:  2016-03-12       Impact factor: 4.000

10.  Bayesian characterization of uncertainty in intra-subject non-rigid registration.

Authors:  Petter Risholm; Firdaus Janoos; Isaiah Norton; Alex J Golby; William M Wells
Journal:  Med Image Anal       Date:  2013-03-14       Impact factor: 8.545

View more

北京卡尤迪生物科技股份有限公司 © 2022-2023.