| Literature DB >> 21886800 |
Mylene Lagarde1, Lucy Smith Paintain, Gifti Antwi, Caroline Jones, Brian Greenwood, Daniel Chandramohan, Harry Tagbor, Jayne Webster.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The currently recommended approach for preventing malaria in pregnancy (MiP), intermittent preventive treatment with sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine (SP-IPT), has been questioned due to the spread of resistance to SP. Whilst trials are underway to test the efficacy of future alternative approaches, it is important to start exploring the feasibility of their implementation. METHODS ANDEntities:
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2011 PMID: 21886800 PMCID: PMC3158799 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0023588
Source DB: PubMed Journal: PLoS One ISSN: 1932-6203 Impact factor: 3.240
Description of attributes and levels, coding and priors on preferences.
| ATTRIBUTE | LEVELS | Regression coding | Expected direction of coefficient |
| The type of approach to managing malaria in pregnancy | • preventive• curative (test and treat if parasite-positive) | • 0• 1 | No prior |
| The anti-malarial drugs you have to prescribe to pregnant women | • SP(Fansidar)• Artesunate-amodiaquine (AS-AQ) | • 0• 1 | Negative (preference for SP over AS-AQ) |
| Prevalence of anaemia for mothers treated with protocol | • 1 out of 100 women• 15 out of 100 women | • 1• 15 | Negative (preference for better maternal outcomes) |
| Prevalence of low birth weight amongst infants of mothers treated with the protocol | • 10 out of 100 babies• 15 out of 100 babies | • 10• 15 | Negative (preference for better health outcomes) |
| Staffing level for the ANC clinic | • Under-staffed• Adequately staffed | • 0• 1 | Negative (preference for better staffing conditions) |
| The salary supplement included in the protocol | • GH. C10• GH. C20 | • 10• 20 | Positive (preference for higher bonus) |
Figure 1Example of a choice scenario.
ANC staff preferences for malaria management characteristics, and impact of age, professional status and experience on those preferences.
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| Constant | 0.055 | 0.055 | 0.318 | 1.056 |
| Curative approach, IST [Preventive Approach, IPT] | 0.487 | 0.151 | 0.001 | 1.628 |
| Drug AS-AQ [SP] | −0.109 | 0.145 | 0.452 | 0.897 |
| Under-staffing [Normal staffing conditions] | 0.066 | 0.163 | 0.685 | 1.068 |
| Low birth weight risk (per % point) | −0.201 | 0.017 | 0.000 | 0.818 |
| Anaemia risk (per % point) | −0.131 | 0.007 | 0.000 | 0.877 |
| Bonus (in GHC) | 0.003 | 0.015 | 0.866 | 1.003 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | −0.434 | 0.169 | 0.010 | 0.648 |
| Midwife [other ANC staff] | −0.442 | 0.178 | 0.013 | 0.643 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | −0.602 | 0.196 | 0.002 | 0.548 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | −0.172 | 0.156 | 0.270 | 0.842 |
| Midwife [other ANC staff] | −0.304 | 0.168 | 0.071 | 0.738 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | −0.062 | 0.183 | 0.737 | 0.940 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | 0.189 | 0.178 | 0.288 | 1.208 |
| Midwife [other ANC staff] | 0.217 | 0.189 | 0.251 | 1.242 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | 0.073 | 0.206 | 0.723 | 1.076 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | 0.028 | 0.017 | 0.105 | 1.028 |
| Midwife [other ANC staff] | 0.041 | 0.018 | 0.026 | 1.041 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | 0.018 | 0.020 | 0.360 | 1.018 |
| Log-likelihood | −1055.83 | |||
| Chi2 | 835.36*** | |||
| % correctly predicted | 76.5% | |||
Note: ***p<0.001, **p<0.01, *p<0.05.
For categorical variables the reference category is indicated in brackets.
Interpretation: a negative coefficient indicates reduced preference for the level provided compared to the level in square brackets (for categorical variables) and a reduced preference for an increase in the variable (for quantitative variables).
Predicted preferences for changes to elements of the current guidelines that recommend SP-IPT for management of malaria in pregnancy.
| Scenario | Policy 1 | % preferring policy 1 | Policy 2 | % preferring policy 2 |
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| Current situation | 53.8 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) | 46.2 |
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| Current situation | 40.3 | Policy 1 but curative approach | 59.7 |
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| Current situation | 42.7 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach | 57.3 |
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| Current situation | 41.3 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach with higher workload | 58.7 |
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| Current situation | 40.7 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach with higher workload and small bonus (GHC10) | 59.3 |
Under the current situation, the guidelines for treatment are: preventive approach, use of SP, normal workload, no bonus. This has been shown to lead to the following health outcomes: 10% incidence of low birth weight and 1% incidence of severe anaemia.
Predicted preferences for changes to elements of the current guidelines, in the event that resistance to SP leads to worse health outcomes.
| Scenario | Policy 1 | % preferring policy 1 | Policy 2: new guidelines (and good health outcomes | % preferring policy 2 |
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| Current guidelines with strong resistance to SP | 7.5 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and good health outcomes | 92.5 |
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| Current guidelines with strong resistance to SP | 4.8 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach | 95.2 |
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| Current guidelines with strong resistance to SP | 4.5 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach with higher workload | 95.5 |
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| Current guidelines with strong resistance to SP | 4.4 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach with higher workload and small bonus (GHC10) | 95.6 |
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| Current guidelines with mild resistance to SP | 29.3 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and good health outcomes | 70.7 |
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| Current guidelines with mild resistance to SP | 20.8 | Policy 1 but different drug (AS-AQ) and curative approach | 79.2 |
Under this scenario, the clinical guidelines for treatment remain the same as currently defined, but resistance to SP would lead to worse health outcomes: 15% incidence of low birth weight and 15% incidence of severe anaemia.
Under this scenario, the clinical guidelines for treatment remain the same as currently defined, but resistance to SP would lead to worse health outcomes: 13% incidence of low birth weight and 5% incidence of severe anaemia.
Under all scenarios of policy 2, the health outcomes are 10% incidence of low birth weight and 1% incidence of severe anaemia.
Midwives' and other cadres' preferences for malaria management characteristics, and impact of age and experience on those preferences.
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| Constant | −0.007 | 0.082 | 0.928 | 0.993 | 0.102 | 0.074 | 0.169 | 1.107 |
| Curative approach, IST [Preventive Approach, IPT] | 0.016 | 0.150 | 0.913 | 1.017 | 0.494 | 0.163 | 0.002 | 1.639 |
| Drug AS-AQ [SP] | −0.498 | 0.138 | 0.000 | 0.608 | −0.065 | 0.160 | 0.687 | 0.937 |
| Under-staffing [Normal staffing conditions] | 0.369 | 0.158 | 0.020 | 1.447 | 0.021 | 0.177 | 0.905 | 1.021 |
| Low birth weight risk (per % point) | −0.218 | 0.025 | 0.000 | 0.804 | −0.187 | 0.023 | 0.000 | 0.830 |
| Anaemia risk (per % point) | −0.140 | 0.010 | 0.000 | 0.869 | −0.124 | 0.009 | 0.000 | 0.883 |
| Bonus (in GHC) | 0.049 | 0.015 | 0.001 | 1.051 | −0.002 | 0.017 | 0.899 | 0.998 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | −0.393 | 0.253 | 0.121 | 0.675 | −0.476 | 0.228 | 0.037 | 0.621 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | −0.504 | 0.409 | 0.218 | 0.604 | −0.601 | 0.222 | 0.007 | 0.548 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | 0.018 | 0.228 | 0.936 | 1.018 | −0.349 | 0.215 | 0.104 | 0.705 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | −0.197 | 0.360 | 0.584 | 0.821 | 0.008 | 0.213 | 0.972 | 1.008 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | −0.017 | 0.265 | 0.949 | 0.983 | 0.388 | 0.243 | 0.110 | 1.474 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | −0.016 | 0.415 | 0.969 | 0.984 | 0.049 | 0.237 | 0.837 | 1.050 |
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| Time in ANC (in years) | 0.020 | 0.026 | 0.448 | 1.020 | 0.037 | 0.024 | 0.123 | 1.037 |
| Aged less than 40 y [aged 40 y or more] | 0.001 | 0.040 | 0.987 | 1.001 | 0.022 | 0.023 | 0.338 | 1.022 |
| Log-likelihood | −482.76 | −569.46 | ||||||
| Chi2 | 453.37*** | 388.89*** | ||||||
| % correctly predicted | 79.0% | 75.5% | ||||||
Note: ***p<0.001, **p<0.01, *p<0.05.
For categorical variables the reference category is indicated in brackets.
Interpretation: a negative coefficient indicates reduced preference for the level provided compared to the level in square brackets (for categorical variables) and a reduced preference for an increase in the variable (for quantitative variables).
Figure 2Comparison of potential resistance to changes in clinical guidelines from midwives and other ANC staff, under different changes to elements of the current guidelines.