| Literature DB >> 20969800 |
Grant A Mackenzie1, Amanda J Leach, Jonathan R Carapetis, Janelle Fisher, Peter S Morris.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To determine the prevalence of carriage of respiratory bacterial pathogens, and the risk factors for and serotype distribution of pneumococcal carriage in an Australian Aboriginal population.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2010 PMID: 20969800 PMCID: PMC2974682 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-10-304
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Infect Dis ISSN: 1471-2334 Impact factor: 3.090
Figure 1Enrolment and follow-up profile. Note: Number of eligible adults (324) and children (218) is not equal to the total number of eligible participants (538) as four participants were categorized as children in 2002 and then categorized as adults in 2004.
Prevalence of H. influenzae, M. catarrhalis and S. pneumoniae carriage by age group (aggregate data from 2002 and 2004)
| Age group | *Odds ratio | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adults | ||||
| 16-24 | 26/133 (19.6) | 14/133 (10.5) | 23/133 (17.3) | 1 |
| 25-34 | 35/135 (25.9) | 29/135 (21.5) | 30/135 (22.2) | 1.37 (0.68-2.74) |
| 35-44 | 23/120 (19.2) | 21/120 (17.5) | 37/120 (30.8) | 2.13 (1.09-4.15) |
| 45-54 | 22/95 (23) | 15/95 (16) | 29/95 (31) | 2.10 (1.04-4.26) |
| ≥55 | 17/55 (31) | 13/55 (24) | 21/55 (38) | 2.95 (1.30-6.69) |
| Total | 123/538 (22.9) | 92/538 (17.1) | 140/538 (26.0) | |
| Children | ||||
| 2-4 | 70/102 (68.6) | 91/102 (89.2) | 84/102 (82.4) | 1 |
| 5-8 | 84/132 (63.6) | 104/132 (78.8) | 96/132 (72.7) | 0.57 (0.29-1.11) |
| 9-12 | 37/93 (40) | 53/93 (57) | 48/93 (52) | 0.23 (0.12-0.45) |
| 13-15 | 10/23 (44) | 10/23 (43) | 7/23 (30) | 0.09 (0.03-0.27) |
| Total | 201/350 (57.4) | 258/350 (73.7) | 235/350 (67.1) | |
* Odds ratios and confidence intervals calculated using logistic regression and adjusted for repeated measures on an individual. Score tests for trends of odds across adult and child age groups: H. influenzae - Adults, p = 0.28; Children, p = 0.0001. M. catarrhalis - Adults, p = 0.12; Children, p < 0.0001. S. pneumoniae - Adults, p = 0.0005; Children, p < 0.0001.
Figure 2Carriage of .
Adults and children, univariate associations between explanatory variables and pneumococcal carriage (aggregate data for 2002 and 2004)
| Variable | Adults | Children | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Positive carriage (%) | Odds ratio | p-value | Positive carriage (%) | Odds ratio | p-value | |||
| Sex | Female | 72/324 (22) | 1 | n/a | n/a | |||
| Male | 68/214 (32) | 1.63 (1.04-2.56) | 0.03 | |||||
| Chest infection in the previous month | No | 67/329 (20) | 1 | n/a | n/a | |||
| Yes | 70/200 (35) | 2.11 (1.40-3.18) | < 0.01 | |||||
| Runny nose in the previous week | No | 60/306 (20) | 1 | 76/142 (54) | 1 | |||
| Yes | 71/214 (33) | 2.04 (1.37-3.02) | < 0.01 | 147/187 (79) | 3.19 (1.97-5.17) | < 0.01 | ||
| Number household occupants | 0 | 92/306 (30) | 1 | 59/103 (57) | 1 | |||
| 1-2 | 37/187 (20) | 0.57 (0.37-0.89) | 0.01 | 136/191 (71) | 1.84 (1.10-3.08) | 0.02 | ||
| < 5 years | ≥3 | 10/39 (26) | 0.80 (0.36-1.77) | 0.58 | 38/49 (78) | 2.58 (1.14-5.83) | 0.02 | |
| Number bedroom occupants | 0 | n/a | n/a | 142/224 (63) | 1 | |||
| 1 | 27/40 (68) | 1.35 (0.63-2.90) | 0.44 | |||||
| < 5 years | ≥2 | 67/86 (78) | 2.12 (1.18-3.81) | 0.01 | ||||
| Sits at an outside fire | n/a | n/a | ||||||
| Never/monthly | 35/172 (20) | 1 | ||||||
| Most days | 96/347 (28) | 1.50 (0.99-2.26) | 0.05 | |||||
| Every day | 7/11 (64) | 6.9 (1.9-24.5) | < 0.01 | |||||
| Daytime location | n/a | n/a | School | 167/263 (64) | 1 | |||
| Creche | 14/14 (100) | n/a | ||||||
| Home | 22/31 (71) | 1.41 (0.64-3.07) | 0.39 | |||||
| With carer | 32/36 (89) | 4.60 (1.60-13.2) | < 0.01 | |||||
| Closest personal contact | ||||||||
| Adult | 118/403 (29) | 1 | School | 170/268 (63) | 1 | |||
| School child | 4/25 (16) | 0.46 (0.15-1.41) | 0.18 | Creche | 20/22 (91) | 5.76 (1.29-25.8) | 0.02 | |
| Creche child | 3/14 (21) | 0.66 (0.17-2.50) | 0.54 | Mother | 43/50 (86) | 3.54 (1.55-8.1) | < 0.01 | |
| Young child | 14/88 (16) | 0.46 (0.23-0.90) | 0.02 | |||||
| No | 68/415 (16) | 1 | 57/149 (38) | 1 | ||||
| Yes | 72/123 (59) | 7.20 (4.59-11.3) | < 0.01 | 178/201 (89) | 12.49 (6.96-22.4) | < 0.01 | ||
| No | 94/446 (21) | 1 | 35/92 (38) | 1 | ||||
| Yes | 46/92 (52) | 3.74 (2.36-5.95) | < 0.01 | 200/258 (78) | 5.62 (3.21-9.81) | < 0.01 | ||
Note: Odds ratios and confidence intervals calculated by logistic regression and adjusted for repeated measures. n/a, not applicable. Adult risk factors excluded from aggregation of 2002 and 2004 data: antibiotic prescription in the previous month, number of bedroom occupants, diagnosis of rheumatic heart disease or chronic lung disease (data not shown), current smoker, fire outside the house, 23PPV in the previous 2 years, number of bedroom occupants < 5 years of age, bedroom occupant includes a child, employed, record of proteinuria or diabetes, influenza vaccination in the previous 2 years, record of excessive alcohol use. Risk factors included in aggregate data: sex, chest infection in the previous month, runny nose in the previous week, number of household occupants < 5 years of age, closest personal contact (young child versus adult), and concurrent carriage of H. influenzae or M. catarrhalis. Frequency sitting at an outside fire was included in aggregate data as p = 0.003 for one category in 2002 but no observations in that category in 2004. Among children, risk factors excluded from aggregation: antibiotic prescription in the previous month, fire outside the house, number of household occupants, number of bedroom occupants, and bedroom occupant includes an adult. Risk factors included in aggregate data: runny nose in the previous week, number of household occupants < 5 years of age, number of bedroom occupants < 5 years of age, daytime location, closest personal contact (mother versus school children), and concurrent carriage of H. influenzae or M. catarrhalis.
Multivariate model of risk factors for pneumococcal carriage among adults and children
| Risk factor | Adults | Children | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Category | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | Category | Odds Ratio (95% CI) | |
| Age group | 16-24 yrs | 1 | 2-4 yrs | 1 |
| 25-34 yrs | 1.13 (0.52-2.49) | 5-8 yrs | 0.65 (0.28-1.54) | |
| 35-44 yrs | 2.04 (0.92-4.54) | 9-12 yrs | 0.43 (0.17-1.08) | |
| 45-54 yrs | 1.90 (0.83-4.34) | 13-15 yrs | 0.13 (0.03-0.56) | |
| ≥55 yrs | 2.19 (0.88-5.50) | |||
| Sex | Female | 1 | n/a | |
| Male | 2.21 (1.31-3.73) | |||
| Chest infection in previous month | No | 1 | n/a | |
| Yes | 1.62 (0.98-2.67) | |||
| Runny nose in previous week | No | 1 | No | 1 |
| Yes | 1.66 (1.05-2.64) | Yes | 1.80 (0.98-3.29) | |
| Frequency sitting at an outside fire | Never/monthly | 1 | n/a | |
| Most days/weekly | 1.23 (0.74-2.05) | |||
| Every day | 6.89 (1.87-25.4) | |||
| No | 1 | No | 1 | |
| Yes | 6.74 (4.06-11.2) | Yes | 9.34 (4.71-18.5) | |
| No | 1 | No | 1 | |
| Yes | 3.27 (1.97-5.45) | Yes | 2.67 (1.34-5.33) | |
Note: Odds ratios and confidence intervals calculated by logistic regression adjusting for repeated measures on an individual.
Figure 3Pneumococcal carriage serotype distributions in the two surveys combined: A) Adults, B) Age < 15 years, and C) Age < 5 years.