BACKGROUND: Despite the low cancer incidence in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), the country must be ready to face the challenge of foreseeable increase in cancer burden attributed to growth and aging of population. This work was designed to study female breast cancer as a model to assess future cancer burden and the impact on healthcare resources. METHODS: Cancer statistics for the KSA were compared with that for the USA. The Joinpoint regression program was used to identify changes in secular trends, while the GLOBOCAN 2002 software projected future incidence and mortality. RESULTS: In the KSA, the age-standardized cancer rate (ASR) is 61 per 100,000 population, while the median age at diagnosis is 54 and 49 years for men and women, respectively. Fitting the ASR for breast cancer did not show any significant trend over a 10-year calendar period (16.2-18.2 per 100,000), a pattern that was similar to that for the USA in the prescreening mammography era. Considering the growth and aging of population and using conservative estimates for the annual percent change in incidence (increase) and mortality (decrease) by 2025, incidence and mortality cases are expected to increase by about 350% and 160%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In developing countries, future cancer rates could demonstrate a considerable increase and enormous demands on healthcare resources. The present work may provide an impetus to study other prevalent cancer types particularly in developing countries.
BACKGROUND: Despite the low cancer incidence in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA), the country must be ready to face the challenge of foreseeable increase in cancer burden attributed to growth and aging of population. This work was designed to study female breast cancer as a model to assess future cancer burden and the impact on healthcare resources. METHODS:Cancer statistics for the KSA were compared with that for the USA. The Joinpoint regression program was used to identify changes in secular trends, while the GLOBOCAN 2002 software projected future incidence and mortality. RESULTS: In the KSA, the age-standardized cancer rate (ASR) is 61 per 100,000 population, while the median age at diagnosis is 54 and 49 years for men and women, respectively. Fitting the ASR for breast cancer did not show any significant trend over a 10-year calendar period (16.2-18.2 per 100,000), a pattern that was similar to that for the USA in the prescreening mammography era. Considering the growth and aging of population and using conservative estimates for the annual percent change in incidence (increase) and mortality (decrease) by 2025, incidence and mortality cases are expected to increase by about 350% and 160%, respectively. CONCLUSION: In developing countries, future cancer rates could demonstrate a considerable increase and enormous demands on healthcare resources. The present work may provide an impetus to study other prevalent cancer types particularly in developing countries.
Authors: Safar M Alshahrani; Khalid A Fayi; Saeed H Alshahrani; Dhafer S Alahmari; Khaled M Al Bejadi; Dhafer M Alahmari; Talal M Alshahrani; Motaz N Alsharif Journal: Indian J Surg Oncol Date: 2019-03-15
Authors: Ahmed A Mahfouz; Mervat H A Hassanein; Shamsun Nahar; Aesha Farheen; Inasse I Gaballah; Amani Mohamed; Faten M Rabie; Razia Aftab Journal: J Cancer Educ Date: 2013-09 Impact factor: 2.037
Authors: Omalkhair A Abulkhair; Fatina M Al Tahan; Susan E Young; Salma Ma Musaad; Abdul-Rahman M Jazieh Journal: Ann Saudi Med Date: 2010 Sep-Oct Impact factor: 1.526
Authors: Charbel El Bcheraoui; Mohammed Basulaiman; Shelley Wilson; Farah Daoud; Marwa Tuffaha; Mohammad A AlMazroa; Ziad A Memish; Mohammed Al Saeedi; Ali H Mokdad Journal: PLoS One Date: 2015-03-16 Impact factor: 3.240
Authors: S B Abdel-Aziz; T Tawfik Amin; M Baqir Al-Gadeeb; A I Alhassar; A Al-Ramadan; M Al-Helal; M Bu-Mejdad; L Abdulaziz Al-Hamad; E Hussain Alkhalaf Journal: J Prev Med Hyg Date: 2018-03-30