| Literature DB >> 18219370 |
Anders Kallner1, Peter A Ayling, Zahra Khatami.
Abstract
The use of MDRD-eGFR to diagnose Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) is based on the assumption that the algorithm will minimize the influence of age, gender and ethnicity that is observed in S-Creatinine concentration and thus allow a single cut-off at which further diagnostic and therapeutic actions should be considered. This hypothesis is tested in a retrospective analysis of outpatients (N=93,404) and hospitalised (N=35,572) patients in UK and Sweden, respectively. An algorithm based on the same model as the MDRD-eGFR algorithm was derived from simultaneously measured S-Creatinine concentrations and Iohexol GFR in a subset of 565 patients. The combined uncertainty of using this algorithm was estimated to about 15 % which is about three times that of the S-Creatinine concentration results. The diagnostic performance of S-Creatinine concentration was evaluated using the Iohexol clearance as the reference procedure. It was shown that the diagnostic capacity of MDRD-eGFR, as it stands, has no added value compared to S-Creatinine. The gender and age differences of the S-Creatinine concentrations in the dataset persist after applying the MDRD-eGFR algorithm. Thus, a general use of the MDRD-eGFR does not seem justified. Furthermore the claim that the eGFR is adjusted for body area is misleading; the algorithm does not include any body size marker. It is thus a dangerous marker for guiding drug administration.Entities:
Keywords: CKD; Diagnosis; algorithm; inpatients; outpatients
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2008 PMID: 18219370 PMCID: PMC2204044 DOI: 10.7150/ijms.5.9
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Int J Med Sci ISSN: 1449-1907 Impact factor: 3.738
Partitioning of data. Group concentrations and e-GFR values are given as medians and the 25 – 75 percentile interval.
| Age group | Number | Crea conc | Interval | Abs Diff | Rel conc | MDRD-eGFR | Interval | Abs Diff | Rel value | Num ber | Crea conc | Interval | Abs Diff | Rel conc | MDRD-eGFR | Interval | Abs Diff | Rel value | Iohexol Number | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Females SE | 20-29 | 485 | 76 | 72-82 | 100 | 87 | 79-91 | 110 | Females UK | 3087 | 78 | 74-84 | 100 | 83 | 76-89 | 155 | 13 | ||||
| 30-39 | 830 | 77 | 72-84 | 1 | 101 | 79 | 71-85 | -8 | 107 | 4814 | 78 | 74-84 | 0 | 93 | 77 | 71-82 | -6 | 144 | 20 | ||
| 40-49 | 956 | 78 | 73-87 | 2 | 103 | 74 | 65-79 | -5 | 106 | 7340 | 79 | 75-85 | 1 | 94 | 72 | 67-78 | -5 | 135 | 23 | ||
| 50-59 | 1763 | 78 | 73-88 | 0 | 103 | 70 | 61-76 | -4 | 106 | 8972 | 81 | 76-87 | 2 | 96 | 68 | 62-73 | -5 | 127 | 57 | ||
| 60-69 | 2436 | 80 | 74-93 | 2 | 105 | 66 | 56-73 | -4 | 112 | 9541 | 83 | 77-91 | 2 | 99 | 63 | 57-69 | -4 | 119 | 43 | ||
| 70-79 | 2991 | 86 | 76-104 | 6 | 113 | 59 | 48-68 | -7 | 107 | 9930 | 87 | 79-97 | 4 | 104 | 59 | 52-65 | -5 | 109 | 47 | ||
| 80-89 | 3698 | 90 | 79-111 | 4 | 118 | 55 | 43-64 | -4 | 100 | 5495 | 92 | 82-106 | 5 | 110 | 54 | 46-61 | -5 | 100 | 34 | ||
| 90- | 966 | 98 | 83-123 | 8 | 129 | 49 | 37-59 | -6 | 86 | 5 | |||||||||||
| 14125 | 49179 | 322 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Males SE | 20-29 | 908 | 83 | 76-91 | 100 | 103 | 93-115 | 107 | Males UK | 1902 | 93 | 87-100 | 100 | 91 | 83-99 | 154 | 20 | ||||
| 30-39 | 1447 | 84 | 77-93 | 1 | 101 | 96 | 88-106 | -7 | 107 | 4127 | 94 | 88-102 | 1 | 101 | 84 | 77-91 | -7 | 142 | 25 | ||
| 40-49 | 2075 | 85 | 78-94 | 1 | 102 | 90 | 80-100 | -6 | 105 | 7444 | 95 | 88-103 | 1 | 102 | 79 | 72-86 | -5 | 134 | 31 | ||
| 50-59 | 3417 | 86 | 78-97 | 1 | 104 | 86 | 74-95 | -4 | 108 | 9852 | 96 | 88-104 | 1 | 103 | 75 | 68-82 | -4 | 127 | 62 | ||
| 60-69 | 5171 | 88 | 79-102 | 2 | 106 | 80 | 68-91 | -6 | 113 | 9649 | 98 | 90-108 | 2 | 105 | 71 | 63-78 | -4 | 119 | 72 | ||
| 70-79 | 4541 | 96 | 83-118 | 8 | 116 | 71 | 56-84 | -9 | 113 | 8093 | 104 | 94-116 | 6 | 112 | 65 | 57-73 | -6 | 109 | 80 | ||
| 80-89 | 3588 | 104 | 88-130 | 8 | 125 | 63 | 48-76 | -8 | 100 | 3294 | 110 | 97-126 | 6 | 118 | 59 | 50-69 | -6 | 100 | 27 | ||
| 90- | 501 | 114 | 91-143 | 10 | 137 | 56 | 43-72 | -7 | 89 | 5 | |||||||||||
| 21648 | 44361 | 242 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total | 35773 | 93540 | 564 |
Figure 1The age-dependent changes of S-Creatinine and MDRD-eGFR for females and males in the Swedish and United Kingdom cohorts. Triangles represent females, diamonds males.
Specifications of the cohorts used to derive the eGFR II algorithm. Pt-Iohexol in mL/(min x 1.73 m2)
| Men | Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Number | 323 | 242 |
| Age median | 63 | 62 |
| 25% percentile | 50,8 | 52 |
| 75% percentile | 73 | 75, |
| Pt Iohexol median | 63 | 52 |
| 25% percentile | 48 | 36 |
| 75% percentile | 78 | 71 |
| Pt Iohexol Max | 136 | 120 |
| Pt-Iohexol Min | 16 | 15 |
Constants and exponents obtained by non-linear fitting of S-Creatinine results to Pt-Iohexol as the dependent variable. Row 1 summarizes the original MDRD algorithm, rows 2 and 3 those obtained in the SE study, row 4 when the expression in row 2 is adjusted to that in row 3 by introducing an 'if female' factor and row 5 the algorithm obtained considering both men and women.
| N | Constant (Mass units) | SEM | Exp crea | SEM | Exp age | SEM | 'If female' | SEM | R2 Adj | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MDRD-eGFR | 1628 | 186 | --- | -1,154 | --- | -0,203 | --- | 0,742 | --- | --- |
| 2 | Women | 242 | 297 | 53 | -0.918 | 0.068 | -0.382 | 0.045 | 0.617 | ||
| 3 | Men | 323 | 311 | 31 | -0.852 | 0.043 | -0.344 | 0.026 | 0.707 | ||
| 4 | Women | 242 | 311 | -0.852 | -0.344 | 0.821 | 0.012 | 0.617 | |||
| 5 | All | 565 | 321 | 33 | -0.813 | 0.040 | -0.375 | 0.026 | 0.608 |
Medians of eGFR II and difference to the corresponding MDRD-eGFR values (Table 1). Medians and differences are expressed in mL/(min x 1.73 m2). Non-significant differences in bold.
| Age-group | Males | Females | Males | Females | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE | Median | Difference | Median | Difference | UK | Median | Difference | Median | Difference |
| 21-30 | 95.9 | 9.2 | 108.4 | 4.1 | 94.2 | 11.0 | 98.0 | 6.9 | |
| 31-40 | 85.1 | 5.8 | 95.4 | -0.2 | 83.5 | 6.4 | 86.8 | 3.0 | |
| 41-50 | 76.8 | 2.8 | 86.8 | -3.1 | 75.9 | 3.5 | 78.9 | -0.10 | |
| 51-60 | 71.2 | 0.8 | 80.3 | -5.4 | 69.3 | 1.6 | 73.0 | -1.9 | |
| 61-70 | 66.0 | -0.4 | 74.6 | -5.8 | 64.1 | 0.7 | 67.7 | -2.9 | |
| 71-80 | 59.3 | 65.8 | -4.9 | 58.7 | 61.9 | -2.8 | |||
| 81+ | 54.4 | 58.8 | -3.7 | 53.7 | 56.5 | -2.6 | |||
| 90+ | 48.9 | 52.7 | -2.6 | ||||||
Figure 2From top to bottom the inverse S-Creatinine (10000/S-Creatinine, filled triangles), Pt-Iohexol (filled diamonds, solid line) and eGFR II (filled squares) of the SE Iohexol data set (women in the right panel).
Figure 3Partial ROC curves. The left panel is based on 342 men, the right on 242 women. Squares refer to S-Creatinine and diamonds to eGFR II. Open symbols refer to the predetermined reference limits and cut-offs.
Figure 4Relation between MDRD-eGFR (mL/(min x 1.73 m2)) and S-Creatinine (µmol/L). Curves represent (from upper) ages 20, 50 and 80 years. Females to the left. Vertical dashed lines are suggested creatinine cut-offs. The shaded area represents the uncertainty of the MDRD-eGFR based on the present study.