| Literature DB >> 17592639 |
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Activated drotrecogin alfa (human activated protein C, rhAPC), is produced by recombinant DNA technology, and purports to improve clinical outcomes by counteracting the inflammatory and thrombotic consequences of severe sepsis. Controversy exists around the clinical benefits of this drug and an updated economic study that considers this variability is needed.Entities:
Year: 2007 PMID: 17592639 PMCID: PMC1929064 DOI: 10.1186/1471-2253-7-5
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMC Anesthesiol ISSN: 1471-2253 Impact factor: 2.217
Figure 1Simplified decision analytic model employed. *The individual survival probabilities between 28 days and 30 months were included in the model but are not shown in this figure. A similar tree was used in the bleeding and non-bleeding arms, and for the drotrecogin alfa and placebo arms (not shown). After the 30 months a Markov model was employed (determined by the node M).
Parameters used in our decision analytic models.
| Parameter | Base case | Source | Univariate Sensitivity analyses |
|---|---|---|---|
| Life-years gained | Based on long-term survival | Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) | |
| All patients | - | - | |
| 60 years | PROWESS [13] and ADDRESS [14] | - | |
| Males: 20 years | Statistics Canada Life-tables[59] | - | |
| 20 years | Statistics Canada Life-tables [59] | 30 months to 30 years | |
| 3% | - | 0, 5% | |
| Public health care provider | - | - | |
| Short-term (28-days) | PROWESS [13] and ADDRESS [14] RCTs | Probabilistic sensitivity analysis using a beta distribution defined by the point estimate and variance from RCTs for each group. | |
| Mid-term (hospital discharge – 30 months) | Long-term PROWESS [8] RCT | ||
| Long-term beyond 30 months | Observational study in severe sepsis patients [40] and Canadian life table (2000–2002) [59] adjusted for a higher mortality in severe sepsis patients* | ||
| 28-day bleeding rates | PROWESS [13] and ADDRESS [14] | - | |
| Drug acquisition | Pharmacy department MUHC | - | |
| Hospitalization for the sepsis episode | Canadian long-term observational study in severe sepsis patients [40] | ||
| Treatment complications Years 1–3 follow-up healthcare treatment costs |
* The lifetime annual survival rates in the general population were adjusted for a higher severity in severe sepsis patients according to the absolute difference in mortality between the age-specific survival in the general population (1.1% for a 63-year old) [59] and that of a 3-year Canadian long-term observation study in severe sepsis patients (4.2% and 6.2% in all patients and those with APACHE II ≥ 25 respectively at 3 years, mean age at cohort entry: 61.1 years [40]).
** Costs associated with the severe sepsis episode incurred after three years were not available and were considered identical for the two groups.
Our cost analysis included direct costs such as hospitalization, emergency room visits, day-surgery, and physician charges [40].
Characteristics of available adult RCTs
| Inclusion criteria summary | Severe sepsis ≥ 1 organ dysfunction* | Severe sepsis ≥ 1 organ dysfunction* and low risk of death | ||
| Therapy initiation | within 48 hours of first organ dysfunction | Within 48 hours of first organ dysfunction | ||
| Active treatment | 96 hour intravenous infusion of drotrecogin alfa (24 μg/kg/hr) | 96 hour intravenous infusion of drotrecogin alfa (24 μg/kg/hr) | ||
| Placebo | 96-hour intravenous infusion (0.9% NaCl) | 96-hour intravenous infusion (0.9% NaCl) | ||
| Baseline characteristics | Drotrecogin alfa | Placebo | Drotrecogin alfa | Placebo |
| N | N = 850 | N = 840 | N = 1333 | N = 1307 |
| Age, mean ± SD (years) | 60.5 ± 17.2 | 60.6 ± 16.5 | 58.8 ± 16.8 | 58.6 ± 16.7 |
| Male (%) | 56.1% | 58% | 56.3% | 58.5% |
| APACHE II score, mean ± SD | 24.6 ± 7.6 | 25 ± 7.8 | 18.2 ± 5.8 | 18.2 ± 5.9 |
| Mechanical ventilation (%) | 73.3% | 77.6% | 56.3% | 55.8% |
| Shock (%) | 70.4% | 71.7% | NA | NA |
| Use of any vasopressor (%) | 71.8% | 75.5% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| ≥ 2 organ dysfunctions (%) | 74.6% | 75.8% | 34.5% | 31.5% |
| Time from 1st organ dysfunction to study drug start (hours), mean ± SD | 17.5 ± 12.8 | 17.4 ± 9.1 | 22.5 ± 13.6 | 22.6 ± 13.8 |
* Cardiovascular, renal, respiratory, hematologic, or unexplained metabolic acidosis
RCT = randomized controlled trial/SD = standard deviation
Figure 228-day mortality meta-analysis. Some of the numbers in the graph are approximations as they were derived from figures in the published studies.
Figure 3In-Hospital mortality meta-analysis. Some of the numbers in the graph are approximations as they were derived from figures in the published studies.
Summary of the economic studies identified in the literature (values in US$). Results in all patients and by severity subgroups when available, drotrecogin alfa compared to placebo
| Manns et al. [40] | - | 0.38 LYG | $ 27,936/LYG | $ 19,726/LYG (APACHE II ≥ 25) |
| Neilson et al [39] | $10,533 (all patients) | 0.47 LYG | US$ 22,411/LYG (3% discounting) | $ 17,419/LYG (≥ 2 organ dysfunctions) |
| Angus et al. [41] | $16,000 (±4,200) (all patients) | 0.48 LYG (SD 0.29) (all patients) | $ 33,300/LYG | - |
| Betancourt et al [38] | $6,246 (all patients) | 0.06 lives saved** | $ 104,100/life saved** | $78,075/life saved (≥ 2 organ dysfunctions)** |
| Fowler et al. [34] | $10,745 (all patients) | 0.68 LYG | $ 15,801/LYG | $ 10,833/LYG (APACHE ≥ 25) |
| Riou França et al. [35] | $7,545 (all patients) | 0.64 LYG (all patients) | $ 11,812/LYG | $12,942/LYG (2 organ dysfunctions) |
| Hjelmgren et al [36] | $12,272 (all patients) | 0.544 LYG | US$ 22,920/LYG | $ 30,853/LYG (≥ 2 organ dysfunctions) |
| Davies et al. [37] | $9,517 | 1.12 LYG | US$ 8,533/LYG | - |
| Green et al. [42] | $11,645 (SD $1,098) (all patients) | 1.144 LYG (SD 0.34) | $ 10,176/LYG | $ 9,132/LYG (≥ 2 organ dysfunctions) |
LYG = life-year gained/SD = standard deviation/TA = technology assessment
*Results comparing drotrecogin alfa to placebo
** $/LYG not available.
Cumulative survival parameter estimates with all patients with severe sepsis
| Drotrecogin alfa | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 28-day | 75.3% [13] | 81.5% [14] | 79.4% (± 1.06) |
| Hospital discharge | 70.3% [8] | 79.4% [14] | 76.4% (± 1.11) |
| 3-month | 66.1% [8] | NA | 66.1% (± 1.86) |
| 6-month | 62.2% [8] | NA | 62.2% (± 1.97) |
| 12-month | 58.9% [8] | NA | 58.9% (± 2.05) |
| 30-month | 52.6% [8] | NA | 52.6%(± 2.10) |
| 28-day | 69.2% [13] | 83% [14] | 78.8% (± 1.04) |
| Hospital discharge | 65.1% [8] | 79.5% [14] | 74.95% (± 1.12) |
| 3-month | 62.4% [8] | NA | 62.4% (± 1.93) |
| 6-month | 60.3% [8] | NA | 60.3% (± 1.98) |
| 12-month | 57.2% [8] | NA | 57.2% (± 2.06) |
| 30-month | 49.3% [8] | NA | 49.3% (± 2.10) |
CI = confidence interval/NA = not available/SA = sensitivity analysis/SD = standard deviation
Cumulative survival parameter estimates in patients with APACHE II >= 25
| Drotrecogin alfa | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 28-day | 69.1% [2] | 70.5%[14] | 69.45% (± 3.55) |
| 3-month | 58.9% [8] | NA | 58.9% (± 2.42) |
| 6-month | 55.2% [8] | NA | 55.2% (± 2.44) |
| 12-month | 52.1% [8] | NA | 52.1% (± 2.46) |
| 30-month | 45.6% [8] | NA | 45.6% (± 2.45) |
| 28-day | 56.3% [2] | 75.3% [14] | 62.93% (± 3.40) |
| 3-month | 48.4% [8] | NA | 48.4% (± 2.49) |
| 6-month | 45.3% [8] | NA | 45.3% (± 2.48) |
| 12-month | 41.3% [8] | NA | 41.3% (± 2.45) |
| 30-month | 33.8% [8] | NA | 33.8% (± 2.36) |
CI = confidence interval/NA = not available/SA = sensitivity analysis/SD = standard deviation
* Calculated according to the information provided in the studies.
Cost estimates used in the decision analytic models. Costs in US dollars.
| Costs | Model with all patients | Model in patients with APACHE II score >= 25 | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drug costs * (drotrecogin alfa) | $9,700 | $9,700 | MUHC (Pharmacy department) |
| Bleeding episode costs | $12,090 | $12,090 | Manns et al [40] |
| Hospitalization costs (severe sepsis episode) | $47,960 | $51,095 | Manns et al. [40] |
| 1-year costs (after hospital discharge)** | $20,641 | $29,879 | Manns et al. [40] |
| Year 2 costs** | $6,641 | $8,083 | Manns et al. [40] |
| Year 3 costs** | $6,290 | $5,762 | Manns et al. [40] |
* Drug costs refer to acquisition costs of drotrecogin alfa and were therefore used only in this group. Other costs were assumed to be identical in both groups.
Costs from the article by Manns et al. [40] were converted to Canadian dollars according to the exchange rate used in the article (US$1 = CDN$1.47) and adjusted for inflation according to Bank of Canada rates.
** Costs with 3% discounting
This included direct health care costs for hospitalizations, emergency visits, day surgeries, and physicians' costs [40].
Figure 4Cost-effectiveness plane for all patients – 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (20-year time horizon, 3% discounting). The points to the left of the vertical line correspond to a lower efficacy and higher cost with drotrecogin alfa compared to placebo.
Figure 5Cost-effectiveness plane for patients with APACHE II ≥ 25 – 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations (20-year time horizon, 3% discounting). The points to the left of the vertical line correspond to a lower efficacy and higher cost with drotrecogin alfa compared to placebo.
Figure 6Acceptability curve (incremental cost/LYG). Lifetime decision model (all patients, 3% discounting, 20-year time horizon). LYG = life-years gained.
Figure 7Acceptability curve (incremental cost/LYG). Lifetime decision model (high risk patients with APACHE II = 25, 3% discounting, 20-year time horizon). LYG = life-years gained.
Incremental effectiveness and costs from our base-case analyses (drotrecogin alfa compared to placebo)
| All patients | $11,024 | 0.344 | 27% |
| APACHE II ≥ 25 | $13,612 | 1.191 | 3% |
CI = confidence interval
LYG = life-years gained