Volume-based referral for cancer surgery: informing the debate.

PURPOSE: Mounting evidence suggests a relationship between hospital volume and outcomes after major cancer surgery; however, the absolute benefits of volume-based referral on a national basis are unclear. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample were used to measure the likelihood of operative mortality and a prolonged length of stay (LOS) after six cancer surgeries (prostatectomy, cystectomy, esophagectomy, pancreatectomy, pneumonectomy, and liver resection) between 1993 and 2003. Using sampling weights, the adjusted likelihood of the outcomes was used to calculate the number of lives saved (or prolonged LOS avoided) in the United States.
RESULTS: The magnitude of the volume-operative mortality effect varied from an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.3 (95% CI, 0.8 to 2.3) for cystectomy to 4.9 (95% CI, 2.4 to 10.1) for pancreatectomy. After accounting for varying rates of procedure utilization, the lives saved per 100 surgeries regionalized ranged from 0.2 (95% CI, 0.12 to 0.24 lives saved) for prostatectomy to 9.2 (95% CI, 6.7 to 10.4 lives saved) for pancreatectomy. The volume-prolonged LOS effect varied from an adjusted OR of 0.9 (95% CI, 0.5 to 1.6) for liver resection to 4.8 (95% CI, 3.5 to 6.7) for prostatectomy. After accounting for procedure use, the number of prolonged hospitalizations avoided ranged from -1.7 (95% CI, -11.3 to 3.6 hospitalizations) to 14.3 (95% CI, 12.9 to 15.4 hospitalizations) per 100 surgeries regionalized for liver resection and prostatectomy, respectively.
CONCLUSION: For patients undergoing major cancer surgery, the benefits of volume-based referral depend on the interplay between procedure utilization, the magnitude of effect, and the outcome chosen.