Relationships between familial risks of cancer and the effects of heritable genes and their SNP variants.

Familial risks for cancer can be used in many ways in guiding gene identification efforts and, more broadly, in understanding cancer etiology. Gene identification efforts may be properly designed and targeted if the familial risks are well characterized and the mode of inheritance is identified. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are extensively used in case-control studies of practically all cancer types. They are used for the identification of inherited cancer susceptibility genes and those that may interact with environmental factors. However, being genetic markers, they are applicable only on heritable conditions, which is often a neglected fact. Based on the data in the nationwide Swedish Family-Cancer Database, we review familial risks for all main cancers and discuss the evidence for a heritable component in cancer. The available evidence, including differences in cancer incidence between regions and temporal changes within regions, indicates that cancer is mainly an environmental disease, with a minor heritable etiology. The large environmental component will hamper the success of SNP-based genetic association studies. Empirical familial risks should be used to evaluate the feasibility of such studies. We develop figures for the assessment of genetic parameters based on familial risks. Such data are helpful in the estimation of the expected genetic effects in cancer. Overall, we consider the likelihood of a successful application of SNPs in gene-environment studies small, unless established environmental risk factors are tested on proven candidate genes.