Are radical and conservative substitution rates useful statistics in molecular evolution?

A DNA mutation in a protein coding gene which causes an amino acid change can be classified as "conservative" or "radical" depending on the magnitude of the physicochemical difference between the two amino acids: radical mutations involve larger changes than conservative mutations. Here, I examine two key issues in determining whether radical and conservative substitution rates are useful statistics in molecular evolution. The first issue is whether such rates can be estimated reliably, and for this purpose I demonstrate considerable improvements achieved by simple modifications to an existing method. The second issue is whether conservative and radical substitution rates can tell us something about selection on protein function. I address this problem by estimating positive and negative selection on conservative and radical mutations using polymorphism and divergence data from Drosophila. These analyses show that negative selection, but not positive selection, differs significantly between conservative and radical mutations. The power of conservative and radical substitution rates in testing the nearly neutral theory of molecular evolution is illustrated by the analysis of two mammalian datasets.