The distribution of prostate specific antigen in men without clinical or pathological evidence of prostate cancer: relationship to gland volume and age.

We estimated the in vivo prostate gland volume in 408 men (320 without clinical evidence of prostate cancer, and 88 with an abnormal digital rectal examination and/or transrectal prostate ultrasound and negative biopsies) using sequential step-section ultrasound analysis and correlated it to the serum prostate specific antigen (PSA) value. Of the men 331 (81.1%) had a PSA value of 4 ng./ml. or less. The PSA value was greater than 4 but less than or equal to 10 in 64 men (15.7%) and greater than 10 in 13 (3.2%). The men were subclassified by prostate gland volume at arbitrary break points. A total of 139 men (34.1%) had a gland of 25 cm.3 or less, 2.2% of whom had a PSA value of greater than 4. Further analysis revealed that the incidence of a PSA value greater than 4 increased as the prostate volume increased (18.4% for greater than 25 but less than or equal to 50, and 65.4% for greater than 50) and as age increased. We found a statistically significant association between prostate gland volume and patient age (p less than 0.00005) to the serum PSA concentration. The finding of a PSA value of greater than 10 was uncommon regardless of the prostate gland volume. Clinical implications of these results are discussed, and a statistical model to estimate the serum PSA by gland volume and patient age was constructed.