Inconsistencies in classification by experts of cardiotocograms and subsequent clinical decision.

Inter-observer agreement in the interpretation according to the FIGO guidelines of 33 cardiotocographic tracings by experts and subsequent clinical decision was evaluated, using the kappa statistic (K) and the proportions of agreement (Pa). Overall agreement in the classification of tracings was fair (K = 0.48) and was better for normal (Pa = 0.62), than for suspicious (Pa = 0.42) or pathologic tracings (Pa = 0.25). Overall agreement on clinical decision was slightly higher (K = 0.59), but mostly was centred on the decision to take 'no action' (Pa = 0.79). Experts especially disagreed over the decisions to 'monitor closely' (Pa = 0.14) or to 'intervene immediately' (Pa = 0.38). These limitations should be taken into account in clinical audits and in medical jurisprudence.