BACKGROUND/AIMS: In patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, prediction of survival is difficult. The aim of this prospective study was to provide a simple classification for predicting survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, based on a multivariable Cox model. METHODS:Seven hundred and sixty-one patients who presented with hepatocellular carcinoma from 24 Western medical centers were enrolled over a 30-month period. Patients were randomly assigned to either a training sample (n=506, with 418 deaths) from which a classification system was established, or a test sample (n=255, with 200 deaths) for validating its prognostic significance. RESULTS: Five prognostic factors were selected at the 0.0001 level: Karnofsky index <80% (relative risk of death=2.2, 95% confidence interval: 1.7-2.7), serum bilirubin >50 micromol/l (relative risk=2.1, 95% confidence interval: 1.7-2.6), serum alkaline phosphatase at least twice the upper limit of normal range (relative risk=1.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.3-2.0), serum alpha-fetoprotein >35 microg/l (relative risk=1.7, 95% confidence interval: 1.4-2.1), and ultrasonographic portal obstruction (relative risk=1.3, 95% confidence interval: 1.1-1.7). Three risk groups with different 1-year survival rates (72%, 34%, 7%) were derived, and independently validated in the test sample (79%, 31%, 4%). CONCLUSION: This classification could be useful in the assessment of prognosis from homogeneous groups of patients with respect to their expected outcome.
RCT Entities:
BACKGROUND/AIMS: In patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, prediction of survival is difficult. The aim of this prospective study was to provide a simple classification for predicting survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, based on a multivariable Cox model. METHODS: Seven hundred and sixty-one patients who presented with hepatocellular carcinoma from 24 Western medical centers were enrolled over a 30-month period. Patients were randomly assigned to either a training sample (n=506, with 418 deaths) from which a classification system was established, or a test sample (n=255, with 200 deaths) for validating its prognostic significance. RESULTS: Five prognostic factors were selected at the 0.0001 level: Karnofsky index <80% (relative risk of death=2.2, 95% confidence interval: 1.7-2.7), serum bilirubin >50 micromol/l (relative risk=2.1, 95% confidence interval: 1.7-2.6), serum alkaline phosphatase at least twice the upper limit of normal range (relative risk=1.6, 95% confidence interval: 1.3-2.0), serum alpha-fetoprotein >35 microg/l (relative risk=1.7, 95% confidence interval: 1.4-2.1), and ultrasonographic portal obstruction (relative risk=1.3, 95% confidence interval: 1.1-1.7). Three risk groups with different 1-year survival rates (72%, 34%, 7%) were derived, and independently validated in the test sample (79%, 31%, 4%). CONCLUSION: This classification could be useful in the assessment of prognosis from homogeneous groups of patients with respect to their expected outcome.
Authors: R Tateishi; H Yoshida; S Shiina; H Imamura; K Hasegawa; T Teratani; S Obi; S Sato; Y Koike; T Fujishima; M Makuuchi; M Omata Journal: Gut Date: 2005-03 Impact factor: 23.059
Authors: Al B Benson; Thomas A Abrams; Edgar Ben-Josef; P Mark Bloomston; Jean F Botha; Bryan M Clary; Anne Covey; Steven A Curley; Michael I D'Angelica; Rene Davila; William D Ensminger; John F Gibbs; Daniel Laheru; Mokenge P Malafa; Jorge Marrero; Steven G Meranze; Sean J Mulvihill; James O Park; James A Posey; Jasgit Sachdev; Riad Salem; Elin R Sigurdson; Constantinos Sofocleous; Jean-Nicolas Vauthey; Alan P Venook; Laura Williams Goff; Yun Yen; Andrew X Zhu Journal: J Natl Compr Canc Netw Date: 2009-04 Impact factor: 11.908
Authors: Satoshi Takeuchi; Eric M Rohren; Reham Abdel-Wahab; Lianchun Xiao; Jeffrey S Morris; Homer A Macapinlac; Manal M Hassan; Ahmed O Kaseb Journal: Eur J Nucl Med Mol Imaging Date: 2016-12-12 Impact factor: 9.236