Prediction of sleep-disordered breathing by unattended overnight oximetry.

Between January 1994 and July 1997, 793 patients suspected of having sleep-disordered breathing had unattended overnight oximetry in their homes followed by laboratory polysomnography. From the oximetry data we extracted cumulative percentage time at SaO2 < 90% (CT90) and a saturation variability index (delta Index, the sum of the differences between successive readings divided by the number of readings - 1). CT90 was weakly correlated with polysomnographic apnea/hypopnea index (AHI). (Spearman rho = 0.36, P < 0.0001) and with delta Index (rho = 0.71, P < 0.0001). delta Index was more closely correlated with AHI (rho = 0.59, P < 0.0001). In a multivariate model, only delta Index was significantly related to AHI, the relationship being AHI = 18.8 delta Index + 7.7. The 95% CI for the coefficient were 16.2, 21.4, and for the constant were 5.8, 9.7. The sensitivity of a delta Index cut-off of 0.4 for the detection of AHI > or = 15 was 88%, for detection of AHI > or = 20 was 90% and for the detection of AHI > or = 25 was 91%. The specificity of delta Index > or = 0.4 for AHI > or = 15 was 40%. In 113 further patients, oximetry was performed simultaneously with laboratory polysomnography. Under these circumstances delta Index was more closely correlated with AHI (rho = 0.74, P < 0.0001), as was CT90 (rho = 0.58, P < 0.0001). Sensitivity of delta Index > or = 0.4 for detection of AHI > or = 15 was not improved at 88%, but specificity was better at 70%. We concluded that oximetry using a saturation variability index is sensitive but nonspecific for the detection of obstructive sleep apnea, and that few false negative but a significant proportion of false positive results arise from night-to-night variability.