Prognostic value of exercise thallium-201 imaging performed within 2 years of coronary artery bypass graft surgery.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to determine the prognostic capabilities of exercise thallium (Tl)-201 tomographic imaging performed relatively early (within 2 years) after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG).
BACKGROUND: Exercise testing is commonly performed after CABG, but few data exist demonstrating its prognostic value in this setting.
METHODS: Four hundred eleven patients were followed up for a median duration of 5.8 years. Eleven prospectively chosen clinical, exercise and Tl-201 variables were tested for their associations with outcome end points by means of proportional hazards regression models.
RESULTS: During follow-up there were 60 deaths from any cause, 53 initial cardiac deaths or nonfatal myocardial infarctions (MIs) and 22 late (>3 months after the Tl-201 study) revascularization procedures. The number of abnormal Tl-201 segments on the postexercise image was the only variable in the multivariate analyses to show a significant association with all three outcome end points: chi-square 7.3, p = 0.007 for overall mortality; chi-square 8.1, p = 0.004 for cardiac death or MI; chi-square 7.8, p = 0.005 for any cardiac event. Other independent predictors of outcome were exercise duration (chi-square 10.7, p = 0.001) and age (chi-square 3.9, p = 0.049) for overall mortality and exercise angina score (chi-square 8.7, p = 0.003) for cardiac death or MI. The 5-year survival rate free of cardiac death or MI was 93% for patients without angina and a normal image or small postexercise perfusion defect versus 71% for patients with angina and a medium or large defect.
CONCLUSIONS: Exercise Tl-201 imaging performed within 2 years of CABG can stratify patients into low and high risk subgroups.