Literature DB >> 9074831

A theory of technophysio evolution, with some implications for forecasting population, health care costs, and pension costs.

R W Fogel1, D L Costa.   

Abstract

We argue that over the past 300 years human physiology has been undergoing profound environmentally induced changes made possible by numerous advances in technology. These changes, which we call technophysio evolution, increased body size by over 50%, and greatly improved the robustness and capacity of vital organ systems. Because technophysio evolution is still ongoing, it is relevant to forecasts of longevity and morbidity and, therefore, to forecasts of the size of the elderly population and pension and health care costs.

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Year:  1997        PMID: 9074831

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Demography        ISSN: 0070-3370


  41 in total

1.  Projecting the future size and health status of the U.S. elderly population.

Authors:  K G Manton; E Stallard; B Singer
Journal:  Int J Forecast       Date:  1992-11

Review 2.  How accurate is self-reported dietary energy intake?

Authors:  D A Schoeller
Journal:  Nutr Rev       Date:  1990-10       Impact factor: 7.110

3.  Height of conscripts in Europe: is postneonatal mortality a predictor?

Authors:  I M Schmidt; M H Jørgensen; K F Michaelsen
Journal:  Ann Hum Biol       Date:  1995 Jan-Feb       Impact factor: 1.533

4.  The use of 24-h urine samples and energy expenditure to validate dietary assessments.

Authors:  S A Bingham
Journal:  Am J Clin Nutr       Date:  1994-01       Impact factor: 7.045

5.  Fibronectin and phagocytic host defense: relationship to nutritional support.

Authors:  T M Saba; B C Dillon; M E Lanser
Journal:  JPEN J Parenter Enteral Nutr       Date:  1983 Jan-Feb       Impact factor: 4.016

6.  Height, weight and mortality. The Norwegian experience.

Authors:  H T Waaler
Journal:  Acta Med Scand Suppl       Date:  1984

Review 7.  Cardiac effects of starvation and semistarvation diets: safety and mechanisms of action.

Authors:  J S Fisler
Journal:  Am J Clin Nutr       Date:  1992-07       Impact factor: 7.045

8.  Relation of birth weight and childhood respiratory infection to adult lung function and death from chronic obstructive airways disease.

Authors:  D J Barker; K M Godfrey; C Fall; C Osmond; P D Winter; S O Shaheen
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  1991-09-21

9.  Smoking in pregnancy and development into early adulthood.

Authors:  K R Fogelman; O Manor
Journal:  BMJ       Date:  1988-11-12

10.  Cardiac function in smokers and nonsmokers: the CARDIA study. The Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults Study.

Authors:  S S Gidding; X Xie; K Liu; T Manolio; J M Flack; J M Gardin
Journal:  J Am Coll Cardiol       Date:  1995-07       Impact factor: 24.094

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  69 in total

1.  Reconsidering mortality compression and deceleration: an alterative model of mortality rates.

Authors:  S M Lynch; J S Brown
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2001-02

2.  Changes in the prevalence of chronic disability in the United States black and nonblack population above age 65 from 1982 to 1999.

Authors:  K G Manton; X Gu
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2001-05-08       Impact factor: 11.205

3.  Uncrossing the U.S black-white mortality crossover: the role of cohort forces in life course mortality risk.

Authors:  Ryan K Masters
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2012-08

4.  Reproducing inequalities: luck, wallets, and the enduring effects of childhood health.

Authors:  Alberto Palloni
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2006-11

5.  Predictors of Exceptional Longevity: Effects of Early-Life Childhood Conditions, Midlife Environment and Parental Characteristics.

Authors:  Leonid A Gavrilov; Natalia S Gavrilova
Journal:  Living 100 Monogr       Date:  2014

6.  Was there compression of disability for older Americans from 1992 to 2003?

Authors:  Liming Cai; James Lubitz
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2007-08

7.  The association of childhood socioeconomic conditions with healthy longevity at the oldest-old ages in China.

Authors:  Zeng Yi; Danan Gu; Kenneth C Land
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2007-08

8.  The long-term effects of poor childhood health: an assessment and application of retrospective reports.

Authors:  Steven A Haas
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2007-02

9.  Trends in U.S. adult chronic disease mortality, 1960-1999: age, period, and cohort variations.

Authors:  Yang Yang
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2008-05

10.  Labor force participation and human capital increases in an aging population and implications for U.S. research investment.

Authors:  Kenneth G Manton; Gene R Lowrimore; Arthur D Ullian; Xiliang Gu; H Dennis Tolley
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2007-06-15       Impact factor: 11.205

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