How accurate are computed tomographic scans in assessment of changes in tumor size?

The computed tomographic scan plays an integral part in the diagnosis and management of tumors; however, its potential has not yet been fully exploited. With a computer-assisted volume determination method, the reproducibility of derived volume calculations was assessed, and radiologists' standard interpretations of interval change on serial scans were compared with the investigators' calculations of tumor volume change. Interobserver reproducibility of tumor volume calculations of the mean of two repeated volume determinations was satisfactory (mean of 3 percent, median of 1 percent). There were 29 comparisons (47 scans of 19 patients with liver tumors) of computed tumor changes with the radiologists' computed tomographic reports of consecutive scans. In only 41 percent (12 of 29) of the cases did the radiologists' interpretations and the computer-assisted volume determinations agree. It is concluded that objective computer-assisted volume determination provides a potentially more sensitive assessment of tumor change and that such precise, specific, reproducible determination of tumor volume should further clinical research and improve patient care.