Literature DB >> 6852544

Human life span stopped increasing: why?

L A Gavrilov, N S Gavrilova, V N Nosov.   

Abstract

To account for the cessation of human life span increase in developed countries, we have studied the Swedish vital statistics over the period of 1901-1978. Approximating age-related mortality dynamics as the sum of the constant (age-independent mortality) and exponential (age-dependent mortality), we have discovered a striking phenomenon consisting in historical stability of age-dependent mortality. It appeared that decrease in total mortality was exclusively due to age-independent mortality which is close now to the limiting (zero) level. The results obtained prove the existence of the biological limit for the average life span and show that the conventional reserves for decrease in mortality have been exhausted. Thus, the problem of life prolongation requires a new way of thinking.

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Year:  1983        PMID: 6852544     DOI: 10.1159/000213111

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Gerontology        ISSN: 0304-324X            Impact factor:   5.140


  7 in total

1.  Mortality Trajectories at Extreme Old Ages: A Comparative Study of Different Data Sources on U.S. Old-Age Mortality.

Authors:  Natalia S Gavrilova; Leonid A Gavrilov
Journal:  Living 100 Monogr       Date:  2014

2.  Historical Evolution of Old-Age Mortality and New Approaches to Mortality Forecasting.

Authors:  Leonid A Gavrilov; Natalia S Gavrilova; Vyacheslav N Krut'ko
Journal:  Living 100 Monogr       Date:  2017-07-27

3. 

Authors:  Natalia S Gavrilova; Leonid A Gavrilov
Journal:  Demografie       Date:  2011

4.  The Future of Human Longevity.

Authors:  Leonid A Gavrilov; Vyacheslav N Krut'ko; Natalia S Gavrilova
Journal:  Gerontology       Date:  2017-08-22       Impact factor: 5.140

5.  Ethical dilemmas of brain failure in the elderly.

Authors:  G S Robertson
Journal:  Br Med J (Clin Res Ed)       Date:  1983-12-10

6.  Plasticity and rectangularity in survival curves.

Authors:  Byung Mook Weon; Jung Ho Je
Journal:  Sci Rep       Date:  2011-09-28       Impact factor: 4.379

Review 7.  What Can We Learn about Aging and COVID-19 by Studying Mortality?

Authors:  L A Gavrilov; N S Gavrilova
Journal:  Biochemistry (Mosc)       Date:  2020-12       Impact factor: 2.487

  7 in total

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