Literature DB >> 25242821

Natalia S Gavrilova, Leonid A Gavrilov.   

Abstract

The increase in the number of people surviving to an advanced age poses a serious challenge to the government pension systems of industrialised societies. Therefore, accurate estimates of mortality at advanced ages are essential to improve forecasts of mortality and the population size of the oldest old age group. In this article the authors present some new approaches to mortality and population projections at older ages using Swedish period life table data. Using two simple assumptions about age- and time patterns of mortality change (log-linear decline of mortality over time and exponential growth of hazard rates with age up to very advanced ages), the authors made mortality projections for Swedish males and females for the next fifty years.

Entities:  

Year:  2011        PMID: 25242821      PMCID: PMC4167024     

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  Demografie        ISSN: 0011-8265


  24 in total

1.  Evaluating the performance of the Lee-Carter method for forecasting mortality.

Authors:  R Lee; T Miller
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2001-11

2.  Demography of genotypes: failure of the limited life-span paradigm in Drosophila melanogaster.

Authors:  J W Curtsinger; H H Fukui; D R Townsend; J W Vaupel
Journal:  Science       Date:  1992-10-16       Impact factor: 47.728

3.  Slowing of mortality rates at older ages in large medfly cohorts.

Authors:  J R Carey; P Liedo; D Orozco; J W Vaupel
Journal:  Science       Date:  1992-10-16       Impact factor: 47.728

4.  On the statistical nature of mortality, with especial reference to chronic radiation mortality.

Authors:  G A SACHER
Journal:  Radiology       Date:  1956-08       Impact factor: 11.105

5.  A potential decline in life expectancy in the United States in the 21st century.

Authors:  S Jay Olshansky; Douglas J Passaro; Ronald C Hershow; Jennifer Layden; Bruce A Carnes; Jacob Brody; Leonard Hayflick; Robert N Butler; David B Allison; David S Ludwig
Journal:  N Engl J Med       Date:  2005-03-17       Impact factor: 91.245

6.  Long-range trends in adult mortality: models and projection methods.

Authors:  John Bongaarts
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2005-02

7.  Growth rate, lifespan and causes of death in SAS/4 mice.

Authors:  P J LINDOP
Journal:  Gerontologia       Date:  1961

8.  Comparison of National Death Index and World Wide Web death searches.

Authors:  H D Sesso; R S Paffenbarger; I M Lee
Journal:  Am J Epidemiol       Date:  2000-07-15       Impact factor: 4.897

9.  Verification of the ages of supercentenarians in the United States: results of a matching study.

Authors:  Ira Rosenwaike; Leslie F Stone
Journal:  Demography       Date:  2003-11

10.  The aging baboon: comparative demography in a non-human primate.

Authors:  Anne M Bronikowski; Susan C Alberts; Jeanne Altmann; Craig Packer; K Dee Carey; Marc Tatar
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2002-06-24       Impact factor: 11.205

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  1 in total

1.  New Developments in the Biodemography of Aging and Longevity.

Authors:  Leonid A Gavrilov; Natalia S Gavrilova
Journal:  Gerontology       Date:  2014-12-20       Impact factor: 5.140

  1 in total

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