The invasive potential of carcinoma in situ of the cervix.

Nine hundred and forty-eight patients with carcinoma in situ (CIS) of the cervix diagnosed histologically have been followed from five to 28 years. Among the 817 patients who had normal cytology follow-up, 12 (1.5%) developed invasive carcinoma. A second group of 131 patients continued to produce abnormal cytology consistent with cervical neoplasia, and 29 (22%) of them developed invasive carcinoma of the cervix or vaginal vault. Patients with continuing abnormal cytology after initial management of CIS of the cervix are 24.8 times more likely to develop invasive carcinoma than women who have normal follow-up cytology. Further, when compared with the population at large, the chances of patients with normal follow-up cytology developing invasive cervical or vaginal vault carcinoma increase 3.2-fold over women who have never had CIS of the cervix.