Literature DB >> 6457103

Physician's use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.

J J Christensen-Szalanski, J B Bushyhead.   

Abstract

This study reports on physicians' processing of probabilistic information while they were treating possible pneumonia patients at an outpatient clinic. Physicians overestimated the patients' probability of pneumonia but were sensitive to relative differences in the predictive value of symptoms when present and absent, and appeared to use base-rate information correctly when making clinical judgments.

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Year:  1981        PMID: 6457103     DOI: 10.1037//0096-1523.7.4.928

Source DB:  PubMed          Journal:  J Exp Psychol Hum Percept Perform        ISSN: 0096-1523            Impact factor:   3.332


  21 in total

1.  Do physicians know when their diagnoses are correct? Implications for decision support and error reduction.

Authors:  Charles P Friedman; Guido G Gatti; Timothy M Franz; Gwendolyn C Murphy; Fredric M Wolf; Paul S Heckerling; Paul L Fine; Thomas M Miller; Arthur S Elstein
Journal:  J Gen Intern Med       Date:  2005-04       Impact factor: 5.128

2.  Use of base rates and case cue information in making likelihood estimates.

Authors:  Stephanie Stolarz-Fantino; Edmund Fantino; Nicholas Van Borst
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  2006-04

3.  A simple remedy for overprecision in judgment.

Authors:  Uriel Haran; Don A Moore; Carey K Morewedge
Journal:  Judgm Decis Mak       Date:  2010-12

4.  Assessing the use of cognitive heuristic representativeness in clinical reasoning.

Authors:  Velma L Payne; Rebecca S Crowley; Rebecca Crowley
Journal:  AMIA Annu Symp Proc       Date:  2008-11-06

5.  Estimating the cost of regulating genome edited crops: expert judgment and overconfidence.

Authors:  Rim Lassoued; Peter W B Phillips; Stuart J Smyth; Hayley Hesseln
Journal:  GM Crops Food       Date:  2019-05-09       Impact factor: 3.074

Review 6.  Hearing hooves, thinking zebras: A review of the inverse base-rate effect.

Authors:  Hilary J Don; Darrell A Worthy; Evan J Livesey
Journal:  Psychon Bull Rev       Date:  2021-02-10

7.  Argudas: lessons for argumentation in biology based on a gene expression use case.

Authors:  Kenneth McLeod; Gus Ferguson; Albert Burger
Journal:  BMC Bioinformatics       Date:  2012-01-25       Impact factor: 3.169

8.  Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy.

Authors:  M Granger Morgan
Journal:  Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A       Date:  2014-05-12       Impact factor: 11.205

9.  Physician Bayesian updating from personal beliefs about the base rate and likelihood ratio.

Authors:  Benjamin Margolin Rottman
Journal:  Mem Cognit       Date:  2017-02

10.  Clinical reasoning in the real world is mediated by bounded rationality: implications for diagnostic clinical practice guidelines.

Authors:  Ana Paula Ribeiro Bonilauri Ferreira; Rodrigo Fernando Ferreira; Dimple Rajgor; Jatin Shah; Andrea Menezes; Ricardo Pietrobon
Journal:  PLoS One       Date:  2010-04-20       Impact factor: 3.240

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