Use of bone-marrow culture in prediction of acute leukaemic transformation in preleukaemia.

Bone-marrow granulocyte-macrophage progenitor cell proliferation and regulatory factor (colony-stimulating activity; CSA) production were assessed at presentation and, if possible, subsequently in twenty-one patients with dysmyelopoiesis and less than 5% bone-marrow blasts. Seven patients underwent acute leukaemic transformation 1-35 months after the first marrow culture. Assay of bone-marrow endogenous CSA proved the most useful prognostic test. The rate of transformation in the seven patients with raised CSA at presentation was significantly greater (five transformed and one died at or before 4 months) than that in the fourteen patients with normal, low, or undetectable CSA (two transformed at 27 and 35 months). In one of the latter an increase in bone-marrow CSA occurred 6 weeks before transformation (serial marrow samples were not available in the other case). No other marrow culture feature measured, including the presence or absence of granulocyte-macrophage colony-forming cells and total clone numbers (colonies and smaller clusters) was as useful.