Selection with partial selfing. I. Mass selection.

The expected responses to mass selection carried out before or after reproduction in a population whose members all have a fixed probability of self pollination (s) are formulated using covariances of relatives and their component quadratic functions for a model with arbitrary additive and dominance effects. The response measured in the first generation offspring after selection (immediate gain) can differ from that retained when the population has regained equilibrium (permanent gain). The population mean behaves in a predictable manner during the return to equilibrium, and its value at any time can be predicted from earlier generations. The permanent gain from selection after reproduction is always (1 + s)/2 times as large as that from selection before reproduction, but the relationship of the immediate gains depends on the genetic model assumed. Numerical analysis applied to a model with two alleles per locus and varying allele frequencies, dominance ratios and numbers of loci showed that the proportion of the immediate gain retained at equilibrium was reduced with the large inbreeding depression associated with increasing dominance levels and numbers of loci and was generally lower for selection after reproduction than before. In the absence of information as to the magnitude of genetic variances and inbreeding depression in species reproducing by partial selfing, the importance of this phenomenon is unknown.