| Literature DB >> 36248313 |
Zakir Husain1, Saswata Ghosh2, Mousumi Dutta3.
Abstract
The outbreak of COVID-19, and the national-level lockdown to contain it, were expected to disrupt supply chains, lead to livelihood loss, and reduce household income. Studies anticipated a decline in food security in India, leading to a near famine-like situation. In this study, we examine the change in Dietary Score (number of food groups consumed out of a possible eight) and proportion of respondents complying with Minimum Dietary Diversity norms (consuming at least four food groups) among women aged 15-49 years and their youngest child (aged between 7 and 36 months) during the lockdown. The present study also analyses whether ownership of ration cards and contacts with the party in power locally helped the household to tide over the crisis. The data was collected through a two-phase primary survey undertaken in January-March 2020 (pre-lockdown period) and October-November 2020 (post-lockdown period). It was undertaken in six districts of Bihar, a state with a history of poor maternal and child health outcomes and dysfunctional delivery of health services. We find that dietary practices of women deteriorated, while that of children remained the same. The deterioration is less among households owning ration cards or having political contacts. The analysis suggests that, during pandemics or similar crisis periods, the need to supplement the supply of staple items through the Public Distribution System with a direct transfer of cash will allow households to maintain diversity in the consumption basket.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; Dietary score; Food security; India; Minimum Dietary Diversity; Public Distribution System
Year: 2022 PMID: 36248313 PMCID: PMC9550658 DOI: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2022.102372
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Food Policy ISSN: 0306-9192 Impact factor: 6.080
Summary of studies on decline in consumption during lockdown in India.
| Indicator and source | Reference period (2020) | Incidence (%) |
|---|---|---|
| CSE-APU (Round 1) | April-May | 77 |
| ActionAid (Round 1) | May | 67 |
| Hunger Watch | October | 53 |
| CSE-APU (Round 2) | Sept-Nov | 60 |
| PRADAN+ (Round 1) | April | 68 |
| IDinsight+ (Round 1) | May | 26 |
| PRADAN+ (Round 2) | June | 55 |
| Gaon Connection | June-July | 46 |
| IDinsight+ (Round 2) | July | 14 |
| IDinsight+ (Round 3) | September | 13 |
| RCRC (Round 2) | December 2020 - January 2021 | 40 |
| PRADAN+ (Round 1) | April | 50 |
| PRADAN+ (Round 2) | June | 43 |
| Gaon Connection | June-July | 38 |
| ActionAid (Round 1) | May | 34 |
| ActionAid (Round 2) | June | 19 |
Note: The last column indicates the proportion of affected households (or individuals, in the case of ActionAid).
Source: (Dreze and Somanchi, 2021, p. 14).
Fig. 1Trends in per capita monthly consumption expenditure. Note: Calculated from CPHS (CMIE) data. Households are grouped by per capita expenditure quantiles. Figures are weighted to account for sampling design. ().
Comparison of profile of respondents from base-line survey not recruited, and not covered with respondents selected in end-line survey.
| Socio-economic characteristic | Not recruited | Not covered | Covered | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No education | 60.44 | 37.04 | 30.31 | 32.46 |
| 1–5 years | 19.63 | 17.78 | 18.73 | 18.42 |
| 6–10 years | 17.13 | 35.19 | 35.71 | 35.55 |
| 11–17 years | 2.80 | 10.00 | 15.24 | 13.57 |
| 17–20 years | 9.97 | 10.37 | 10.80 | 10.66 |
| 21–25 years | 40.19 | 45.00 | 44.77 | 44.85 |
| 26–30 years | 38.32 | 35.74 | 33.8 | 34.42 |
| Above 30 years | 11.53 | 8.89 | 10.63 | 10.07 |
| Primary | 20.94 | 20.56 | 16.90 | 18.07 |
| Other rural occupations | 66.88 | 60.00 | 64.63 | 63.15 |
| Salaried class | 12.19 | 19.44 | 18.47 | 18.78 |
| Low | 40.48 | 31.85 | 30.84 | 34.49 |
| Medium | 30.47 | 34.07 | 32.49 | 32.27 |
| High | 25.44 | 34.07 | 36.67 | 32.24 |
| H-SC&ST | 2.49 | 7.78 | 6.79 | 7.11 |
| H-OBC | 47.98 | 52.78 | 58.36 | 56.58 |
| H-General | 39.25 | 33.33 | 26.39 | 28.61 |
| Muslim | 10.25 | 6.11 | 8.45 | 7.70 |
Note: Not recruited: Respondents not recruited for end-line survey as they did not have a mobile number; Not covered: Respondents who could not be contacted or refused to give interviews; Covered: Respondents covered in end line survey (“covered”). Comparisons are with Covered group. Figures in parentheses are probability values.
Results of ordered probit to check selection bias.
| Variables | Coef. | Std. Err. | z | P > z |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Socio-religious group (H-General) | ||||
| H-SC&ST | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.65 |
| H-OBC | −0.15 | 0.11 | −1.32 | 0.19 |
| Muslim | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.30 | 0.77 |
| Education of respondent | ||||
| Below five years | 0.24 | 0.07 | 3.35 | 0.00 |
| 6–10 years | 0.42 | 0.07 | 6.35 | 0.00 |
| Above 10 years | 0.61 | 0.09 | 6.54 | 0.00 |
| Age of respondent (Below 20 years) | ||||
| 21–25 years | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.79 |
| 26–30 years | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.89 | 0.37 |
| Above 30 years | 0.34 | 0.12 | 2.88 | 0.00 |
| Housing index scores | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.17 | 0.00 |
| Respondent is employed | 0.20 | 0.07 | 2.76 | 0.01 |
| Cut1: Not recruited | 0.01 | 0.17 | −0.32 | 0.33 |
| Cut2: Recruited but not interviewed | 0.68 | 0.17 | 0.35 | 1.01 |
| Observations | 2,250 | |||
| 130.94 | 0.00 | |||
| Pseudo-R2 | 0.03 |
Descriptive statistics for the respondents.
| Variable | Mean | Std. Dev. | Min | Max | DHS4: Bihar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age of the respondent (years) | 25.55 | 4.32 | 17.00 | 47 | 28.54 |
| Years of schooling | 5.74 | 4.81 | 0.00 | 17 | 3.93 |
| Household size | 7.01 | 2.72 | 3.00 | 20 | 6.47 |
| No. of living children | 2.67 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 8 | 1.41 |
| Normalised housing index | 51.01 | 23.52 | 7.13 | 100 | – |
| Age of the youngest child (months) | 16.80 | 9.12 | 3.00 | 36 | – |
Variations in Dietary Score and proportion complying with minimum dietary diversity norms for mothers across correlates.
| Dietary score | Pre-lockdown | Lockdown | Difference (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low | 5.58 | 5.18 | −7.17 | −3.87*** |
| Medium | 5.57 | 5.09 | 8.62 | −4.50*** |
| High | 5.78 | 5.29 | 8.48 | −4.73*** |
| No education | 5.49 | 5.07 | −7.64 | −3.73*** |
| 1–5 years | 5.62 | 5.02 | −10.60 | −3.94*** |
| 6–10 years | 5.72 | 5.27 | −7.76 | −4.13*** |
| 11–17 years | 5.86 | 5.48 | −6.44 | −2.33** |
| H-SC&ST | 5.42 | 5.47 | 0.95 | −0.23 |
| H-OBC | 5.61 | 5.10 | −9.00 | −6.01*** |
| H-General | 5.72 | 5.19 | −9.34 | −4.35*** |
| Muslims | 5.91 | 5.64 | −4.54 | −1.18 |
| Low | 96.05 | 84.46 | 12.07 | −5.19*** |
| Medium | 92.76 | 80.70 | 13.00 | −4.98*** |
| High | 93.11 | 85.04 | 8.67 | −4.08*** |
| No education | 94.83 | 83.05 | −12.42 | −5.04*** |
| 1–5 years | 92.35 | 81.02 | −12.27 | −4.49*** |
| 6–10 years | 94.41 | 85.68 | −9.25 | −4.40*** |
| 11–17 years | 95.43 | 86.86 | −8.98 | −2.85*** |
| H-SC&ST | 96.15 | 91.03 | −5.33 | −1.31 |
| H-OBC | 94.03 | 82.09 | −12.70 | −6.85*** |
| H-General | 94.06 | 83.17 | −11.58 | −4.28*** |
| Muslims | 90.72 | 87.63 | −3.41 | −0.69 |
Note: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01 and ***P < 0.001.
Variations in mean dietary score and proportion complying with minimum dietary diversity for children across correlates.
| DS | Pre-lockdown | Lockdown | Difference (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Male | 2.85 | 3.16 | 11.12 | −3.40*** |
| Female | 2.90 | 3.23 | 11.20 | −3.31*** |
| 7–12 months | 2.21 | 3.22 | 45.93 | 7.45*** |
| 13–18 months | 2.91 | 3.25 | 11.50 | 2.63*** |
| 19–24 months | 3.14 | 3.20 | 2.01 | 0.43 |
| 25–36 months | 3.18 | 3.12 | −1.81 | −0.46 |
| Low | 2.96 | 3.50 | 18.24 | 4.71*** |
| Medium | 2.92 | 3.16 | 8.22 | 1.96* |
| High | 2.76 | 2.97 | 7.61 | 1.92* |
| No Education | 3.06 | 3.52 | 14.83 | 3.68*** |
| 1–5 years | 2.79 | 3.02 | 8.14 | 1.63* |
| 6–10 years | 2.88 | 3.08 | 7.10 | 1.75* |
| 11–17 years | 2.58 | 3.01 | 16.76 | 2.49** |
| H-SC&ST | 2.55 | 3.25 | 27.11 | 2.72*** |
| H-OBC | 2.88 | 3.11 | 8.28 | 2.68*** |
| H-General | 2.87 | 3.30 | 15.18 | 3.28*** |
| Muslim | 3.13 | 3.36 | 7.52 | −1.09 |
| Male | 31.66 | 34.87 | 10.13 | 0.07 |
| Female | 33.86 | 33.63 | −0.67 | −1.07 |
| 7–12 months | 15.67 | 36.41 | 132.35 | 2.16** |
| 13–18 months | 34.63 | 35.02 | 1.13 | 0.04 |
| 19–24 months | 38.42 | 35.79 | −6.85 | −0.26 |
| 25–36 months | 40.29 | 30.94 | –23.21 | −1.10 |
| Low | 34.46 | 43.92 | 27.45 | 2.50** |
| Medium | 34.32 | 34.65 | 0.96 | 0.09 |
| High | 29.74 | 25.66 | −13.72 | −1.19 |
| No Education | 38.91 | 45.39 | 16.67 | −1.59 |
| 1–5 years | 27.57 | 28.11 | 1.96 | −0.12 |
| 6–10 years | 33.13 | 30.96 | −6.54 | −0.59 |
| 11–17 years | 25.53 | 26.95 | 5.56 | 0.27 |
| H-SC&ST | 18.46 | 33.85 | 83.33 | 2.01** |
| H-OBC | 33.33 | 30.77 | −7.69 | −0.91 |
| H-General | 31.30 | 39.84 | 27.27 | 1.98** |
| Muslim | 43.53 | 41.18 | −5.41 | −0.31 |
Note: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01 and ***P < 0.001.
ATE of financial condition, obtaining free rations and political contact.
| ATE of worsened financial conditions | Lower DS | Decreased compliance with MDD | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coeff | Std. Err. | Coeff | Std. Err. | |
| Lockdown | 0.27*** | 0.06 | 0.57*** | 0.10 |
| Worsened financial condition | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| Control variables | Yes | Yes | ||
| N | 2252 | 2252 | ||
| χ2 | 129.87** | 105.03* | ||
| Pseudo R2 | 0.02 | 0.07 | ||
: Control variables included are age, education, and socio-religious identity of the respondent, whether she is employed, husband’s occupation, whether the husband was migrant, household size, and (in children’s models only) age and gender of the child.
*P < 0.05, **P < 0.01 and ***P < 0.001.
Proportion of women and children consuming specific food groups in pre-lockdown and lockdown periods.
| Women | Pre-lockdown | Lockdown | Difference (%) | a-test |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cereals and potatoes | 98.87 | 99.04 | 0.17 | 0.41 |
| Pulses & nuts | 95.73 | 97.47 | 1.82 | 2.30** |
| Fish and meat | 58.01 | 40.84 | −29.60 | −8.30*** |
| Egg | 41.90 | 36.76 | −12.27 | −2.52*** |
| Milk & dairy products | 74.91 | 70.91 | −5.34 | −2.16** |
| Yellow/orange fruits | 22.74 | 34.15 | 50.18 | 6.11*** |
| Green, leafy vegetables | 88.07 | 67.68 | –23.15 | −12.13*** |
| Other fruits or vegetables | 84.84 | 72.65 | −14.37 | −7.22*** |
Note: *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01 and ***P < 0.001.
Results of ordered probit model for women and children.
| Variables | Dietary score | Compliance with dietary norms | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Women | Child | Women | Child | |
| Child's age (6–12 months) | ||||
| 13–24 months | – | 0.31*** | – | 0.39*** |
| 25–36 months | – | 0.43*** | – | 0.55*** |
| Female child | – | 0.05 | – | 0.01 |
| Age of respondent (Below 20 years) | ||||
| 21–25 years | 0.03 | 0.15 | 0.22* | 0.32** |
| 26–30 years | 0.14 | 0.24* | 0.39*** | 0.48*** |
| Above 30 years | −0.02 | 0.31* | 0.29* | 0.37** |
| At least 5 years of schooling | −0.10 | 0.15* | 0.01 | 0.15* |
| Socio-religious group (H-General) | ||||
| H-SC&ST | −0.20 | −0.22 | −0.31* | −0.05 |
| H-OBC | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.09 | −0.06 |
| Muslim | −0.23 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| Respondent works | −0.13 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.09 |
| Household size | 0.01 | −0.01 | 0.02 | −0.02 |
| Husband is migrant | 0.15* | −0.36 | 0.05 | −0.23 |
| Occupation of husband (Wage & Salaried) | ||||
| Agriculture | −0.02 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.30** |
| Others | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| Holding of irrigated land | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 | −0.00 |
| Financial condition improved during lockdown | −0.01 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| Obtained free rations | −0.24** | −0.09 | −0.30*** | −0.16* |
| ρ | – | −0.38 | – | −0.36 |
| Cut1 (Improved vs Same & decline) | 0.91 | 0.75 | 0.41 | 0.77* |
| Cut2 (Improved & Same vs decline) | −1.86 | −0.87** | −0.04 | 0.26 |
| Observations | 1126 | 2043 | 1126 | 2043 |
| Uncensored observations | – | 942 | – | 942 |
| χ2-statistic (ρ = 0) | 0.24 | 4.59** | 0.31 | 4.18** |
| Wald χ2-statistic | 24.48*** | 34.39*** | 36.14*** | 50.07*** |
| Pseudo-R2 | 0.02 | 34.39 | 0.02 | 50.07 |
Note: [1] The model for children was adjusted for self-selection using ownership of mobiles as an instrument. [2] *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01 and ***P < 0.001.
Distribution of respondents across correlates.
| Group | Frequency | Percentage | DHS4: Bihara |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17–20 years | 124 | 10.80 | 18.52 |
| 21–25 years | 514 | 44.77 | 20.75 |
| 26–30 years | 388 | 33.80 | 17.71 |
| Above 30 years | 122 | 10.63 | 43.02 |
| No schooling | 348 | 30.31 | 54.29 |
| 1–5 years | 215 | 18.73 | 9.75 |
| 6–10 years | 410 | 35.71 | 32.50 |
| 11–17 years | 175 | 15.24 | 3.46 |
| H-SC&ST | 78 | 6.79 | 20.35 |
| H-Other Backward Castes (OBC) | 670 | 58.36 | 50.68 |
| H-General | 303 | 26.39 | 10.44 |
| Muslim | 97 | 8.45 | 18.53 |
| 3–4 members | 151 | 13.15 | 25.61 |
| 6–10 members | 991 | 86.32 | 67.50 |
| 11–20 members | 6 | 0.52 | 6.49 |
| Yes | 172 | 14.98 | 12.84 |
| Low | 354 | 30.84 | 37.09 |
| Medium | 373 | 32.49 | 33.40 |
| High | 421 | 36.67 | 29.51 |
| Female | 547 | 47.65 | – |
| Male | 601 | 52.35 | – |
Note: a. Figures for only the districts covered in the survey was reported in the column for DHS4: Bihar.