| Literature DB >> 36242008 |
Qian Zhu1,2,3, Min Qin1,2,3, Zixian Wang1,2, Yonglin Wu1,2, Xiaoping Chen4, Chen Liu5, Qilin Ma6, Yibin Liu1,2,3, Weihua Lai1, Hui Chen1,3, Jingjing Cai7, Yemao Liu7, Fang Lei7, Bin Zhang2,3, Shuyao Zhang8, Guodong He2,3, Hanping Li2, Mingliang Zhang9, Hui Zheng9, Jiyan Chen2, Min Huang10, Shilong Zhong11,12,13.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a metabolically perturbed pathological condition. However, the knowledge of metabolic signatures on outcomes of CAD and their potential causal effects and impacts on left ventricular remodeling remains limited. We aim to assess the contribution of plasma metabolites to the risk of death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) as well as left ventricular remodeling.Entities:
Keywords: Coronary artery disease; Death; Left ventricular remodeling; Major adverse cardiovascular events; Mendelian randomisation; Metabolic signature; Metabolomics
Year: 2022 PMID: 36242008 PMCID: PMC9569076 DOI: 10.1186/s13578-022-00863-x
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Cell Biosci ISSN: 2045-3701 Impact factor: 9.584
Baseline characteristics in 1606 CAD patients
| Characteristics | Discovery cohort (n = 1040) | Multicenter validation cohort (n = 566) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demographic data | |||
| Age | 63.03 ± 10.04 | 62.29 ± 10.18 | |
| Sex (male) | 828 (79.62) | 419 (74.16) | |
| BMI, kg/m2 | 24.28 ± 4.79 | 24.06 ± 3.38 | |
| SBP, mm Hg | 130.66 ± 18.89 | 133.04 ± 20.29 | |
| DBP, mm Hg | 76.19 ± 11.03 | 76.46 ± 12.05 | |
| Current smoking | 294 (28.52) | 160 (28.73) | |
| Family of CVD | 29 (2.79) | – | |
| Comorbidities | |||
| Arrhythmia | 92 (8.86) | 51 (9.17) | |
| DM | 286 (27.55) | 164 (29.39) | |
| HyperT | 627 (60.35) | 340 (60.93) | |
| Dyslipidemia | 729 (72.54) | 400 (74.07) | |
| Biomedical measurements | |||
| ALT, U/L | 27.41 ± 13.18 | 27.65 ± 24.56 | |
| AST, U/L | 26.64 ± 10.62 | 32.12 ± 55.48 | |
| eGFR, mL/min/1.73 m2 | 94.32 ± 73.69 | 91.37 ± 110.84 | |
| GLUC, mmol/L | 6.74 ± 2.73 | 6.21 ± 3.82 | |
| CHOL, mmol/L | 4.28 ± 1.12 | 4.29 ± 1.77 | |
| LDLC, mmol/L | 2.58 ± 0.93 | 2.7 ± 1.00 | |
| HDLC, mmol/L | 0.97 ± 0.26 | 0.99 ± 0.25 | |
| TRIG, mmol/L | 1.62 ± 1.14 | 1.85 ± 1.85 | |
| CKMB, U/L | 7.48 ± 5.92 | 19.37 ± 52.83 | |
| proBNP, pg/mL | 774.51 ± 1597.35 | 1299.46 ± 4922.09 | |
| Medications | |||
| BB | 929 (89.5) | 477 (84.57) | |
| ACEI | 660 (63.58) | 286 (50.71) | |
| CCB | 295 (28.42) | 165 (30.05) | |
| PPI | 506 (48.75) | 380 (67.26) | |
| SYNTAX score | 16.43 ± 10.74 | 16.45 ± 13.09 | |
| LVEF, % | 60.1 ± 11.54 | 59.43 ± 11.63 | |
| LVMI, g/m2 | 122.13 ± 36.05 | 116.54 ± 35.08 | |
Data are number (%) or mean ± SD when appropriate
SD standard deviation, BMI body mass index, SBP systolic blood pressure, CVD cardiovascular disease, DM diabetes, HyperT hypertension, ALT alanine aminotransferase, AST aspartate aminotransferase, eGFR estimated glomerular filtration rate, GLUC glucose, CHOL cholesterol, LDLC low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, HDLC high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, TRIG triglyceride, CKMB creatine kinase MB, proBNP N-terminal pro brain natriuretic peptide, BB β-blockers, ACEI angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors, CCB calcium channel blockers, PPI proton pump inhibitors, SYNTAX score Synergy between PCI with TAXUS and Cardiac Surgery score, LVEF left ventricular ejection fraction, LVMI left ventricular mass index
Fig. 1Forest plot of metabolites associated with the risks of death (A) and MACE (B). HR (hazard ratios) of metabolites in the adjusted analysis (FDR < 0.05) of the discovery cohort (Left) and the multicenter validation cohort (Right) after adjustment with potential confounder. HR (circles) indicate the risk of a change in each metabolite of 1 standard deviation (SD) for ease of comparison. Bars represent 95% confidence intervals. Red-coded circles and bars indicate that the metabolites were replicated in the validation cohort (P < 0.05)
Independent metabolic signature selection using LASSO
| Terms | Coefficient (β) | HR | Frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| LASSO based signature selection for death | |||
| Dulcitol | 0.22 | 1.25 | 200 |
| 4-Acetamidobutyric acid | 0.29 | 1.34 | 200 |
| | 0.05 | 1.05 | 195 |
| 0.08 | 1.08 | 191 | |
| β-Pseudouridine | 0.05 | 1.05 | 173 |
| 2-(Dimethylamino) guanosine | 0.02 | 1.02 | 137 |
| Kynurenine | 0.04 | 1.04 | 43 |
| 3,3ʹ,5-Triiodo- | − 0.12 | 0.89 | 43 |
| 0.04 | 1.04 | 21 | |
| DL-P-hydroxyphenyllactic acid | 0.02 | 1.03 | 21 |
| Phenyllactate (PLA) | 0.01 | 1.01 | 11 |
| Cyclic AMP | 0.02 | 1.02 | 5 |
| S-(5-Adenosy)- | 0.02 | 1.02 | 2 |
| LASSO based signature selection for MACE | |||
| 4-Acetamidobutyric acid | 0.06 | 1.06 | 200 |
| 0.06 | 1.06 | 200 | |
| | − 0.24 | 0.79 | 200 |
| Dulcitol | 0.10 | 1.10 | 200 |
| 5-Methyluridine | 0.28 | 1.33 | 200 |
| Kynurenine | 0.22 | 1.25 | 200 |
| Phenyllactate (PLA) | 0.10 | 1.11 | 200 |
| LysoPC 20:2 | − 0.51 | 0.60 | 200 |
| | 0.02 | 1.02 | 199 |
| LysoPC 20:1 | − 0.04 | 0.96 | 193 |
| | − 0.01 | 0.99 | 2 |
The regression coefficients were calculated by averaging the coefficients obtained from tenfold cross-validation lasso Cox regression with 200 repeats, adjusted for 17 main clinical confounders. The confounders included age, sex, AST, eGFR, DM, HyperT, CHOL, HDLC, PPI, ACEI, BB, CCB, current smoking, family history of CVD, SYNTAX, SBP, and GLUC. The variables that appear zero times were removed and the variables left were further selected to develop a predictive model, abbreviations are as in Table 1
Model performance measures for mortality and MACE risks in the discovery phase
| Predictive model | AUC | IDI (95% CI) | Continuous NRI (95% CI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction of death | |||
| Metabolomic + clinicala | 83.7 | ||
| Metabolomicb | 80.9 | 0.072 (− 0.067 to 0.238) | 0.013 (− 0.259 to 0.263) |
| TMAO + clinicalc | 76.6 | 0.096 (0.031–0.235) | 0.230 (− 0.032 to 0.446) |
| Clinicald | 77.0 | 0.096 (0.012–0.231) | 0.121 (− 0.127 to 0.369) |
| Prediction of MACE | |||
| Metabolomic + clinicale | 67.4 | ||
| Metabolomicf | 66.0 | 0.066 (0.005–0.124) | 0.097 (−0.049 to 0.238) |
| TMAO + clinicalg | 59.8 | 0.068 (0.029–0.118) | 0.144 (0.005–0.324) |
| Clinicalh | 58.4 | 0.072 (0.034–0.128) | 0.106 (− 0.001–0.321) |
The metabolic variables screened from LASSO, TMAO, and the 17 traditional clinical factors including age, sex, AST, eGFR, DM, HyperT, CHOL, HDLC, PPI, ACEI, BB, CCB, current smoking, family history of CVD, SYNTAX, SBP, and GLUC were input into multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to fit model, using a forward and backward stepwise process based on AIC (Akaike information criterion). The model with the smallest AIC value was considered the best and variables with P < 0.1 were retained. IDI (integrated discrimination improvement) and continuous NRI (net reclassification improvement) were calculated by comparing the Metabolomic + clinical model with TMAO + clinical and Clinical model, and the Metabolomic model with Clinical model, 95% CIs were calculated by 1000 bootstrap resampling
aMetabolomic + clinical model = Dulcitol, β-Pseudouridine, 3,3ʹ,5-Triiodo-l-thyronine, Kynurenine, age, current smoking, GLUC, AST, SBP
bMetabolomic model = Dulcitol, Kynurenine, Cyclic AMP, 3,3ʹ,5-Triiodo-l-thyronine, β-Pseudouridine
cTMAO model = TMAO, age, AST, current smoking, SBP, GLUC
dClinical model = age, AST, HDLC, CCB, current smoking, SYNTAX, SBP, GLUC
eMetabolomic + clinical model = lysoPC 20:2, 5-methyluridine, kynurenine, L-tryptophan, AST, DM, PPI, SYNTAX
fMetabolomic model = lysoPC 20:2, 5-methyluridine, kynurenine, l-tryptophan, d-sorbitol, phenyllactate
gTMAO + clinical model = TMAO, AST, DM, PPI, CCB, SYNTAX
hClinical model = AST, DM, PPI, CCB, SYNTAX. AUC = area under the curve, other abbreviations are as in Table 1
Fig. 2A predictive model based on metabolic signatures of death and MACE risks. ROC curves of death (A) and MACE (B) risks in the discovery cohort. Kaplan–Meier curves of the optimized predictive model (metabolomic + clinical) predicting death (C) and MACE (D) in the multicenter validation cohort between the low (< Q1), middle (≥ Ql and ≤ Q3), and high (> Q3) quartiles of hazard estimates. The optimal cutoff of the risk score was determined by calculating the highest Youden’s J value. ROC curve receiver–operating characteristic curve, AUC areas under the curve, SPE specificity, and SEN sensitivity
Fig. 3Correlation network of metabolic signatures and clinical factors, and metabolomic association with LV remodeling. A Correlation network of the metabolic signatures for death risk in the discovery cohort and traditional clinical factors by Spearman correlations with distant nodes of |rho|> 0.1 for clinical factors and |rho|> 0.2 for metabolites, P < 0.01, the rho and P-value were provided in Additional file 1: Table S6. Volcano plot presentation of univariate association of metabolites with LVEF (B) and LVMI (C) in a linear regression model. Metabolites with P < 0.05 are labeled (above the red dotted line), P-value cutoff equivalent to FDR < 0.05 are labeled (above the green dotted line), abbreviations are as Table 1
Fig. 4Inference of potential causality and mediation effects between metabolites, LV remodeling, and outcomes. A Venn plot between metabolic signatures associated with LVEF, LVMI, and risks of death and MACE in the adjusted analysis. B Forest plot of metabolites associated with risks of death and MACE, LVEF, and LVMI identified by Mendelian randomisation analysis. HR of death and MACE were denoted using circle and square, estimates of LVEF and LVMI were denoted using triangle and diamond, respectively. C, D The percentage of association (mediation (%)) between metabolites and outcomes (death and MACE) by LVEF using mediation analyses
Fig. 5Study flow diagram