| Literature DB >> 36238713 |
M Daniel Brannock, Robert F Chew, Alexander J Preiss, Emily C Hadley, Julie A McMurry, Peter J Leese, Andrew T Girvin, Miles Crosskey, Andrea G Zhou, Richard A Moffitt, Michele Jonsson Funk, Emily R Pfaff, Melissa A Haendel, Christopher G Chute.
Abstract
Importance: Characterizing the effect of vaccination on long COVID allows for better healthcare recommendations. Objective: To determine if, and to what degree, vaccination prior to COVID-19 is associated with eventual long COVID onset, among those a documented COVID-19 infection. Design Settings and Participants: Retrospective cohort study of adults with evidence of COVID-19 between August 1, 2021 and January 31, 2022 based on electronic health records from eleven healthcare institutions taking part in the NIH Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Initiative, a project of the National Covid Cohort Collaborative (N3C). Exposures: Pre-COVID-19 receipt of a complete vaccine series versus no pre-COVID-19 vaccination. Main Outcomes and Measures: Two approaches to the identification of long COVID were used. In the clinical diagnosis cohort (n=47,752), ICD-10 diagnosis codes or evidence of a healthcare encounter at a long COVID clinic were used. In the model-based cohort (n=199,498), a computable phenotype was used. The association between pre-COVID vaccination and long COVID was estimated using IPTW-adjusted logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards.Entities:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36238713 PMCID: PMC9558440 DOI: 10.1101/2022.10.06.22280795
Source DB: PubMed Journal: medRxiv
Figure 1.Cohort Definition Flowchart
Baseline Patient Characteristics
| Variable | Model-Based Cohort | Clinic-Based Cohort | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall (N=199498) | Fully Vaccinated (N=87099) | Unvaccinated (N=112399) | Overall (N=47752) | Fully Vaccinated (N=26567) | Unvaccinated (N=21185) | |
| Mean Age | 47.22 (100.0) | 52.46 (100.0) | 43.16 (100.0) | 48.17 (100.0) | 50.97 (100.0) | 44.65 (100.0) |
| Gender | ||||||
| Female | 128920 (64.6) | 56561 (64.9) | 72359 (64.4) | 31051 (65.0) | 17499 (65.9) | 13552 (64.0) |
| Male | 70578 (35.4) | 30538 (35.1) | 40040 (35.6) | 16701 (35.0) | 9068 (34.1) | 7633 (36.0) |
| Age at COVID Index Date | ||||||
| 18–24 | 20701 (10.4) | 4922 (5.7) | 15779 (14.0) | 4522 (9.5) | 1753 (6.6) | 2769 (13.1) |
| 25–34 | 36729 (18.4) | 11382 (13.1) | 25347 (22.6) | 8557 (17.9) | 4078 (15.3) | 4479 (21.1) |
| 35–49 | 53883 (27.0) | 21646 (24.9) | 32237 (28.7) | 12445 (26.1) | 6748 (25.4) | 5697 (26.9) |
| 50–64 | 50887 (25.5) | 25332 (29.1) | 25555 (22.7) | 12356 (25.9) | 7235 (27.2) | 5121 (24.2) |
| 65+ | 37298 (18.7) | 23817 (27.3) | 13481 (12.0) | 9872 (20.7) | 6753 (25.4) | 3119 (14.7) |
| Race / Ethnicity | ||||||
| Asian Non-Hispanic | 3542 (1.8) | 2625 (3.0) | 917 (0.8) | 861 (1.8) | 670 (2.5) | 191 (0.9) |
| Black or African American Non-Hispanic | 26588 (13.3) | 10330 (11.9) | 16258 (14.5) | 10588 (22.2) | 5355 (20.2) | 5233 (24.7) |
| Hispanic or Latino Any Race | 18870 (9.5) | 9876 (11.3) | 8994 (8.0) | 3089 (6.5) | 1642 (6.2) | 1447 (6.8) |
| NHOPI Non-Hispanic | 272 (0.1) | 156 (0.2) | 116 (0.1) | 75 (0.2) | 38 (0.1) | 37 (0.2) |
| Other Non-Hispanic | 4236 (2.1) | 1477 (1.7) | 2759 (2.5) | 1391 (2.9) | 460 (1.7) | 931 (4.4) |
| Unknown | 2693 (1.3) | 1490 (1.7) | 1203 (1.1) | 1172 (2.5) | 626 (2.4) | 546 (2.6) |
| White Non-Hispanic | 143297 (71.8) | 61145 (70.2) | 82152 (73.1) | 30576 (64.0) | 17776 (66.9) | 12800 (60.4) |
| Data Partner | ||||||
| Partner A | 9526 (4.8) | 5853 (6.7) | 3673 (3.3) | 9367 (19.6) | 5776 (21.7) | 3591 (17.0) |
| Partner B | 1746 (0.9) | 1162 (1.3) | 584 (0.5) | |||
| Partner C | 3449 (1.7) | 2114 (2.4) | 1335 (1.2) | 3414 (7.1) | 2093 (7.9) | 1321 (6.2) |
| Partner D | 1176 (0.6) | 754 (0.9) | 422 (0.4) | 1170 (2.5) | 752 (2.8) | 418 (2.0) |
| Partner E | 2734 (1.4) | 2092 (2.4) | 642 (0.6) | |||
| Partner F | 27322 (13.7) | 14857 (17.1) | 12465 (11.1) | |||
| Partner G | 6095 (3.1) | 3984 (4.6) | 2111 (1.9) | 6008 (12.6) | 3926 (14.8) | 2082 (9.8) |
| Partner H | 2136 (1.1) | 997 (1.1) | 1139 (1.0) | |||
| Partner I | 2281 (1.1) | 1460 (1.7) | 821 (0.7) | 2215 (4.6) | 1424 (5.4) | 791 (3.7) |
| Partner J | 25946 (13.0) | 12774 (14.7) | 13172 (11.7) | 25578 (53.6) | 12596 (47.4) | 12982 (61.3) |
| Partner K | 117087 (58.7) | 41052 (47.1) | 76035 (67.6) | |||
| COVID Month | ||||||
| August 2021 | 48333 (24.2) | 15273 (17.5) | 33060 (29.4) | 7440 (15.6) | 2893 (10.9) | 4547 (21.5) |
| September 2021 | 45601 (22.9) | 16116 (18.5) | 29485 (26.2) | 7314 (15.3) | 3176 (12.0) | 4138 (19.5) |
| October 2021 | 22949 (11.5) | 9382 (10.8) | 13567 (12.1) | 3482 (7.3) | 1705 (6.4) | 1777 (8.4) |
| November 2021 | 24074 (12.1) | 10202 (11.7) | 13872 (12.3) | 2942 (6.2) | 1505 (5.7) | 1437 (6.8) |
| December 2021 | 23321 (11.7) | 12150 (13.9) | 11171 (9.9) | 7525 (15.8) | 4507 (17.0) | 3018 (14.2) |
| January 2022 | 35220 (17.7) | 23976 (27.5) | 11244 (10.0) | 19049 (39.9) | 12781 (48.1) | 6268 (29.6) |
| Health Status | ||||||
| Immunocompromised | 2153 (1.1) | 1544 (1.8) | 609 (0.5) | 1300 (2.7) | 1009 (3.8) | 291 (1.4) |
| Diabetes (Complicated) | 19805 (9.9) | 11412 (13.1) | 8393 (7.5) | 6715 (14.1) | 4293 (16.2) | 2422 (11.4) |
| Diabetes (Uncomplicated) | 30550 (15.3) | 17044 (19.6) | 13506 (12.0) | 9833 (20.6) | 6106 (23.0) | 3727 (17.6) |
| Kidney Disease | 13211 (6.6) | 8028 (9.2) | 5183 (4.6) | 5259 (11.0) | 3463 (13.0) | 1796 (8.5) |
| Acute Kidney Injury | 7614 (3.8) | 4281 (4.9) | 3333 (3.0) | 3562 (7.5) | 2183 (8.2) | 1379 (6.5) |
| Chronic Lung Disease | 26652 (13.4) | 13964 (16.0) | 12688 (11.3) | 10261 (21.5) | 6089 (22.9) | 4172 (19.7) |
| Tobacco Smoker | 8375 (4.2) | 3205 (3.7) | 5170 (4.6) | 5065 (10.6) | 2061 (7.8) | 3004 (14.2) |
| Heart Failure | 8281 (4.2) | 4925 (5.7) | 3356 (3.0) | 3442 (7.2) | 2199 (8.3) | 1243 (5.9) |
| Myocardial Infarction | 4950 (2.5) | 2726 (3.1) | 2224 (2.0) | 2225 (4.7) | 1314 (4.9) | 911 (4.3) |
| Congestive Heart Failure | 6450 (3.2) | 3932 (4.5) | 2518 (2.2) | 2813 (5.9) | 1827 (6.9) | 986 (4.7) |
Long COVID by Vaccination Status: Measures of Association
| Logistic Regression OR[ | Proportional Hazards HR[ | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| IPTW-Adjusted | Model-Based Cohort | 0.70 (0.65, 0.75) | 0.62 (0.56, 0.69) |
| Clinic-Based Cohort | 0.69 (0.59, 0.82) | 0.66 (0.55, 0.80) | |
| Unadjusted | Model-Based Cohort | 1.04 (0.97, 1.11) | 0.99 (0.90, 1.08) |
| Clinic-Based Cohort | 0.79 (0.68, 0.92) | 0.80 (0.67, 0.95) |
OR: Odds Ratio,
HR: Hazard Ratio
Figure 2.IPTW-Adjusted Kaplan-Meier Curves.
Long COVID events can only be observed in the model-based cohort in 30-day increments, resulting in the observed stair-step structure. A reduced scale is used to highlight the differentiation between the vaccinated and unvaccinated curves.
Figure 3.Sensitivity analysis vaccination coefficients for logistic regression (LR) and proportional hazards (PH).
Odds ratios (OR) are shown for LR, hazard ratios (HR) are shown for PH.
Long COVID by Vaccination Status: Unadjusted Counts
| Model-Based Cohort | Clinic-Based Cohort | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | With Long COVID | Without Long COVID | Overall | With Long COVID | Without Long COVID | |
| Fully Vaccinated | 87,099 (100%) | 1,516 (1.7%) | 85,583 (98.3%) | 26,567 (100%) | 352 (1.3%) | 26,215 (98.7%) |
| Unvaccinated | 112,399 (100%) | 1,889 (1.7%) | 110,510 (98.3%) | 21,185 (100%) | 354 (1.7%) | 20,831 (98.3%) |