| Literature DB >> 36198705 |
Jiachen Li1, Lirong Liang2, Siyu Cao3, Hengmo Rong3, Lin Feng1, Di Zhang1, Shuilian Chu1, Hang Jing1, Zhaohui Tong4.
Abstract
Readmission due to chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbation contributes significantly to disease burden. Trend in readmission rate among COPD patients in China is not well characterized. We described the secular trend and identify risk factors of COPD-related 30-day readmission in Beijing during 2012-2017. In this retrospective cohort study, we used data from a citywide hospital discharge database in Beijing. We included patients ≥ 40 years with a primary diagnosis of COPD from 2012 to 2017. A total of 131 591 index admissions were identified. COPD-related 30-day readmission was defined as the initial admission with a primary diagnosis of COPD that occurs within 30 days from the discharge date of an index admission. Overall and annual 30-day readmission rates were calculated in the total population and subgroups defined by patient characteristics. We used multivariable logistic models to investigate risk factors for readmission and in-hospital mortality within 30 days. The overall 30-day COPD-related readmission rate was 15.8% (n = 20 808). The readmission rate increased from 11.5% in 2012 to 17.2% in 2017, with a multivariable-adjusted OR (95% CI) for annual change to be 1.08 (1.06-1.09) (P trend < 0.001). The upward trend in readmission rate levelled off at about 17% since 2014. The readmission rate of men was higher and increased faster than women. Comorbid osteoporosis, coronary heart disease, congestive heart failure, and cancer were associated with an increased risk of 30-day COPD-related readmission. The 30-day COPD-related readmission rate in Beijing showed an overall increasing trend from 2012 to 2017. Future efforts should be made to further improve care quality and reduce early readmissions of COPD patients.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36198705 PMCID: PMC9534919 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-20884-3
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.996
Figure 1Distribution of time from index discharge to COPD readmission within 30 days.
Characteristics of 30-day readmitted patients during 2012–2017 (n = 20 808).
| Variables | Overall | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | Ptrend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number of readmissions | 20 808 | 2081 | 3173 | 4390 | 3392 | 3809 | 3963 | |
| Readmission rate, % | 15.8% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 17.2% | < 0.001 |
| Male, % | 80.6 | 72.1 | 75.2 | 81.9 | 83.3 | 82.6 | 83.8 | < 0.001 |
| Age (yrs), | 74.7 ± 10.7 | 77.0 ± 9.8 | 75.2 ± 11.0 | 73.7 ± 11.4 | 74.4 ± 10.7 | 74.8 ± 10.3 | 74.4 ± 10.2 | < 0.001 |
| < 0.001 | ||||||||
| 40–55 yrs | 2.8 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1.2 | |
| 55–65 yrs | 18.6 | 9.3 | 14.8 | 22.1 | 22.1 | 19.3 | 18.8 | |
| 65–75 yrs | 22.2 | 19.3 | 18.3 | 18.8 | 21.8 | 25.4 | 28.3 | |
| 75–85 yrs | 37.3 | 47.5 | 42.9 | 36.5 | 34.5 | 34.3 | 33.4 | |
| ≥ 85 yrs | 19.1 | 20.6 | 19.2 | 18.1 | 19.6 | 19.7 | 18.4 | |
| Tertiary Hospital, % | 74.6 | 72.9 | 78.3 | 75.5 | 73.2 | 73.9 | 73.3 | 0.003 |
| < 0.001 | ||||||||
| 0 | 30.4 | 18.5 | 24.2 | 32.5 | 32.9 | 33.9 | 34.0 | |
| 1 | 29.2 | 30.3 | 30.0 | 28.6 | 28.6 | 28.8 | 29.4 | |
| 2 | 19.7 | 24.3 | 21.1 | 18.8 | 19.1 | 18.4 | 18.9 | |
| ≥ 3 | 20.7 | 26.9 | 24.7 | 20.1 | 19.5 | 18.9 | 17.7 | |
| Mechanical ventilation, % | 5.8 | 7.2 | 7.9 | 7.4 | 4.7 | 4.6 | 3.7 | < 0.001 |
| LOHS (days), | 17.8 ± 12.2 | 19.2 ± 15.2 | 18.5 ± 13.6 | 17.9 ± 11.5 | 18.0 ± 13.2 | 16.9 ± 11.0 | 17.2 ± 9.7 | < 0.001 |
| Median hospitalization cost (CNY) | 13,690 | 13,792 | 12,722 | 11,945 | 13,580 | 12,783 | 12,957 | 0.001 |
All costs were adjusted for the increment of inflation.
LOHS, length of hospital stay, CNY Chinese yuan.
Figure 2Gender-specific trends in 30-day COPD readmission rates during 2012–2017. ORs (95% CIs) for change in readmission rates per year were calculated using logistic regression models. Covariates included age, sex (for total population), hospital level, Charlson index, length of hospital stay, and use of mechanical ventilation at index admission.
Comparison of characteristics at index admission between those with and without 30-day COPD readmission (n = 131 591).
| Variables | Overall | With readmission | Without readmission | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number | 131 591 | 20 808 | 110 783 | |
| Male, % | 63.9 | 80.6 | 60.7 | < 0.001 |
| Age (yrs), | 75.2 ± 10.3 | 74.7 ± 10.7 | 75.3 ± 10.2 | < 0.001 |
| < 0.001 | ||||
| 40–55 yrs | 3.7 | 2.8 | 3.9 | |
| 55–65 yrs | 13.7 | 18.7 | 12.7 | |
| 65–75 yrs | 22.0 | 22.3 | 22.0 | |
| 75–85 yrs | 43.2 | 37.3 | 44.2 | |
| ≥ 85 yrs | 17.4 | 18.9 | 17.1 | |
| < 0.001 | ||||
| 0 | 58.0 | 25.1 | 64.2 | |
| 1 | 16.7 | 11.8 | 17.6 | |
| ≥ 2 | 25.3 | 63.1 | 18.2 | |
| Tertiary Hospital, % | 69.3 | 73.5 | 68.5 | < 0.001 |
| < 0.001 | ||||
| 0 | 26.8 | 31.1 | 26.0 | |
| 1 | 32.7 | 30.3 | 33.1 | |
| 2 | 21.0 | 19.0 | 21.3 | |
| ≥ 3 | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.6 | |
| Hypertension | 57.5 | 58.6 | 57.2 | < 0.001 |
| Diabetes | 21.2 | 20.7 | 21.3 | 0.073 |
| Osteoporosis | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.1 | < 0.001 |
| Coronary heart disease | 49.6 | 53.8 | 48.8 | < 0.001 |
| Cerebral vascular disease | 27.1 | 26.6 | 27.2 | 0.099 |
| Congestive heart failure | 16.4 | 15.4 | 16.6 | < 0.001 |
| Anxiety or depression | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 0.159 |
| Cancer | 4.3 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 0.099 |
| Mechanical ventilation, % | 3.5 | 5.3 | 3.1 | < 0.001 |
| LOHS (days), | 13.6 ± 10.1 | 18.2 ± 16.2 | 12.8 ± 8.2 | < 0.001 |
| Median hospitalization cost (CNY) | 12,843 | 13,202 | 12,750 | < 0.001 |
The unit of analysis was hospitalization instead of patient. All costs were adjusted for the increment of inflation.
LOHS length of hospital stay, CNY Chinese yuan.
Multivariable analysis of factors at index admission associated with 30-day COPD readmission risk (n = 131 591).
| Variables | Age and sex adjusted | Multivariable adjusted | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OR (95% CI) | OR (95% CI) | |||
| Male (vs. female) | 2.42 (2.27–2.57) | < 0.001 | 1.89 (1.78–2.00) | < 0.001 |
| Age ≥ 65 yrs (vs. < 65 yrs) | 1.33 (1.24–1.44) | < 0.001 | 1.04 (0.97–1.12) | 0.227 |
| Admission year (per year) | 1.08 (1.06–1.09) | < 0.001 | 1.03 (1.01–1.04) | < 0.001 |
| 1 | 2.27 (2.14–2.41) | < 0.001 | 2.08 (1.96–2.21) | < 0.001 |
| ≥ 2 | 5.67 (5.38–5.97) | < 0.001 | 4.96 (4.72–5.23) | < 0.001 |
| Hospital level (Tertiary vs. Secondary) | 1.23 (1.16–1.31) | < 0.001 | 1.10 (1.04–1.16) | 0.001 |
| 1 | 1.09 (1.02–1.16) | 0.013 | 0.96 (0.90–1.02) | 0.156 |
| 2 | 1.28 (1.19–1.37) | < 0.001 | 0.98 (0.91–1.05) | 0.516 |
| ≥ 3 | 1.55 (1.43–1.67) | < 0.001 | 1.09 (1.01–1.16) | 0.019 |
| Use of mechanical ventilation (vs. not use) | 2.45 (2.20–2.73) | < 0.001 | 1.74 (1.57–1.92) | < 0.001 |
| 11–14 days | 1.34 (1.26–1.42) | < 0.001 | 1.28 (1.21–1.35) | < 0.001 |
| > 14 days | 3.30 (3.12–3.49) | < 0.001 | 2.95 (2.80–3.11) | < 0.001 |
| Hypertension | 1.06 (1.00–1.12) | 0.037 | 1.01 (0.96–1.06) | 0.780 |
| Diabetes | 1.04 (0.97–1.11) | 0.244 | 0.95 (0.89–1.01) | 0.091 |
| Osteoporosis | 1.44 (1.28–1.62) | < 0.001 | 1.14 (1.02–1.27) | 0.019 |
| Coronary heart disease | 1.44 (1.37–1.52) | < 0.001 | 1.16 (1.10–1.22) | < 0.001 |
| Cerebral vascular disease | 1.12 (1.06–1.19) | < 0.001 | 1.05 (0.99–1.11) | 0.070 |
| Congestive heart failure | 1.38 (1.29–1.47) | < 0.001 | 1.09 (1.02–1.16) | 0.007 |
| Anxiety or depression | 1.36 (1.17–1.58) | < 0.001 | 1.13 (0.99–1.30) | 0.078 |
| Cancer | 1.56 (1.39–1.75) | < 0.001 | 1.29 (1.16–1.44) | < 0.001 |
ORs were estimated using logistic models with a random effect to account for multiple hospitalizations of one patient. Multivariable model included age, sex, hospital level, length of hospital stay, Charlson index, use of mechanical ventilation, the frequency of COPD admissions in the previous year, and admission year at index admission.