| Literature DB >> 36180772 |
Marco Delmastro1,2, Marinella Paciello3.
Abstract
The spread of misinformation and conspiracy theories related to COVID-19 has represented one of the several undesirable effects of the current pandemic. In understanding why people can be more or less at risk to believe in misinformation, emotional distress and education could play a crucial role. The present study aims to analyze the relationship among depressive symptoms, education, and beliefs in misinformation about COVID-19 during the early phase of the pandemic. We do this through a cross-sectional study carried out on a random and representative sample of the Italian population that allows us to go and verify the co-evolution of many factors: i.e., beliefs in misinformation, symptoms of depression, perceptions about COVID-19, ways in which citizens got informed about the pandemic, and sociodemographic characteristics (e.g., age, gender, education). The results show that the relationship between depression and beliefs in misinformation exists and is more complex than hypothesized because it is mediated by individual perceptions. In particular, the most at-risk people to believe in misinformation show higher bias perceptions, higher depression, and lower education. Practical implications are discussed suggesting a supportive intervention at both individual and social levels.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36180772 PMCID: PMC9524309 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-20640-7
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Sci Rep ISSN: 2045-2322 Impact factor: 4.996
Result of probit panel data models.
| Categories | Model | (1) | (2) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Variables | Belief in fake news | ||
| Socio-demo | Gender (female = 1) | 0.0551* | 0.0748** |
| (0.0311) | (0.0306) | ||
| Socio-demo | Age (number of years) | 0.000178 | − 0.000957 |
| (0.000979) | (0.000963) | ||
| Socio-demo | Living alone (= 1) | 0.0935** | 0.106** |
| (0.0450) | (0.0444) | ||
| Socio-demo | Education (6 degrees, increasing order) | − 0.0712*** | − 0.0586*** |
| (0.0196) | (0.0192) | ||
| News about COVID-19 | Number of news sources (0–22) | − 0.0105** | − 0.00547 |
| (0.00434) | (0.00424) | ||
| News about COVID-19 | Non-traditional news outlets (= 1) | 0.257*** | 0.137*** |
| (traditional sources = benchmark) | (0.0526) | (0.0522) | |
| News about COVID-19 | Algorithmic news sources (= 1) | 0.115** | 0.0137 |
| (traditional sources = benchmark) | (0.0582) | (0.0580) | |
| News about COVID-19 | Institutional news sources (= 1) | − 0.117*** | − 0.0770** |
| (traditional sources = benchmark) | (0.0329) | (0.0323) | |
| Perception about COVID-19 | Bias in perception | 0.899*** | |
| (index: 0–1) | (0.0739) | ||
| Health | Mood (SMQF, 0–26) | 0.00808** | 0.00129 |
| (> 11 clinical depression) | (0.00323) | (0.00319) | |
| Health | COVID-19 in family (= 1) | 0.138** | 0.0655 |
| (0.0609) | (0.0594) | ||
| Constant | 0.119 | − 0.0905 | |
| (0.137) | (0.135) | ||
| Geographic controls | YES | YES | |
| News controls | YES | YES | |
| Observations | 13,572 | 13,572 | |
| Number of individuals | 4524 | 4524 | |
*The estimates in the table refer to probit panel data models, with robust standard errors. The dependent variable is 1 when the individual erroneously believes in fake news. For each variable, the coefficient, the standard error (in parentheses), and the level of significance are reported as follows: *** significant at 99%; ** significant at 95%.
Probabilities of believing in misinformation for different categories of citizens.
| Probability of believing in misinformation (%) | ||
|---|---|---|
| Benchmark case* | 42.5 | |
| Socio-demo | Living alone (= 1) | 45.6 |
| Socio-demo | Education min (no degree) | 49.6 |
| Education mean (high school) | 42.5 | |
| Education max (post-grad) | 37.9 | |
| News about COVID-19 | Number of news sources: min (0) | 45.6 |
| Number of news sources: mean (9) | 42.5 | |
| Number of news sources: max (22) | 38.1 | |
| News about COVID-19 | Traditional news sources | 42.5 |
| Non-traditional news sources | 51.0 | |
| Institutional news sources | 38.7 | |
| Health | Good mood (SMFQ = 0) | 39.4 |
| Mood just above threeshold (SMFQ = 12) | 42.5 | |
| Maximum depression (SMFQ = 26) | 46.2 | |
| Health | Covid-19 (= 1) | 47.1 |
*The estimates in the table refer to a probit panel data model (i.e., model I Table 1), with robust standard errors. The benchmark case has been calculated as follows: average age (i.e., years = 49), living in a family, high-school education, average number of news sources on COVID-19 (i.e., 9), SMFQ index = 12, no COVID-19 in family.
Probabilities of believing in misinformation for types of citizens.
| Type of individual | Characteristics | Probability of believing in misinformation (%) |
|---|---|---|
| Type A | Max education, living in family, good mood, get informed from many sources | 27.4 |
| Benchmark | Average education, living in family, few symptoms of depression, got informed from few sources | 42.5 |
| Type B | No education, living alone, symptoms of depression, got informed from only non traditionional sources | 71.3 |
*The estimates in the table refer to a probit panel data model (i.e., model I Table 1), with robust standard errors.
Figure 1Boxplot of the mood (i.e., SMFQ index) for two categories of individuals: those who believe in a conspiracy theory about COVID-19 (CT) and those who don't (No CT).
Figure 2Relationship between bias in perception and probability in believing in misinformation. *Note The estimates in the figure refer to a probit panel data model (i.e., Model II of Table 1), with robust standard errors.