| Literature DB >> 36002213 |
Ruth Topless1, Ralph Green2, Sarah L Morgan3, Philip Robinson4, Tony Merriman1,3, Angelo L Gaffo5,6.
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: To determine if methotrexate or folic acid prescription was associated with differential risk for COVID-19 diagnosis or mortality.Entities:
Keywords: COVID-19; epidemiology; rheumatology
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 36002213 PMCID: PMC9412040 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062945
Source DB: PubMed Journal: BMJ Open ISSN: 2044-6055 Impact factor: 3.006
Figure 1Flow schematic of study design.BMI, body mass index.
Figure 2Data sources of COVID-19-diagnosed individuals. Of the 26 033 COVID-19-diagnosed individuals, 25 300 were identified from positive SARS-Cov-2 test results (21 705 unique to this group), 4170 identified from hospital records (650 unique to this group) and 820 identified from death records (51 unique to this group). Overall, 217 diagnosed after 13 October 2021 (30 days before the last recorded death) were removed from the case only analysis in online supplemental table S4 given the unknown outcome.
Study population in the UK Biobank, restricted to those with data on prescriptions
| Demographic | All, | COVID-19 diagnosis, N=26 033 | No COVID-19 diagnosis, N=354 347 | COVID-19-related death, N=820 | No COVID-19-related death, N=379 560 |
| <60 years of age, n(%) | 69 849 (18.36) | 7937 (30.49) | 61 912 (17.47) | 26 (3.17) | 69 823 (18.4) |
| 60–70 years of age, n(%) | 120 013 (31.55) | 8568 (32.91) | 111 445 (31.45) | 129 (15.73) | 119 884 (31.58) |
| 70–75 years of age, n(%) | 90 627 (23.83) | 4569 (17.55) | 86 058 (24.29) | 171 (20.85) | 90 456 (23.83) |
| >75 years of age, n(%) | 99 891 (26.26) | 4959 (19.05) | 94 932 (26.79) | 494 (60.24) | 99 397 (26.19) |
| Female sex, n(%) | 211 363 (55.57) | 13 802 (53.02) | 197 561 (55.75) | 286 (34.88) | 211 077 (55.61) |
| White British, n(%) | 357 620 (94.02) | 23 807 (91.45) | 333 813 (94.21) | 744 (90.73) | 356 876 (94.02) |
| Black British, n(%) | 9826 (2.58) | 1021 (3.92) | 8805 (2.48) | 36 (4.39) | 9790 (2.58) |
| Asian British, n(%) | 7329 (1.93) | 732 (2.81) | 6597 (1.86) | 25 (3.05) | 7304 (1.92) |
| Other ethnicity, n(%) | 5605 (1.47) | 473 (1.82) | 5132 (1.45) | 15 (1.83) | 5590 (1.47) |
| Prescribed methotrexate only, n(%) | 174 (0.05) | 11 (0.04) | 163 (0.05) | 0 (0) | 174 (0.05) |
| Prescribed folic acid only, n(%) | 12 433 (3.27) | 1273 (4.89) | 11 160 (3.15) | 120 (14.63) | 12 313 (3.24) |
| Prescribed methotrexate and folic acid, n(%) | 3952 (1.04) | 287 (1.1) | 3665 (1.03) | 11 (1.34) | 3941 (1.04) |
| Prescribed neither methotrexate nor folic acid, n(%) | 363 821 (95.65) | 24 462 (93.97) | 339 359 (95.77) | 689 (84.02) | 363 132 (95.67) |
| Rheumatoid arthritis, n(%) | 999 (0.26) | 97 (0.37) | 902 (0.25) | 8 (0.98) | 991 (0.26) |
| Sickle cell disease, n(%) | 517 (0.14) | 51 (0.2) | 466 (0.13) | 2 (0.24) | 515 (0.14) |
| Prescribed anticonvulsant medication, n(%) | 1642 (0.43) | 120 (0.46) | 1522 (0.43) | 10 (1.22) | 1632 (0.43) |
| Prescribed statins, n(%) | 156 064 (41.03) | 10 398 (39.94) | 145 666 (41.11) | 521 (63.54) | 155 543 (40.98) |
| Prescribed iron supplements, n(%) | 18 471 (4.86) | 1661 (6.38) | 16 810 (4.74) | 106 (12.93) | 18 365 (4.84) |
| Body mass index, mean(SD) | 27.41 (4.76) | 28.12 (5.03) | 27.35 (4.74) | 30.21 (5.79) | 27.4 (4.76) |
| Townsend deprivation index, mean (SD) | −1.35 (3.04) | −0.9 (3.18) | −1.39 (3.03) | −0.28 (3.4) | −1.36 (3.04) |
| Never smoked, n(%) | 210 993 (55.47) | 13 990 (53.74) | 197 003 (55.6) | 321 (39.15) | 210 672 (55.5) |
| Current smoker, n(%) | 132 222 (34.76) | 9262 (35.58) | 122 960 (34.7) | 384 (46.83) | 131 838 (34.73) |
| Former smoker, n(%) | 37 165 (9.77) | 2781 (10.68) | 34 384 (9.7) | 115 (14.02) | 37 050 (9.76) |
Association with a diagnosis of COVID-19.
COVID-19 diagnosis in people prescribed methotrexate and/or folic acid in the UKBB, compared with people not prescribed methotrexate or folic acid
| Unadjusted | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||||
| OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value | OR (95% CI) | P value | |
| Neither folic acid nor methotrexate, N=363 821 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – |
| Folic acid only, N=12 433 | 1.58 (1.49 to 1.68) | <0.001 | 1.60 (1.50 to 1.70) | <0.001 | 1.51 (1.42 to 1.61) | <0.001 |
| Methotrexate only, N=174 | 0.94 (0.51 to 1.72) | 0.83 | 0.89 (0.48 to 1.65) | 0.72 | 0.86 (0.47 to 1.6) | 0.64 |
| Methotrexate and folic acid, N=3952 | 1.09 (0.96 to 1.23) | 0.18 | 1.15 (1.02 to 1.30) | 0.021 | 1.09 (0.96 to 1.23) | 0.18 |
Model 1 adjusted for age group, sex, ethnicity, Townsend deprivation index, body mass index, smoking status.
Model 2 is model 1 plus adjustment by the presence of rheumatoid arthritis, sickle cell disease, use of statins, anticonvulsants and iron supplementation.
The association of prescription of methotrexate and folic acid with COVID-19-related death in the UK Biobank
| Unadjusted | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||||
| OR, (95% CI) | P value | OR, (95% CI) | P value | OR, (95% CI) | P value | |
| Neither folic acid nor methotrexate, N=363 821 | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – | 1.0 | – |
| Folic acid only, N=12 433 | 5.14 (4.23 to 6.24) | <0.001 | 2.91 (2.38 to 3.55) | <0.001 | 2.64 (2.15 to 3.24) | <0.001 |
| Methotrexate and folic acid, N=3952 | 1.47 (0.81 to 2.67) | 0.21 | 1.26 (0.70 to 2.30) | 0.44 | 1.07 (0.57 to 1.98) | 0.84 |
Model 1 adjusted for age group, sex, ethnicity, Townsend deprivation index, body mass index, smoking status.
Model 2 is model 1 plus adjustment by the presence of rheumatoid arthritis, sickle cell disease, use of statins, anticonvulsants and iron supplementation.
*There were no deaths in the group of participants taking only methotrexate without folate.