| Literature DB >> 35933610 |
Salih Ibrahem1, Hussien Ahmed2, Suhair Zangana3.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is mainly a disease of the elderly in the Western world, but its characteristics are changing globally. Iraq does not have a well established CRC screening program. Understanding trends of CRC incidence, fatality and the clinical features of CRC patients is vital to the design of effective public health measures; public awareness, screening, diagnosis and treatment strategies to meet the future demands.Entities:
Mesh:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35933610 PMCID: PMC9357297 DOI: 10.5144/0256-4947.2022.252
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Ann Saudi Med ISSN: 0256-4947 Impact factor: 1.707
The clinicopathological characteristics of the study subjects (20 880 colorectal cancer patients) who developed the disease over the last 20 years from 2000-2019.
| Age range (years) | 14–80 |
| Age groups | |
| <50 years | 6969 (33.4) |
| >50 years | 13911 (66.6) |
| Sex | |
| Male | 11333 (54.3) |
| Female | 9547 (45.7) |
| CRC Cl P/105 population | |
| 2000 | 2.28 |
| 2019 | 6.12 |
| All Cancer Cl P/105 population | |
| 2000 | 52 |
| 2019 | 91.7 |
| Overall percentage change in CIP between 2000–2019 | |
| CRC | 171 |
| All cancer | 76.3 |
| CRC CMP/105 population | |
| 2010 | 1.25 |
| 2019 | 1.77 |
| All Cancer CMP/105 population | |
| 2010 | 28.35 |
| 2019 | 28.0 |
| Percentage change in CMP between 2010-2019 | |
| CRC | 41.6 |
| All cancer | −1.24 |
| CRC CMP/CIP | |
| 2010 | 0.42 |
| 2019 | 0.29 |
| Topography of the tumors (primary site) | |
| Colon (C18) | 13774 (66) |
| Rectum (C20) | 6379 (30.5) |
| Rectosigmoid (C19) | 727 (3.5) |
| Morphology of tumors (histology) | |
| Adenocarcinoma | 17268 (82.7) |
| Mucinous adenocarcinoma | 593 (2.85) |
| Epithelial tumors | 449 (2.15) |
| Carcinoid tumors | 104 (0.5) |
| Other types or cases without histology report | 2466 (11.8) |
Data are n (%) unless noted otherwise. CIP=Crude Incidence Proportion per 100 000 population. CMP =Crude Mortality Proportion per 100 000 population
Linear regression statistical analysis of CRC incidence proportion trend and the change in percentage of CRC to all malignancies in male, female and in both over 20 years from 2000–2019.
| Dependent variable (IP and %) | Independent variable | Constant b0 | Coefficient b1 | Standard error | 95% Cl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All IP | Years | 1.56 | 0.160 | 0.6211 | 4.4 – 10.07 | <.001 |
| Male IP | Years | 1.83 | 0.156 | 0.6138 | 4.2 – 9.84 | <.001 |
| Female IP | Years | 1.34 | 0.158 | 0.5469 | 4.7–10.30 | <.001 |
| Both % | Years | 4.35 | 0.190 | 0.2094 | −2.11 –2.31 | <.001 |
| Male % | Years | 4.59 | 0.208 | 0.1847 | −2.45–1.98 | <.001 |
| Female % | Years | 4.06 | 0.177 | 0.2747 | −1.74–2.68 | <.001 |
The results of linear regression statistical analysis of CRC age-specific incidence proportion (ASIP) trend over 20 years from 2000-2019 for males and females.
| Dependent variable (age group) | Independent variable | Constant b0 | Coefficient b1 | Standard error | 95% Cl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20–29 | Years | 1.26 | 0.0767 | 0.2025 | 5.7 − 11.21 | <.001 |
| 30–39 | Years | 2.57 | 0.570 | 0.5482 | 2.7 – 8.40 | <.001 |
| 40–49 | Years | 4.79 | 0.702 | 1.686 | −5.0 – 1.7 | <.001 |
| 50–59 | Years | 15.6 | 1.21 | 4.920 | −22.6 – –13.1 | <.001 |
| 60–69 | Years | 22.1 | 2.93 | 7.829 | −51.5 – –33.1 | <.001 |
| >70 | Years | 18.2 | 2.05 | 14.25 | −38.3 – –20.3 | <.002 |
| <50 | Years | 1.04 | 0.144 | 0.2311 | 5.2 – 10.75 | <.001 |
| >50 | Years | 8.23 | 1.22 | 3.510 | −15.0 – –6.0 | <.001 |
Statistical analysis of CRC mortality proportion (MP) trend and the change in percentage (%) of CRC mortality to all malignancies deaths in males, females and in both over 10 years from 2010–2019. We also calculated the change in the mortality proportion to incidence proportion (MP to IP) over the same period.
| Dependent variable (MP and %, CMP to CIP) | Independent variable | Constant b0 | Coefficient b1 | Standard error | 95% Cl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MP both sexes | Years | 1.21 | 0.0322 | 0.1839 | 1.94 – 6.285 | .150 |
| Male MP | Years | 1.41 | 0.0226 | 0.2197 | 1.79 – 6.136 | .377 |
| Female MP | Years | 1.09 | 0.0347 | 0.1411 | 2.05 – 6.385 | .056 |
| % both sexes | Years | 4.35 | 0.190 | 0.2094 | −2.11 – 2.31 | <.001 |
| Male % | Years | 4.59 | 0.208 | 0.1847 | −2.45 – 1.98 | <.001 |
| Female % | Years | 4.06 | 0.177 | 0.2747 | −1.74 – 2.68 | <.001 |
| MP both sexes to IP | Years | 0.436 | 0.0167 | 0.0327 | 2.99 – 7.32 | .0004 |
| Male MP to IP | Years | 0.469 | 0.0188 | 0.0411 | 2.97 – 7.30 | .0030 |
| Female MP to IP | Years | 0.433 | 0.0164 | 0.0259 | 2.99 – 7.32 | .0004 |
Statistical analysis of sex-specific differences in anatomic location of CRC (colon, rectum and colorectal junction) from 2020–2019.
| Dependent variable (anatomic site) | Independent variable | Constant b0 | Coefficient b1 | Standard Error | 95% Cl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colon (both) | Years | 65.6 | 0.0380 | 3.382 | −57.65 – −53.40 | .680 |
| Rectum (both) | Years | 31.9 | −0.114 | 3.188 | −56.81 – −52.45 | .200 |
| Colorectal junction (both) | Years | 2.20 | 0.117 | 1.273 | 5.15 – 8.99 | .002 |
| Colon (males) | Years | 64.3 | 0.082 | 3.803 | −57.8 – −51.44 | .586 |
| Rectum (males) | Years | 33.5 | −0.191 | 3.640 | −24.2 – −17.84 | .193 |
| Rectosigmoid junction (males) | Years | 2.18 | 0.107 | 1.246 | 5.29 – 9.11 | .003 |
| Colon (females) | Years | 66.4 | 0.0610 | 3.408 | −58.68 – −54.41 | .518 |
| Rectum (females) | Years | 30.4 | 0.0395 | 3.328 | −21.09 – −16.84 | .333 |
| Rectosigmoid junction (females) | Years | 3.10 | 0.0423 | 1.085 | −23.21 – −18.85 | .164 |
Changes in frequency of histological types of CRC over 20-year period (separate data regarding each primary site histopathological type are not available in the INCR annual reports).
| Year | Adenocarcinoma (%) | Epithelial tumor (%) | Mucinous adenocarcinoma (%) | Carcinoid tumors (%) | No report and other types (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 85.3 | 4.81 | 1.92 | 1.6 | 6.37 |
| 2001 | 77.89 | 3.86 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 14.65 |
| 2002 | 72.97 | 2.2 | 3.93 | 0 | 20.9 |
| 2003 | 77.96 | 0.65 | 3.56 | 0.32 | 17.51 |
| 2004 | 76.88 | 5.13 | 0.93 | 0.47 | 16.59 |
| 2005 | 87 | 5.1 | 1.5 | 0 | 6.4 |
| 2006 | 83 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 0.22 | 11.08 |
| 2007 | 81.8 | 3 | 3.5 | 0.83 | 10.87 |
| 2008 | 89 | 2 | 1.56 | 0.75 | 6.69 |
| 2009 | 89 | 4 | 2.6 | 0.14 | 4.26 |
| 2010 | 79 | 1 | 3.2 | 0.6 | 16.2 |
| 2011 | 73 | 1.4 | 3.09 | 0.67 | 21.84 |
| 2012 | 78 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 0.43 | 15.97 |
| 2013 | 81 | 2 | 3.9 | 0.45 | 12.65 |
| 2014 | 73 | 2.3 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 23.8 |
| 2015 | 93 | 0 | 3.6 | 0.3 | 3.1 |
| 2016 | 93.25 | 1.57 | 2.83 | 0.2 | 2.15 |
| 2017 | 84 | 0 | 4.8 | 0.46 | 10.74 |
| 2018 | 88.12 | 0 | 2.8 | 0 | 9.08 |
| 2019 | 90 | 0 | 3.54 | 0 | 6.46 |
The results of statistical analysis of CRC histological types percentage over 20 years from 2020-2019 in males and females (crudes), here we selected five histological types only since other types have very small contribution.
| Dependent variable (histological type) | Independent variable | Constant b0 | Coefficient b1 | Standard error | 95% Cl | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adenocarcionoma | Years | 78 | 0.442 | 6.139 | −76.1 – 68.2 | <.001 |
| Epithelial tumors | Years | 4.33 | −0.208 | 1.220 | 5.5 – 11.21 | <.001 |
| Mucinous tumors | Years | 2.16 | 0.064 | 1.136 | 4.8 – 10.47 | .164 |
| Carcinoid tumors | Years | 0.906 | −0.0395 | 0.438 | 7.2 – 12.79 | .032 |
| Other types or no reports | Years | 14.6 | −0.258 | 6.383 | −5.3 – −2.6 | .311 |