| Literature DB >> 35925458 |
Waseem Azam1, Irfan Khan2, Syed Ahtsham Ali3.
Abstract
The global community is concerned about several environmental changes. Climate change, desertification, destruction of tropical rainforests, erosion of coastal ecosystems, soil resource loss, overfishing, species extinction, and loss of biodiversity are all contributing factors. Many commentators contend that these issues make up a cumulative, sustained human impact on the environment that has profoundly changed the surface of the Earth. We explore the effects of alternative energy sources, natural resources, and government consumption expenditures on French environmental sustainability from 1990 through 2018 under the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) framework. We apply advanced econometric methodologies for empirical analysis. Our long-run estimates indicate that alternative and nuclear energy, natural resources, and government final consumption expenditures are negatively associated with CO2 emissions, while economic growth is positively related to CO2 emissions. CO2 emissions are negatively correlated with the square root of economic growth (EKC), thereby supporting EKC. As economic growth increases, environmental sustainability deteriorates. Eventually, EKC will make a positive contribution to environmental improvement. Future research directions, research limitations, and policy implications are discussed.Entities:
Keywords: Alternative energy; EKC; Environmental sustainability; France; Government expenditure
Year: 2022 PMID: 35925458 PMCID: PMC9362472 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-22334-z
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ISSN: 0944-1344 Impact factor: 5.190
Descriptive analysis
| Variables | CO2 | ALTER | NATURAL | GOVER | GDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mean | 0.749902 | 1.651810 | − 1.257380 | 11.65482 | 4.494741 |
| Median | 0.771847 | 1.653012 | − 1.284770 | 11.68803 | 4.528161 |
| Maximum | 0.812976 | 1.704564 | − 0.963065 | 11.83766 | 4.656425 |
| Minimum | 0.662038 | 1.581962 | − 1.438622 | 11.42922 | 4.335960 |
| Std. Dev. | 0.047090 | 0.030467 | 0.110085 | 0.144901 | 0.116438 |
| CO2 | 1.0000 | ||||
| ALTER | − 0.8378 | 1.0000 | |||
| NATURAL | 0.5738 | − 0.7858 | 1.0000 | ||
| GOVER | − 0.8092 | 0.7714 | − 0.6952 | 1.0000 | |
| GDP | − 0.7662 | 0.7187 | − 0.6594 | 0.9942 | 1.0000 |
Fig. 1Raw data multiple graphs
ADF and PP unit-root tests
| ADF At level | CO2 | ALTER | NATURAL | GOVER | GDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| With constant | t-Statistic | 0.0290 | − 1.5204 | − 2.8415 | − 1.2795 | − 1.0211 |
| Prob. | 0.9537 | 0.5077 | 0.0654 | 0.6240 | 0.7315 | |
| With constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 2.0426 | − 3.0442 | − 3.3169 | − 2.1076 | − 2.5255 |
| Prob. | 0.5537 | 0.1387 | 0.0849 | 0.5188 | 0.3141 | |
| Without constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 1.5570 | 2.1653 | 1.0192 | 1.9882 | 1.4488 |
| Prob. | 0.1105 | 0.9907 | 0.9146 | 0.9865 | 0.9598 | |
| ADF at first difference | ||||||
| d(CO2) | d(ALTER) | d(NATURAL) | d(GOVER) | d(GDP) | ||
| With constant | t-Statistic | − 6.5506*** | − 4.7596*** | − 4.9957*** | − 3.7573** | − 4.1921** |
| Prob. | 0.0000 | 0.0008 | 0.0004 | 0.0087 | 0.0031 | |
| With constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 6.4915*** | − 4.6884** | − 4.9205** | − 3.7317* | − 4.1306* |
| Prob. | 0.0001 | 0.0048 | 0.0026 | 0.0372 | 0.0159 | |
| Without constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 5.7322*** | − 5.1777*** | − 4.9846*** | − 3.4397** | − 3.9764*** |
| Prob. | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0013 | 0.0003 | |
| PP at level | ||||||
| CO2 | ALTER | NATURAL | GOVER | GDP | ||
| With constant | t-Statistic | 0.4023 | − 1.6287 | − 3.0063* | − 1.1807 | − 1.0713 |
| Prob. | 0.9794 | 0.4552 | 0.0465 | 0.6683 | 0.7127 | |
| With constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 2.0106 | − 3.0076 | − 3.7691* | − 1.6854 | − 1.7739 |
| Prob. | 0.5705 | 0.1479 | 0.0338 | 0.7309 | 0.6902 | |
| Without constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 1.8653* | 2.1161 | 1.8378 | 1.7582 | 1.3373 |
| Prob. | 0.0601 | 0.9898 | 0.9815 | 0.9781 | 0.9506 | |
| PP at first difference | ||||||
| d(CO2) | d(ALTER) | d(NATURAL) | d(GOVER) | d(GDP) | ||
| With constant | t-Statistic | − 6.5506*** | − 5.9708*** | − 5.9263*** | − 3.7098** | − 4.1401** |
| Prob. | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0098 | 0.0035 | |
| With constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 6.4915*** | − 5.9475*** | − 5.8648*** | − 3.6768* | − 4.0666* |
| Prob. | 0.0001 | 0.0002 | 0.0003 | 0.0417 | 0.0183 | |
| Without constant & trend | t-Statistic | − 5.6851*** | − 5.1777*** | − 5.4187*** | − 3.3971** | − 3.9746*** |
| Prob. | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0000 | 0.0015 | 0.0003 | |
*** Significant at the 1%; ** significant at the 5%; * significant at the 10%
Johansen co-integration test.
| Hypothesized no. of CE(s) | Eigenvalue | Trace statistic | Critical value | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None** | 0.741374 | 85.40922 | 69.81889 | 0.0017 |
| At most 1* | 0.601010 | 48.89514 | 47.85613 | 0.0398 |
| At most 2 | 0.443438 | 24.08702 | 29.79707 | 0.1968 |
| At most 3 | 0.263563 | 8.265625 | 15.49471 | 0.4374 |
| At most 4 | 0.000202 | 0.005460 | 3.841466 | 0.9404 |
| Eigenvalue | Max-Eigen statistic | Critical value | Prob. | |
| None* | 0.741374 | 36.51407 | 33.87687 | 0.0237 |
| At most 1 | 0.601010 | 24.80813 | 27.58434 | 0.1089 |
| At most 2 | 0.443438 | 15.82139 | 21.13162 | 0.2355 |
| At most 3 | 0.263563 | 8.260164 | 14.26460 | 0.3529 |
| At most 4 | 0.000202 | 0.005460 | 3.841466 | 0.9404 |
** Significant at the 5%; * significant at the 10%
Long-run results
| Variables/Methods | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FMOLS | ||||
| ALTER | − 0.774138* | 0.345774 | − 2.238858 | 0.0351 |
| NATURAL | − 0.141774* | 0.069370 | − 2.043745 | 0.0526 |
| GOVER | − 0.986933* | 0.435373 | − 2.266867 | 0.0331 |
| GDP | 5.007529** | 1.603211 | 3.123437 | 0.0048 |
| GDPS | − 0.452799** | 0.123352 | − 3.670772 | 0.0013 |
| GLM | ||||
| ALTER | − 0.668048* | 0.296209 | − 2.255329 | 0.0241 |
| NATURAL | − 0.120811* | 0.055583 | − 2.173502 | 0.0297 |
| GOVER | − 1.039104** | 0.365771 | − 2.840857 | 0.0045 |
| GDP | 5.125867*** | 1.342148 | 3.819152 | 0.0001 |
| GDPS | − 0.456445*** | 0.103300 | − 4.418609 | 0.0000 |
*** Significant at the 1%; ** significant at the 5%; * significant at the 10%
Robust long-run estimates
| Variables/Methods | Coefficient | Std. Error | t-Statistic | Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robust least squares | ||||
| ALTER | − 0.661481* | 0.312285 | − 2.118193 | 0.0342 |
| NATURAL | − 0.085454 | 0.058600 | − 1.458252 | 0.1448 |
| GOVER | − 1.151655** | 0.385624 | − 2.986475 | 0.0028 |
| GDP | 5.581773*** | 1.414993 | 3.944734 | 0.0001 |
| GDPS | − 0.491162*** | 0.108907 | − 4.509918 | 0.0000 |
| GMM | ||||
| ALTER | − 0.601793* | 0.333299 | − 1.805565 | 0.0835 |
| NATURAL | − 0.092116 | 0.059333 | − 1.552518 | 0.1336 |
| GOVER | − 1.069187** | 0.285899 | − 3.739743 | 0.0010 |
| GDP | 5.202729*** | 1.122467 | 4.635085 | 0.0001 |
| GDPS | − 0.459616*** | 0.089082 | − 5.159484 | 0.0000 |
*** Significant at the 1%; ** significant at the 5%; * significant at the 10%
Fig. 2First vs. all multiple graphs
Fig. 3Lower triangular matrix
Pairwise Granger causality tests
| Variables | CO2 | ALTER | NATURAL | GOVER | GDP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CO2 | – | 0.01309 (0.9098) | 1.88332 (0.1821) | 6.04109* (0.0213) | 5.47914* (0.0275) |
| ALTER | 2.02442 (0.1671) | – | 3.20336* (0.0856) | 1.50043 (0.2320) | 0.84796 (0.3659) |
| NATURAL | 3.18997* (0.0862) | 7.30697* (0.0122) | – | 1.35591 (0.2552) | 0.88436 (0.3560) |
| GOVER | 0.36428 (0.5516) | 0.11031 (0.7426) | 0.21326 (0.6482) | – | 0.00023 (0.9879) |
| GDP | 0.06000 (0.8085) | 0.70596 (0.4088) | 0.95352 (0.3382) | 0.45068 (0.5082) | – |
*Significant at the 10%