| Literature DB >> 35876163 |
Naomi S Prosser1, Edward M Hill2,3, Derek Armstrong4,5, Lorna Gow4,5, Michael J Tildesley2,3, Matt J Keeling2,3, Jasmeet Kaler1, Eamonn Ferguson6, Martin J Green1.
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Bovine viral diarrhoea virus (BVDV) causes substantial economic losses to the cattle industry; however, control and eradication can be achieved by identifying and removing persistently infected cattle from the herd. Each UK nation has separate control programmes. The English scheme, BVDFree, started in 2016 and is voluntary.Entities:
Keywords: BVDFree England; antibody testing; bovine viral diarrhoea; disease eradication scheme; virus testing
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35876163 PMCID: PMC9546236 DOI: 10.1002/vetr.1854
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Vet Rec ISSN: 0042-4900 Impact factor: 2.560
FIGURE 1Number of holdings recruited to BVDFree for the first time (recruited) and total number of holdings submitting test results to BVDFree (tested) per calendar year. There are 5611 holdings in total
FIGURE 2Locations of 5611 herds submitting tests to BVDFree each year for 2016–2020
Results of a generalised logistic mixed‐effects model to identify factors associated with virus testing (compared with antibody testing) for bovine viral diarrhoea virus in 2746 cattle herds from 2016 to 2020 (a total of 5139 herd‐years)
| All herds | Virus testing herds | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed effects |
| % |
| % | OR | 95% CI |
|
| Year of test | |||||||
| 2016 | 189 | 3.7 | 137 | 72.5 | 1.00 | ||
| 2017 | 513 | 10.0 | 349 | 68.0 | 0.73 | 0.35–1.51 | 0.390 |
| 2018 | 891 | 17.3 | 464 | 52.1 |
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| 2019 | 1762 | 34.3 | 493 | 28.0 |
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| 2020 | 1784 | 34.7 | 886 | 49.7 |
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| Herd type | |||||||
| Beef | 2591 | 50.4 | 960 | 37.1 | 1.00 | ||
| Dairy | 2548 | 49.6 | 1369 | 53.7 |
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Note: N = number of herd/year combinations, % = percent of herd/year combinations that are in a fixed effect from all herd/year combinations (all herds) and that are virus tested from all herd/year combinations in a fixed effect (virus testing herds). Significant terms (p < 0.05) are in bold.
Abbreviations: OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, Wald's 95% confidence interval.
FIGURE 3Percentage of antibody or virus testing beef breeder herds (red circles) or dairy herds (blue triangles) positive for bovine viral diarrhoea antibody or virus with binomial 95% confidence interval error bars
FIGURE 4Proportion of beef breeding and dairy herds in each region of England testing positive for bovine viral diarrhoea (BVD) virus or antibody in 2019 and 2020, with binomial 95% confidence intervals below. Darker red shading corresponds to a higher proportion of herds testing positive for BVD virus or antibody
FIGURE 5Percentage of individual bovine viral diarrhoea virus tests returning a positive result for all virus testing herds (red triangles) and virus‐positive herds (blue circles) each calendar year. Error bars represent the binomial 95% confidence interval
FIGURE 6Percentage of individual bovine viral diarrhoea antibody tests returning a positive result for all antibody testing herds (red triangles) and antibody‐positive herds (blue circles) each calendar year. Error bars represent the binomial 95% confidence interval
Results of a generalised logistic mixed‐effects model to identify factors associated with submitting (as opposed to not submitting) bovine viral diarrhoea tests to BVDFree the following year from 2016 to 2019 in 2222 herds (a total of 3355 herd‐years)
| All herds | Herds testing the next year | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fixed effects |
| % |
| % | OR | 95% CI |
|
| Number of years submitting tests | 3359 | 100.0 | 3359 | 100.0 |
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| Proportion of years positive | 3359 | 100.0 | 3359 | 100.0 |
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| ln(herd size) | 3359 | 100.0 | 3359 | 100.0 |
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| Year | |||||||
| 2016 | 189 | 5.6 | 122 | 64.6 | 1.00 | ||
| 2017 | 513 | 15.3 | 409 | 79.7 |
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| 2018 | 892 | 26.6 | 712 | 79.8 |
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| 2019 | 1765 | 52.5 | 1137 | 64.4 | 1.10 | 0.78–1.55 | 0.584 |
| Type of testing | |||||||
| Antibody | 1915 | 57.0 | 1179 | 61.6 | 1.00 | ||
| Virus | 1444 | 43.0 | 1201 | 83.2 |
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Note: N = number of herd/year combinations, % = percent of herd/year combinations that are in a fixed effect from all herd/year combinations (all herds) and that test the next year from all herd/year combinations in a fixed effect (herds testing the next year). OR (for continuous fixed effects this is for an additional year submitting tests, for a change in proportion of years positive from 0 to 1, and for an increase in 1 of the natural log of the herd size). Significant terms (p < 0.05) are in bold.
Abbreviations: OR, odds ratio; 95% CI, Wald's 95% confidence interval.