| Literature DB >> 35822264 |
Tiago da Silva Santos1, Liliana Fonseca1, Sílvia Santos Monteiro1, Diana Borges Duarte1, Ana Martins Lopes1, André Couto de Carvalho1, Maria João Oliveira2, Teresa Borges2, Francisco Laranjeira3, María Luz Couce4, Maria Helena Cardoso1.
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: MODY probability calculator (MPC) represents an easy-to-use tool developed by Exeter University to help clinicians prioritize which individuals should be oriented to genetic testing. We aimed to assess the utility of MPC in a Portuguese cohort with early-onset monogenic diabetes.Entities:
Keywords: MODY; genetic testing; probability
Mesh:
Substances:
Year: 2022 PMID: 35822264 PMCID: PMC9471596 DOI: 10.1002/edm2.332
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Endocrinol Diabetes Metab ISSN: 2398-9238
FIGURE 1Participant's selection flowchart
Comparison of clinical characteristics between participants with and without positive genetic testing for MODY
| Participants characteristics |
Total
|
MODY positive
|
MODY negative
|
|
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at diagnosis (years) | 24 (14–29) | 17 (7–29) | 27 (20–30) | .009* |
| Diabetes duration (years) | 18 (7–27) | 12 (4–23) | 24 (16–33) | .002* |
| Women (yes), | 46 (63) | 24(63) | 22 (63) | .58 |
| BMI at diagnosis, | ||||
| <18 kg/m2 | 5 (7) | 5 (13) | 0 | NA |
| 18–24.9 kg/m2 | 49 (67) | 31 (82) | 18 (51) | .009* |
| 25–29.9 kg/m2 | 11 (15) | 2 (5) | 9 (26) | .008* |
| ≥30 kg/m2 | 8 (11) | 0 | 8 (23) | NA |
| Family history of diabetes (yes), ( | 66 (90) | 35 (92) | 31 (89) | .70 |
| HbA1c (mmol/mol) | 48 (41–62) | 44 (40–49) | 57 (44–68) | <.001* |
| Fasting C‐peptide (nmol/L) | 1.55 (1.04–2.10) | 1.50 (1.10–1.95) | 1.80 (0.99–2.30) | .52 |
| Diabetes‐related complications (yes), | ||||
| Microvascular | 30 (41) | 6 (38) | 24 (69) | <.001* |
| Macrovascular | 11 (15) | 3(19) | 3 (9) | <.001* |
| Treatment (yes), | ||||
| Insulin | 28 (38) | 6 (16) | 22(63) | <.001* |
| NIHA | 27 (37) | 20 (53) | 30 (86) | .003* |
| Diet | 18 (25) | 15 (39) | 0 | NA |
| MPC (%) | 58.0 (15.0–75.5) | 75.5 (45.5–75.5) | 24.2 (6.4–62.4) | <.001* |
Continuous variables are presented as mean ± SD or median (interquartile range).
Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; HbA1c, haemoglobin A1c; MPC, MODY probability calculator; NA, not applicable; NIHA, non‐insulin hypoglycaemic agents; PPV, positive predictive value.
FIGURE 2Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the MODY probability calculator for prediction of positive genetic testing for MODY. 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; AUC, area under the curve; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value
PPV and NPV values for the MODY probability calculator (using probabilities >36% and >25% as pick‐up rate value for genetic testing) and traditional MODY criteria (age at diagnosis younger than 25 years, non‐insulin treated and parent affected with diabetes)
| PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Potential MODY cases missed (%) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MPC cut‐off point (probability > 36%) | 74.4 | 73.5 | 26 |
| Shields MPC cut‐off point (probability > 25%) | 65.2 | 70.3 | 30 |
| Traditional MODY criteria | 80.0 | 62.5 | 38 |
Data presented as percentage (%).
Abbreviations: MPC, MODY probability calculator; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value.
FIGURE 3Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the MODY probability calculator for prediction of positive genetic testing for GCK‐MODY. 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; AUC, area under the curve; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value
FIGURE 4Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of the MODY probability calculator for prediction of positive genetic testing for HNF1A‐MODY. 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; AUC, area under the curve; NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value