| Literature DB >> 35814440 |
Qi Li1, Jian Zhang1, Chen Chen1, Tianqiang Song2, Yinghe Qiu3, Xianhai Mao4, Hong Wu5, Yu He6, Zhangjun Cheng7, Wenlong Zhai8, Jingdong Li9, Dong Zhang1, Zhimin Geng1, Zhaohui Tang10.
Abstract
Background: The influence of different postoperative recurrence times on the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) for intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the independent risk factors and establish a nomogram prediction model of early recurrence (recurrence within 1 year) to screen patients with ICC for ACT.Entities:
Keywords: adjuvant chemotherapy; intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma; nomogram; prognosis; recurrence
Year: 2022 PMID: 35814440 PMCID: PMC9259984 DOI: 10.3389/fonc.2022.896764
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Oncol ISSN: 2234-943X Impact factor: 5.738
Figure 1Survival curves of patients with ICC after radical resection between the early recurrence group and late recurrence group. (A) Kaplan–Meier OS curve for ICC patients between the early recurrence group and late recurrence group. (B) Kaplan–Meier RFS curve for ICC patients between the early recurrence group and late recurrence group.
Univariate and multivariate analyses of prognosis for ICC after radical resection.
| OS | RFS | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||||
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Sex | ||||||||
| Female vs. male | 0.792 (0.567~1.106) | 0.170 | 0.748(0.566~1.088) | 0.061 | ||||
| Age (year) | ||||||||
| >55 vs. ≤55 | 1.153 (0.869~1.769) | 0.070 | 0.978(0.739~1.295) | 0.876 | ||||
| Obstructive jaundice | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.193 (0.756~1.882) | 0.449 | 1.046 (0.701~1.560) | 0.827 | ||||
| HBV infection | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 0.590 (0.387~0.899) | 0.014 | 1.052 (0.764~1.449) | 0.755 | ||||
| Hepatolithiasis | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.459 (1.022~2.081) | 0.038 | 1.149 (0.845~1.563) | 0.375 | ||||
| AFP (ng/ml) | ||||||||
| >7.0 vs. ≤7.0 | 1.081 (0.742~1.576) | 0.686 | 1.022 (0.750~1.391) | 0.892 | ||||
| CEA (ng/ml) | ||||||||
| >5.0 vs. ≤5.0 | 1.495 (1.036~2.158) | 0.032 | 1.368 (1.011~1.851) | 0.043 | ||||
| CA19-9 (U/ml) | ||||||||
| >39.0 vs. ≤39.0 | 1.529 (1.148~1.864) | 0.019 | 1.516 (1.117~1.959) | 0.013 | 1.827 (1.367~2.585) | 0.002 | 1.474 (1.104~1.968) | 0.008 |
| CA125 (U/ml) | ||||||||
| >35.0 vs. ≤35.0 | 1.490 (1.062~2.090) | 0.021 | 1.427 (1.070~1.902) | 0.016 | ||||
| Child–Pugh grade | ||||||||
| Grade B vs. A | 1.086 (0.661~1.785) | 0.744 | 1.021 (0.666~1.566) | 0.924 | ||||
| Tumor differentiation | ||||||||
| Moderate vs. well | 1.289 (1.020~2.212) | 0.039 | 1.237 (1.089~1.990) | 0.033 | ||||
| Poor vs. well | 1.815 (1.720~2.403) | 0.013 | 1.998 (1.667~2.807) | 0.014 | ||||
| Tumor location | ||||||||
| Right vs. left | 0.775 (0.541~1.108) | 0.162 | 0.862 (0.641~1.159) | 0.326 | ||||
| Left and right vs. Left | 0.838 (0.464~1.156) | 0.560 | 0.693 (0.429~1.118) | 0.693 | ||||
| Morphologic grape | ||||||||
| Periductal infiltrating vs. mass-forming | 0.108 (0.714~1.719) | 0.647 | 1.298 (0.900~1.871) | 0.162 | ||||
| Intraductal growth vs. mass-forming | 1.047 (0.561~1.953) | 0.886 | 1.053 (0.645~1.722) | 0.836 | ||||
| Tumor size (cm) | ||||||||
| >5.0 vs. ≤5.0 | 1.293 (1.117~1.825) | 0.030 | 2.147 (1.864~2.522) | 0.003 | 1.734 (1.337~2.348) | 0.008 | ||
| Major vascular invasion | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.670 (1.086~2.566) | 0.019 | 1.504 (1.039~2.177) | 0.030 | ||||
| Microvascular invasion | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.864 (1.338~2.586) | 0.003 | 2.235 (1.338~3.733) | 0.002 | 1.329 (1.013~1.935) | 0.038 | ||
| Perineural invasion | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.959 (1.287~2.981) | 0.002 | 1.813 (1.344~2.444) | <0.001 | 1.551 (1.144~1.934) | 0.010 | ||
| Liver capsule involvement | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 1.014 (0.700~1.470) | 0.939 | 1.202 (0.804~1.792) | 0.365 | ||||
| AJCC 8th edition T stage | ||||||||
| T2 vs. T1a/T1b | 2.029 (1.273~3.233) | 0.003 | 1.224 (1.013~2.149) | 0.024 | ||||
| T3/T4 vs. T1a/T1b | 3.227 (1.826~5.701) | <0.001 | 1.974 (1.346~2.893) | <0.001 | ||||
| AJCC 8th edition N stage | ||||||||
| N1 vs N0 | 2.076 (1.444~2.984) | <0.001 | 1.698 (1.158~2.488) | 0.007 | 1.716 (1.275~2.310) | <0.001 | 1.618 (1.199~2.184) | 0.002 |
| AJCC 8th edition TNM stage | ||||||||
| II vs. IA/IB | 1.213 (1.058~1.939) | 0.021 | 1.287 (1.147~1.908) | 0.013 | ||||
| IIIA/IIIB/IV vs. IA/IB | 1.707 (1.177~2.475) | 0.005 | 1.878 (1.491~2.536) | <0.001 | ||||
| Adjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||||
| Yes vs. no | 0.523 (0.364~0.753) | <0.001 | 0.403 (0.269~0.603) | <0.001 | 0.653 (0.488~0.875) | 0.004 | 0.672 (0.502~0.900) | 0.008 |
Figure 2Survival curves of patients with ICC after radical resection between non-ACT and ACT for the early recurrence group and late recurrence group. (A, B) Kaplan–Meier OS curve and RFS curve for the early recurrence group in the training set. (C, D) Kaplan–Meier OS curve and RFS curve for the late recurrence group in the training set. (E, F) Kaplan–Meier OS curve and RFS curve for the early recurrence group in the testing set. (G, H) Kaplan–Meier OS curve and RFS curve for the late recurrence group in the testing set.
Comparison of clinicopathologic characteristics of early recurrence and late recurrence for ICC after radical resection.
| Early recurrence group | Late recurrence group | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No. (%) | No. (%) |
|
| HR (95% CI) |
| |
| Sex | ||||||
| Male | 98 (55.4) | 67 (50.4) | 0.760 | 0.383 | ||
| Female | 79 (44.6) | 66 (49.6) | ||||
| Age (year) | ||||||
| ≤55 | 71 (40.1) | 56 (42.1) | 0.125 | 0.724 | ||
| >55 | 106 (59.9) | 77 (57.9) | ||||
| Obstructive jaundice | ||||||
| No | 159 (89.8) | 115 (86.5) | 0.837 | 0.360 | ||
| Yes | 18 (10.2) | 18 (13.5) | ||||
| HBV infection | ||||||
| No | 140 (79.1) | 97 (72.9) | 1.603 | 0.206 | ||
| Yes | 37 (20.9) | 36 (27.1) | ||||
| Hepatolithiasis | ||||||
| No | 135 (76.3) | 98 (73.7) | 0.272 | 0.602 | ||
| Yes | 42 (23.7) | 35 (26.3) | ||||
| AFP (ng/ml) | ||||||
| ≤7.0 | 137 (77.4) | 91 (68.4) | 3.148 | 0.076 | ||
| >7.0 | 40 (22.6) | 42 (31.6) | ||||
| CEA (ng/ml) | ||||||
| ≤5.0 | 119 (67.2) | 105 (78.9) | 5.200 | 0.023 | ||
| >5.0 | 58 (32.8) | 28 (21.1) | ||||
| CA19-9 (U/ml) | ||||||
| ≤39.0 | 61 (34.5) | 64 (48.1) | 5.886 | 0.015 | 1.624 (1.005~2.62) | 0.048 |
| >39.0 | 116 (65.5) | 69 (51.9) | ||||
| CA125 (U/ml) | ||||||
| ≤35.0 | 104 (58.8) | 91 (68.4) | 3.039 | 0.081 | ||
| >35.0 | 73 (41.2) | 42 (31.6) | ||||
| Child–Pugh grade | ||||||
| A | 163 (92.1) | 117 (88.0) | 1.475 | 0.225 | ||
| B | 14 (7.9) | 16 (12.0) | ||||
| Tumor differentiation | ||||||
| Well | 10 (5.6) | 16 (12.0) | 4.498 | 0.106 | ||
| Moderate | 112 (63.3) | 83 (62.4) | ||||
| Poor | 55 (31.1) | 34 (25.6) | ||||
| Tumor location | ||||||
| Left | 92 (52.0) | 62 (46.6) | 1.881 | 0.390 | ||
| Right | 68 (38.4) | 52 (39.1) | ||||
| Both | 17 (9.6) | 19 (14.3) | ||||
| Morphologic grape | ||||||
| Mass-forming | 140 (79.1) | 103 (77.4) | 2.862 | 0.239 | ||
| Periductal infiltrating | 28 (15.8) | 17 (12.8) | ||||
| Intraductal growth | 9 (5.1) | 13 (9.8) | ||||
| Tumor size (cm) | ||||||
| ≤5.0 | 84 (47.5) | 89 (66.9) | 11.660 | 0.001 | 2.239 (1.405~3.570) | 0.001 |
| >5.0 | 93 (52.5) | 44 (33.1) | ||||
| Major vascular invasion | ||||||
| No | 142 (80.2) | 121 (91.0) | 6.824 | 0.009 | 2.485 (1.235~5.000) | 0.011 |
| Yes | 35 (19.8) | 12 (9.0) | ||||
| Microvascular invasion | ||||||
| No | 139 (78.5) | 118 (88.7) | 5.564 | 0.018 | 2.151 (1.127~4.103) | 0.020 |
| Yes | 38 (21.5) | 15 (11.3) | ||||
| Perineural invasion | ||||||
| No | 136 (76.8) | 114 (85.7) | 3.835 | 0.050 | ||
| Yes | 41 (23.2) | 19 (14.3) | ||||
| Liver capsule involvement | ||||||
| No | 124 (70.1) | 102 (76.7) | 1.692 | 0.193 | ||
| Yes | 53 (29.9) | 31 (23.3) | ||||
| AJCC 8th edition T stage | ||||||
| T1a/T1b | 35 (19.8) | 52 (39.1) | 14.919 | 0.001 | ||
| T2 | 104 (58.8) | 64 (38.1) | ||||
| T3/T4 | 38 (21.5) | 17 (12.8) | ||||
| AJCC 8th edition N stage | ||||||
| N0 | 108 (61.0) | 106 (79.7) | 12.398 | <0.001 | 2.225 (1.303~3.801) | 0.003 |
| N1 | 69 (39.0) | 27 (20.3) | ||||
| AJCC 8th edition TNM stage | ||||||
| IA/IB | 69 (39.0) | 78 (58.6) | 13.451 | 0.001 | ||
| II | 30 (12.9) | 21 (15.8) | ||||
| IIIA/IIIB/IV | 78 (44.1) | 34 (25.6) | ||||
| Adjuvant chemotherapy | ||||||
| No | 100 (56.5) | 80 (60.2) | 0.416 | 0.519 | ||
| Yes | 77 (43.5) | 53 (39.8) | ||||
Figure 3Nomogram prediction model for predicting early recurrence of patients with ICC after radical resection.
Figure 4Analysis of calibration plots and decision curves for the nomogram prediction model. (A) Calibration plot for the nomogram in the training set. (B) Calibration plot for the nomogram in the testing set. (C) Decision curve analysis for the nomogram in the training set. (D) Decision curve analysis for the RFS in the testing set.