| Literature DB >> 35813183 |
Lan Gao1, Elise Tan1, Joosup Kim2,3, Christopher F Bladin3,4, Helen M Dewey5, Kathleen L Bagot2,3, Dominique A Cadilhac2,3, Marj Moodie1.
Abstract
Objective: Few countries have established national programs to maximize access and reduce operational overheads. We aimed to use patient-level data up to 12 months to model the potential long-term costs and health benefits attributable to implementing such a program for Australia.Entities:
Keywords: cost-effectiveness analysis; ischemic stroke; long-term; stroke telemedicine; thrombolysis (tPA)
Year: 2022 PMID: 35813183 PMCID: PMC9265143 DOI: 10.3389/fneur.2021.804355
Source DB: PubMed Journal: Front Neurol ISSN: 1664-2295 Impact factor: 4.086
Figure 1Model structure.
Inputs for the long-term cost-effectiveness analysis.
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| Probability of recurrent stroke | Year 1: 0.0649; | Mohan et al. ( |
| Pennlert et al. ( | ||
| Probability of death following a recurrent stroke | 0.1783 | Fagan et al. ( |
| Relative risk of having recurrent stroke | 1.48 | Park et al. ( |
| Probability of utilizing non-medical care | Gao et al. ( | |
| mRS 1 | 0.9138 | |
| mRS 2 | 0.8431 | |
| mRS 3 | 0.9070 | |
| mRS 4 | 0.8963 | |
| mRS 5 | 0.9232 | |
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| Hong et al. ( | |
| mRS 0 | 1.53 | |
| mRS 1 | 1.52 | |
| mRS 2 | 2.17 | |
| mRS 3 | 3.18 | |
| mRS 4 | 4.55 | |
| mRS 5 | 6.55 | |
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| Cost of rehospitalisation | IHPA 2018-19 | |
| mRS 0 | $10,886 | |
| mRS 1 | $10,086 | |
| mRS 2 | $16,662 | |
| mRS 3 | $16,662 | |
| mRS 4 | $22,086 | |
| mRS 5 | $22,086 | |
| mRS 6 | $10,886 | |
| Cost of management | ||
| mRS 0 | Year 1: $10,499; | Arora et al. ( |
| mRS 1 | Year 1: $13,230; | |
| mRS 2 | Year 1: $15,943; | |
| mRS 3 | Year 1: $17,540; | |
| mRS 4 | Year 1: $20,772; | |
| mRS 5 | Year 1: $24,169; | |
| Cost of non-medical care | Gao et al. ( | |
| mRS 1 | $1,318 | |
| mRS 2 | $2,231 | |
| mRS 3 | $5,430 | |
| mRS 4 | $6,552 | |
| mRS 5 | $24,420 | |
| Cost of nursing home care | Government website ( | |
| mRS 4 | $40,689 | |
| mRS 5 | $40,689 | |
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| mRS 0 | 0.836 | Kim et al. ( |
| mRS 1 | 0.777 | |
| mRS 2 | 0.694 | |
| mRS 3 | 0.437 | |
| mRS 4 | 0.242 | |
| mRS 5 | 0.064 |
mRS, modified Rankin Scale; $, Australian dollars; IHPA, Independent Hospital Pricing Authority Australia.
0.11, for sensitivity analysis.
The average RR was used.
The results of base cost-effectiveness analysis.
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| Total QALYs | 4.428 | 3.979 | 0.449 |
| Total LYs | 7.687 | 7.145 | 0.542 |
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| Total costs | $152,209 | $152,607 | –$397 |
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| $102,429 | $100,520 | $1,908 | |
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| Number of patients received nursing home care | 2861 | 2962 | 101 |
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| First 12-month cost | $78,859 | $76,954 | $1,904 |
| Management cost | $11,267 | $10,454 | $813 |
| Rehospitalisation cost | $12,303 | $13,113 | -$809 |
| Nursing home cost | $46,590 | $48,769 | -$2,178 |
| Non-medical cost | $3,190 | $3,318 | -$128 |
QALY, quality-adjusted life year; LY, life year; ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio.
Per 10,000 patients over the lifetime. Dominant means less costs and more benefits.
Figure 2A Tornado diagram for the one-say sensitivity analyses. Red bar means the value increases from the base case; blue bar represents the value decreases from the base case. mRS, modified Rankin Scale; mgmt, management; mort, mortality; c_mRS3_1y_int, cost of management for the intervention group for the first year post stroke (mRS3); c_mRS2_1y_int, cost of mangement for the intervention group for the first year post stroke (mRS2); p_backmortality, probability of background mortality; c_mgmt_mRS1, cost of long-term management post stroke (mRS1); timehorizon, modeled time horizion; p_recurStroke, probability of having recurrent stroke; c_mgmt_mRS5, cost of long-term management post stroke (mRS5); c_mgmt_mRS3, cost of long-term management post stroke (mRS3); start_Age, onset age of the index stroke; disc_rate, discount rate for both costs and QALYs; c_nursinghome_accommodationSupplement, cost of nursing home care for the accommodation supplement; c_nursinghome_dailyfee, cost of nursing home care for the daily fee; utility_mRS0, utility weights post stroke (mRS0); utility_mRS2, utility weights post stroke (mRS2); c_mgmt_mRS4, cost of long-term management post stroke (mRS4); p_mort_recurStroke, probabiltiy of death following a recurrent stroke; utility_mRS1, utility weights post stroke (mRS1); utility_mRS3, utility weights post stroke (mRS3); utility_mRS5, utility weights post stroke (mRS5); utility_mRS4, utility weights post stroke (mRS4).
Figure 3Incremental cost-effectiveness plane from the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. AUDs, Australian dollars; QALYs, quality-adjusted life years. 100% of all the iterations suggest that the stroke telemedicine program is cost saving and more effective over the lifetime of patients.
Results from the national implementation.
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| Total costs | –$1,985,002 | –$3,114,400 | –$4,996,729 |
| Total QALYs | $2,243 | $3,519 | $5,646 |
| Management cost | $4,062,273 | $6,373,567 | $10,225,722 |
| Rehospitalisation cost | –$4,042,645 | –$6,342,771 | –$10,176,313 |
| Nursing home cost | –$10,883,496 | –$17,075,830 | –$27,396,386 |
| Non-medical cost | –$637,245 | –$999,816 | –$1,604,100 |
| First 12-month cost | $9,516,111 | $14,930,450 | $23,954,349 |
Scenarios 1 to 3 assumed that 20% (n = 4997), 50% (n = 7840), and 100% (n = 12578) of inner regional population (plus 100% of outer regional population) would be eligible for the VST program of 38,055 stroke Australia-wide.
QALY, quality-adjusted life year.